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OUOUST

Ouster, Inc.

$OUST·$2.8B·Semiconductors·Technology
$37.04+5.4%YTD+66.2%1Y+29.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 226 posts2026-07-11: 73 posts2026-07-12: 82 posts2026-07-13: 140 posts2026-07-14: 140 posts2026-07-15: 161 posts2026-07-16: 156 posts1,340-8%
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
OUOUST
$OUSTOuster, Inc.
$37.04+5.41%1.3k posts-8%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $OUST, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

LiDAR maker just raised $200M into strength — real revenue growth, real dilution, real caution.

Ouster is the leading US-listed pure-play LiDAR sensor maker — the digital ranging sensors used in robotics, autonomous vehicles, and smart-infrastructure applications. The bear case for years was 'promising technology, no economics'; the last few quarters have started to force a rethink.

What's changed — and where the caution belongs:

  • Growth is now real: Q1 revenue up 49% YoY to $49M, and the four-quarter growth stack is 30-107% — this is not the pre-revenue LiDAR story anymore, this is a business at $200M+ run-rate.
  • The company is still burning cash: operating margin negative 40% and free cash flow slightly negative — the $200M July 6 offering at $55.22 refills the tank for another two-plus years but sends a specific signal about where management thinks the shares belong.
  • Insider action has been small but the message is directional: director Ted Tewksbury sold $80K in June, and every other Form 4 is a director award — no cluster of buying, one small sell, into a stock that was north of $50 a week ago.
  • The tape has already cooled hard: shares fell to 40% of the 52-week range even before today's -7% on the day — this is a name that priced the offering into a receptive tape and then had to give up ground fast.
  • A new leveraged ETF (OUSL, 2x long) launched — a canonical late-cycle instrument that itself compresses realized-volatility over time.

The forward look: the August 6 Q2 print is the referee. A revenue beat with commentary that the offering funds a specific Chinese-competition-defensive product roadmap (Hesai has been the primary threat) plus any signed automotive OEM design win restarts the coil upward. A miss or continued burn without a concrete win keeps the tape in the $30-40 zone the bulls are treating as support. What breaks it lower: another equity raise in the next 90 days.

Agrees with X sentimentBoth sides of the X debate are legitimate — the wave-3 $87-101 target relies on real underlying growth, the 2-sell-signal warning correctly flags the offering overhang. Our take agrees the story is intact and the near-term tape has to digest the $200M raise.

What to watch: August 6 Q2 earnings and any concrete automotive-OEM or industrial-robotics design win; another equity raise within 90 days would flip cooling to breaking-down.

On the calendar: 2026-08-06 — Q2 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment21 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-17

Ouster is being framed as a Physical AI winner despite technical weakness. The freshest catalyst is Oppenheimer raising its price target to $57 from $42 (Outperform), part of six Buy analyst actions and one downgrade since May, and Defiance launching the first 2x leveraged single-stock ETF on OUST as a durability signal. Bulls emphasize the shift from lidar hardware to a full-stack Physical AI platform, an August 6 earnings catalyst, and add aggressively into any panic (multiple $37 and $38 buy posts) via 8/21 $43/$44 calls. Bears note the stock lost trend-line and horizontal support along with the 50EMA and could visit the volume shelf just under $30, and one poster complains about dilution. The dominant tone is 'buy the correction.'

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $OUST

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs high-resolution digital lidar sensors for autonomous vehicles, robotics, smart infrastructure, and industrial automation.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $OUST.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI capex engine unchanged: hyperscaler Blackwell allocation stays tight through 2H26 and HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory demand uplift.

What this means for $OUST

Neutral — Designs high-resolution digital lidar sensors for autonomous vehicles, robotics, smart infrastructure, and industrial automation; this business's revenue is largely decoupled from the AI capex and HBM/compute demand cycle.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+50.8%YTD
+90.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-43.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-22.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-37.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-2.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
13.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-22.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
49.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$-0.25$-0.12-117.4%
Q4 2025Mar 2, 2026$0.06$-0.14+142.9%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$-0.37$-0.43+14.0%
Q2 2025Aug 7, 2025$-0.38$-0.45+15.6%
Next earningsThu, Aug 6·consensus EPS $-0.14

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$48.6M+48.9%42.9%-39.5%$-0.28$-9.8M
Q4 FY25$62.2M+106.6%60.2%1.5%$0.07$-37.2M
Q3 FY25$39.5M+40.8%42.1%-61.4%$-0.37$-20.0M
Q2 FY25$35.0M+29.9%45.2%-76.5%$-0.38$-2.2M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$220.5M$217.6M – $225.9M-$0.47-$0.49 – -$0.445
FY27$298.0M$293.7M – $302.2M-$0.15-$0.16 – -$0.154
FY28$387.6M$381.0M – $394.2M$0.44-$2.30 – $2.303
FY29$538.9M$520.4M – $554.8M$0.42$0.40 – $0.442

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.40%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-13.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+24.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 59.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today8.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β3.175-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 22Ted L TewksburyDirector1.7K sh$80KSellJun 12Kenneth P. GianellaCFO54.3K sh$2.1MSellJun 12Megan ChungGeneral Counsel and Secretary11.3K sh$437KSellJun 12Darien SpencerCOO12.6K sh$488KSellJun 12Pacala Charles AngusCEO29.8K sh$1.2MSellJun 12Mark FrichtlCTO18.4K sh$715KSellJun 12Cyrille JacquemetChief Revenue Officer8.7K sh$339KSellMay 26Darien SpencerCOO30.0K sh$1.4MSellMay 26Cyrille JacquemetChief Revenue Officer9.4K sh$377KSellMay 26Mark FrichtlCTO308.7K sh$12.8M
1–10 of 28
+ 21 other (12 exempts · 9 awards) in window

See when $OUST insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 6424B5
AI summary

Ouster, Inc. priced an offering of 3,621,876 shares of common stock at $55.22 per share on July 6, 2026, for gross proceeds of approximately $200 million ($191.9 million net after Northland Securities' underwriting discount of 4.0%), plus a 30-day 543,281-share overallotment option. The offering was made off Ouster's Form S-3 shelf (No. 333-297220). At approximately $55 per share, this is a meaningful dilutive raise; use of proceeds is in the full prospectus.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 2424B5
AI summary

Ouster filed a prospectus supplement for an underwritten common stock offering with over-allotment option, with Northland Capital Markets as underwriter. Pricing details including per-share price, total size, and use of proceeds are not in the excerpt. Active equity offering pending full pricing details.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationJul 2S-3ASR
AI summary

Ouster filed an automatic shelf registration statement with General Counsel Megan Chung as agent. Routine shelf registration maintaining ongoing capital markets access.

8-KCharter amendmentJun 188-K — Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Ouster, Inc. stockholders at the June 17, 2026 Annual Meeting (45.9M of 63.7M shares, 72.1% quorum) approved an amendment to the Certificate of Incorporation doubling authorized common shares from 100 million to 200 million; the certificate was filed with Delaware and became effective immediately on June 17, 2026. Two Class II directors (Phillip Eyler, Angus Pacala) were elected for three-year terms through 2029. Doubling the authorized share pool is a dilution-enabling governance change, giving Ouster significant headroom for future equity offerings, acquisitions, or employee compensation without returning to shareholders for additional authorization.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)May 8424B5
AI summary

OUST filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement dated 2026-05-08, representing an active capital markets transaction. Priced at $24.51 per share. This represents immediate dilution to existing shareholders.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 143
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for OUST on 2026-04-14, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Beneficial ownership covers 2030 shares. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 98-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 15 other (3 proxys · 2 routine 8-Ks · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

What Will it Take for Ouster to Reach Breakeven EBITDA?zacks.com·2d agoDefiance Launches OUSL: The First Daily 2X Long ETF for Ouster, Inc.globenewswire.com·4d agoOuster Announces Date for Second Quarter 2026 Earnings Callbusinesswire.com·4d agoOuster, Inc. (OUST) Stock Slides as Market Rises: Facts to Know Before You Tradezacks.com·7d agoWorld Cup 2026 Sees Physical AI in Actionetftrends.com·10d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Robotics & HumanoidsEVs & Autonomous Vehicles

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

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