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NVNVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 85% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (20.5K/wk), no spike
$NVDA·$5.6T·Semiconductors·Technology
$214.13-1.4%YTD+20.4%1Y+17.8%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
NVNVDA
$NVDANVIDIA Corporation
$214.13-1.43%21k posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $NVDA on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

20,540X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $NVDA's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data33 posts analyzed · as of 2026-10-02

Sentiment skews bullish — bulls lean on a 14x forward multiple against 70% growth and a fresh report that China may re-open ByteDance and Alibaba to Nvidia's new RTX Pro 5500. Jensen's offhand "we might invest $100B" line is being quoted as a floor on the capex story. The bears who show up — one calling 2023-2027 sales "warehoused boxes," another targeting $190 — are isolated against the ATH drumbeat.

Read what X is saying about $NVDA

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $NVDA — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

The AI buildout keeps compounding and the stock is back at all-time highs with the mechanics still backing it.

Nvidia is the picks-and-shovels of the AI buildout — every hyperscaler GPU order runs through it. The stock just reclaimed its May all-time high after a six-month digestion, with the biggest quarter it has ever printed behind the move.

  • Growth is still extending: fiscal Q1 revenue hit $81.6B at 85% YoY, dollars added each quarter still getting bigger — the tell for a cycle still accelerating.
  • The multiple isn't the stretched part: 14x forward against ~70% growth is cheap in context, backed by 74% gross and 66% operating margins.
  • Worth flagging: director Mark Stevens sold over $500M in September and CFO Kress another $7.6M — the biggest insider cluster in months, noise if margins hold.

China clearance on the RTX Pro 5500 re-rates it again; the clean invalidation is a guide cut or margin give-back at Nov 18 earnings.

Agrees with X sentimentX cites the 14x forward multiple against ~70% growth and the China RTX Pro 5500 reopen — both real and underpinning the move. The gap the crowd isn't centering is the $500M+ September insider cluster, which is noise if the Nov 18 print holds margins but worth tracking.

What to watch: Nov 18 fiscal Q3 earnings is the invalidation point — a guide cut or any gross-margin give-back below ~73% breaks the "cheap at 14x" argument; a China RTX Pro 5500 clearance in the meantime extends the run.

On the calendar: 2026-11-18 — fiscal Q3 2027 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $NVDA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs H100 and Blackwell GPUs plus CUDA software platform dominating AI training and inference infrastructure globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NVDA.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — hyperscaler AI capex remains the structural driver with Blackwell supply still packaging-constrained. Jensen Huang publicly named memory bandwidth as AI's next bottleneck, reinforcing HBM3e pricing power. AVGO custom ASIC demand broadens AI beneficiaries beyond NVDA's GPU allocation.

What this means for $NVDA

Direct beneficiary — Designs H100 and Blackwell GPUs plus CUDA software platform dominating AI training and inference infrastructure globally.; core silicon directly in the AI training/inference supply chain pulling hyperscaler capex.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+64.5%YTD
+57.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
31.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
63.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
64.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
19.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
112%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
74.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 26, 2026$2.22$2.09+6.2%
Q1 2026May 20, 2026$1.87$1.76+6.3%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$1.62$1.54+5.2%
Q3 2025Nov 19, 2025$1.30$1.26+3.2%
Next earningsWed, Nov 18·consensus EPS $2.48

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY27$81.6B+85.2%74.9%65.6%$2.40$48.6B
Q4 FY26$68.1B+73.2%75.0%65.0%$1.77$34.9B
Q3 FY26$57.0B+62.5%73.4%63.2%$1.31$22.1B
Q2 FY26$46.7B+55.6%72.4%60.8%$1.08$13.5B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 43 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$408.9B$370.5B – $422.6B$9.27$9.03 – $9.7440
FY28$688.1B$514.2B – $744.7B$15.74$12.62 – $17.4943
FY29$915.1B$614.2B – $1.21T$21.35$14.15 – $26.6138
FY30$1.11T$826.6B – $1.26T$23.00$15.45 – $27.1330
FY31$1.12T$836.8B – $1.27T$20.00$13.43 – $23.5935

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.63%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-4.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+5.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 23.1B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.225-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 21Timothy S. TeterEVP, General Counsel and Sec30.5K sh$6.8MSellSep 18Mark A StevensDirector1.4M sh$300.1MSellSep 17Colette KressCFO34.9K sh$7.6MSellSep 4Mark A StevensDirector622.2K sh$144.1MSellSep 3Mark A StevensDirector400.0K sh$91.5MSellSep 2Mark A StevensDirector1.2M sh$268.0MSellSep 1Mark A StevensDirector63.5K sh$14.0MSellAug 31Mark A StevensDirector585.0K sh$128.9MSellAug 31Timothy S. TeterEVP, General Counsel and Sec30.0K sh$6.5MSellJun 18Mark A StevensDirector319.4K sh$67.0M
1–10 of 14
+ 30 other (13 awards · 10 inkinds · 7 gifts) in window

See when $NVDA insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsSep 33
AI summary

Nicholas P. Parker, Executive Vice President of Worldwide Field Operations at NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), filed an initial beneficial ownership statement as of August 24, 2026, disclosing no current ownership of any NVIDIA securities in direct shares or derivatives. This is a routine Form 3 for a newly reportable senior officer with no equity stake at the time of initial reporting; compensation-plan grants would appear in subsequent Form 4 filings.

8-KMaterial agreementAug 178-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) filed an 8-K under Items 1.01, 2.03, and 7.01, disclosing entry into a material definitive agreement, a new direct financial obligation, and a Regulation FD disclosure effective August 17, 2026. The filing indicates NVIDIA entered a significant financing transaction, possibly a new credit facility or debt issuance alongside investor relations communications. No specific terms were available in the excerpt. NVIDIA is the dominant AI chip designer with a market cap exceeding $3 trillion.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 153
AI summary

Suzanne Nora Johnson, a director of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), filed an initial Form 3 on July 15, 2026, disclosing indirect beneficial ownership of 2,496 shares of NVIDIA common stock held through a family trust for which she and her spouse serve as co-trustees. The filing establishes her initial Section 16(a) reporting position. No other securities were reported.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

NVIDIA EVP Worldwide Field Operations Ajay K. Puri (21-year NVIDIA veteran) announced retirement effective when his successor begins; Nicholas Parker (age 55, formerly 26 years at Microsoft) was appointed successor effective August 24, 2026, with Puri remaining in a senior advisory role. Structured leadership succession in NVIDIA's global sales organization.

8-KShareholder voteJun 308-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

NVIDIA held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 24; all 10 director nominees were elected. Tench Coxe received relatively elevated withhold votes (approximately 1.4B against versus approximately 15.4B for). Routine annual meeting results with all directors elected.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 17424B5
AI summary

NVIDIA Corporation priced a $25 billion multi-tranche senior unsecured notes offering on June 17, 2026, across seven maturities: $3.5B at 4.250% due 2028, $3.5B at 4.350% due 2029, $4.0B at 4.500% due 2031, $3.5B at 4.750% due 2033, $4.0B at 4.950% due 2036, $3.0B at 5.550% due 2046, and $3.5B at 5.625% due 2056. Interest is payable semi-annually beginning December 15, 2026; notes are unsecured and rank pari passu with existing senior debt. This is one of the largest corporate debt issuances in recent history and is non-dilutive to equity, reflecting NVIDIA's balance-sheet strength to raise long-duration capital for general corporate or strategic purposes.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 15424B5
AI summary

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement on June 15, 2026 for a registered securities offering. Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before the offering size, security type, price, or use of proceeds are disclosed.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 143
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for NVDA on 2026-05-14, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

+ 18 other (2 routine 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Fs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

1 Obvious Metric That Makes Nvidia a Top Stock to Buy Nowfool.com·9h agoQ3 Earnings Season Preview: Revenue Beats Lag, Multi-Sector Momentum Holdszacks.com·10h agoNVIDIA's Nader Khalil & Sydney Sykes on Building AI Startups Worth Betting On | Disrupt 2026youtube.com·12h agoDanielle Shay on Trading NVDA, AMD, AVGO & TSLA into Earningsyoutube.com·12h agoBull v. Bear: NVDA Launches RTX Spark Laptops, Challenges INTC & AMDyoutube.com·13h ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureRobotics & HumanoidsAdvanced Packaging & AI Interconnect

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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