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NVNVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 85% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (47.5K/wk), no spike
$NVDA·$4.9T·Semiconductors·Technology
$207.29+2.0%YTD+9.2%1Y+21.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-14: 14,708 posts2026-07-15: 10,552 posts2026-07-16: 8,955 posts2026-07-17: 7,078 posts2026-07-18: 1,252 posts2026-07-19: 1,497 posts2026-07-20: 2,248 posts47,548-21%
Price updated 1h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
NVNVDA
$NVDANVIDIA Corporation
$207.29+1.97%48k posts-21%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NVDA, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-21

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

The AI-infrastructure toll booth, and the toll keeps going up every generation.

NVIDIA sells the GPUs that every AI data center still has to buy, and the cycle keeps upgrading — Blackwell, then Vera Rubin, then Rubin Ultra — with each generation carrying materially more revenue per rack than the last.

  • Data-center demand is still accelerating at a size where things normally slow: revenue grew 85% YoY last quarter to $81.6B, faster than the 73% growth the quarter before — the base got bigger and the growth got faster, which is rare at $300B run-rate.
  • The unit economics are unlike anything at this scale: 66% operating margins mean roughly two-thirds of every AI capex dollar Meta/MSFT/GOOG spend on clusters lands in NVDA's profit line before tax.
  • The Chinese open-source wave keeps helping, not hurting: cheap models (DeepSeek, now Kimi K3 pausing new subs on GPU shortage) expand who's willing to serve inference at scale, and inference still runs on Blackwell.
  • The valuation isn't stretched vs the trajectory: 31x trailing earnings against 85% growth and consensus $393B FY27 revenue is actually a reasonable multiple by mega-cap AI standards.

Path forward is the August 26 print, where consensus is already implying more sequential acceleration off the current run rate. What would invalidate this: any air-pocket in hyperscaler capex, a Blackwell/Rubin delivery slip, or a tightening of China export controls that resegments guidance lower.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish on the AI infra trade with the HBM-per-rack economics ($150K Blackwell → $1.5M Rubin Ultra) as the driver — the fundamentals back exactly that thesis, with growth reaccelerating rather than digesting.

What to watch: August 26 FY27 Q2 earnings — Street looks for revenue around $53B; anything under $50B breaks the acceleration narrative and any signal of hyperscaler capex pausing hurts more.

On the calendar: 2026-08-26 — FY27 Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment152 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-20

The dominant thread is that Chinese model launches keep validating the AI infrastructure trade rather than threatening it, with Kimi K3 pausing new subscriptions because its GPU capacity is maxed out being cited exactly the way DeepSeek was months earlier. Traders highlight HBM per Nvidia rack going parabolic, with Blackwell around $150K, Vera Rubin near $380K and Rubin Ultra at roughly $1.5M, as a structural earnings driver. Positioning is long into the mid-$200s with the $200 level watched as key support, and Nemotron open-source strategy is framed as a further tailwind rather than a risk.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NVDA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs H100 and Blackwell GPUs plus CUDA software platform dominating AI training and inference infrastructure globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NVDA.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI capex engine unchanged: hyperscaler Blackwell allocation stays tight through 2H26 and HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory demand uplift.

What this means for $NVDA

Partial — Designs H100 and Blackwell GPUs plus CUDA software platform dominating AI training and inference infrastructure globally; partial earnings exposure to semiconductors demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+58.3%YTD
+101.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
31.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
63.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
64.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
19.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
112%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
74.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 20, 2026$1.87$1.76+6.3%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$1.62$1.54+5.2%
Q3 2025Nov 19, 2025$1.30$1.26+3.2%
Q2 2025Aug 27, 2025$1.05$1.01+4.0%
Next earningsWed, Aug 26·consensus EPS $2.09

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY27$81.6B+85.2%74.9%65.6%$2.40$48.6B
Q4 FY26$68.1B+73.2%75.0%65.0%$1.77$34.9B
Q3 FY26$57.0B+62.5%73.4%63.2%$1.31$22.1B
Q2 FY26$46.7B+55.6%72.4%60.8%$1.08$13.5B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 40 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$393.2B$363.5B – $406.4B$8.99$8.10 – $12.1439
FY28$561.3B$459.2B – $628.3B$12.69$9.87 – $14.9440
FY29$686.6B$678.9B – $694.4B$15.34$11.80 – $18.5926
FY30$774.2B$650.0B – $879.4B$12.29$9.73 – $14.4613
FY31$1.00T$843.8B – $1.14T$20.00$15.83 – $23.5316

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.54%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-3.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+5.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 23.2B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.215-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 18Mark A StevensDirector885.0K sh$186.0MSellJun 4Mark A StevensDirector500.0K sh$109.9MSellJun 3Stephen C NealDirector15.5K sh$3.3MSellJun 2Mark A StevensDirector500.0K sh$111.2MSellMay 27John DabiriDirector625 sh$134KSellMar 20Mark A StevensDirector221.7K sh$38.5MSellMar 20Donald F RobertsonPrincipal Accounting Officer5.4K sh$943KSellMar 20Colette KressCFO14.3K sh$2.5MSellMar 19Aarti S. ShahDirector19.0K sh$3.4MSellMar 18Ajay K PuriEVP, Worldwide Field Ops300.0K sh$54.7M
1–10 of 12
+ 29 other (13 awards · 11 inkinds · 5 gifts) in window

See when $NVDA insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 153
AI summary

Suzanne Nora Johnson, a director of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), filed an initial Form 3 on July 15, 2026, disclosing indirect beneficial ownership of 2,496 shares of NVIDIA common stock held through a family trust for which she and her spouse serve as co-trustees. The filing establishes her initial Section 16(a) reporting position. No other securities were reported.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

NVIDIA EVP Worldwide Field Operations Ajay K. Puri (21-year NVIDIA veteran) announced retirement effective when his successor begins; Nicholas Parker (age 55, formerly 26 years at Microsoft) was appointed successor effective August 24, 2026, with Puri remaining in a senior advisory role. Structured leadership succession in NVIDIA's global sales organization.

8-KShareholder voteJun 308-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

NVIDIA held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 24; all 10 director nominees were elected. Tench Coxe received relatively elevated withhold votes (approximately 1.4B against versus approximately 15.4B for). Routine annual meeting results with all directors elected.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 17424B5
AI summary

NVIDIA Corporation priced a $25 billion multi-tranche senior unsecured notes offering on June 17, 2026, across seven maturities: $3.5B at 4.250% due 2028, $3.5B at 4.350% due 2029, $4.0B at 4.500% due 2031, $3.5B at 4.750% due 2033, $4.0B at 4.950% due 2036, $3.0B at 5.550% due 2046, and $3.5B at 5.625% due 2056. Interest is payable semi-annually beginning December 15, 2026; notes are unsecured and rank pari passu with existing senior debt. This is one of the largest corporate debt issuances in recent history and is non-dilutive to equity, reflecting NVIDIA's balance-sheet strength to raise long-duration capital for general corporate or strategic purposes.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 15424B5
AI summary

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement on June 15, 2026 for a registered securities offering. Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before the offering size, security type, price, or use of proceeds are disclosed.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 143
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for NVDA on 2026-05-14, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 88-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

NVDA disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-05-08). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 278-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

NVDA disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-27). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. President, or VP, and Chief Accounting Officer. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

+ 19 other (4 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Fs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

NVIDIA Unveils DLSS 5 and Cosmos AI Push at SIGGRAPH Keynotemarketbeat.com·1d agoWhy cheap Chinese AI models could actually be a boon for Nvidia, Micron and other chip stocksmarketwatch.com·1d agoCalls of the Day: Nvidia, Boeing, Lockheed Martin, Uber and Charles Schwabyoutube.com·1d agoNVIDIA & Micron: 2 Profitable AI Stocks With Strong Growth Potentialzacks.com·1d ago5 Founder-Led Companies Built to Innovate and Outperformzacks.com·1d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureRobotics & HumanoidsAdvanced Packaging & AI Interconnect

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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