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NVNVDA

NVIDIA Corporation

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 85% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (45.1K/wk), no spike
$NVDA·$5.4T·Semiconductors·Technology
$230.36+0.8%YTD+11.6%1Y+34.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-29: 2,875 posts2026-08-30: 5,546 posts2026-08-31: 3,696 posts2026-09-01: 3,744 posts2026-09-02: 4,166 posts2026-09-03: 5,130 posts2026-09-04: 3,626 posts28,897-12%
Price updated 11h ago·X counts updated 10h ago
NVNVDA
$NVDANVIDIA Corporation
$230.36+0.84%29k posts-12%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NVDA, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-09-05

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

The AI infrastructure toll-taker — earning cash so fast the multiple keeps compressing while shares grind up.

Nvidia sells the AI infrastructure everyone else has to buy. Its GPUs power the data centers running every model that matters, and last quarter said the buildout still isn't past peak.

  • The AI cluster spend keeps landing on Nvidia's income statement: Q2 revenue grew 56% YoY to $46.7B with a print 4% ahead of consensus, still driven by the same hyperscaler capex its order book has been signed against a year in advance.
  • Every deal deepens the moat: Anthropic's $35B compute commit through Lambda + Hut 8, MediaTek's $3.5B stake, and Musk's SpaceX pledge to build "exclusively on Nvidia" each lock in years of forward demand around Blackwell rather than one-off orders.
  • The insider print looks worse than it is: director Mark Stevens sold roughly $296M across three days last week, but he's a long-tenured board member trimming, not an operator ringing the bell — worth noting, not a thesis-breaker.
  • The multiple got cheaper as the numbers ran: shares trade near 18x FY27 EPS against a business earning ~63% return on capital, historically anomalous math when growth is still north of 50%.

If the November Q3 print shows data-center revenue re-accelerating, the stock takes another leg. The honest risk is the increasingly circular Nvidia-financed AI capex chain — the same one Burry is short — turning a growth quarter into a demand-quality quarter.

Agrees with X sentimentBulls citing the 70% guide, sub-$220 as a gift, and forward PE around 18x have the mechanics behind them; the Burry-short / CDS-widening skepticism deserves a hearing, but the numbers just aren't backing the bubble read yet.

What to watch: The November 18 Q3 print — data-center revenue extending past $65B keeps the bull case running; a mixed guide would validate the credit-market skeptics.

On the calendar: 2026-11-18 — Q3 FY27 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment195 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-04

$NVDA is dominated by conviction bulls treating post-earnings sub-$220 as a gift, hammering the 70% revenue growth guide against Street's 45% and a forward PE around 18 as evidence this isn't remotely a bubble. Big narratives compound: the Hugging Face acquisition, the $35B Anthropic-Lambda-Hut8 compute deal, $3.5B MediaTek investment, and Jensen's 'physical AI is 10x bigger than digital AI' framing. Skeptics flag the circular Nvidia-financed AI ecosystem, Burry's short, and the credit-market CDS widening, but they're drowned out by 'still early' takes and a big memecoin-adjacent pocket cheering tokenized-NVDA on Robinhood chain.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NVDA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs H100 and Blackwell GPUs plus CUDA software platform dominating AI training and inference infrastructure globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NVDA.

Semiconductors · Technology

Hyperscaler AI capex keeps Blackwell allocation tight and HBM3e pricing firm; NVDA's data-center backlog and AVGO's networking wins confirm the cycle is not peaking. LLM context-window expansion — the structural demand pull — extends through at least 2H26.

What this means for $NVDA

Direct beneficiary — semiconductor products are directly in the AI capex supply chain; NVIDIA Corporation stands as a prominent provider of advanced graphics, computational, and networking solutions, operati.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+56.0%YTD
+95.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
31.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
63.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
64.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
19.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
112%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
74.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 26, 2026$2.22$2.09+6.2%
Q1 2026May 20, 2026$1.87$1.76+6.3%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$1.62$1.54+5.2%
Q3 2025Nov 19, 2025$1.30$1.26+3.2%
Next earningsWed, Nov 18·consensus EPS $2.47

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY27$81.6B+85.2%74.9%65.6%$2.40$48.6B
Q4 FY26$68.1B+73.2%75.0%65.0%$1.77$34.9B
Q3 FY26$57.0B+62.5%73.4%63.2%$1.31$22.1B
Q2 FY26$46.7B+55.6%72.4%60.8%$1.08$13.5B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 40 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$393.4B$364.1B – $402.5B$9.00$8.12 – $12.1740
FY28$562.9B$454.4B – $621.8B$12.75$9.79 – $14.8240
FY29$684.6B$596.7B – $786.1B$15.23$13.45 – $17.9127
FY30$774.2B$646.7B – $886.3B$12.29$9.66 – $14.6013
FY31$1.00T$839.5B – $1.15T$20.00$15.72 – $23.7622

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.91%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+9.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+17.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 23.2B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.215-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 2Mark A StevensDirector1.2M sh$268.0MSellSep 1Mark A StevensDirector63.5K sh$14.0MSellAug 31Mark A StevensDirector585.0K sh$128.9MSellAug 31Timothy S. TeterEVP, General Counsel and Sec30.0K sh$6.5MSellJun 18Mark A StevensDirector885.0K sh$186.0MSellJun 4Mark A StevensDirector500.0K sh$109.9MSellJun 3Stephen C NealDirector15.5K sh$3.3MSellJun 2Mark A StevensDirector500.0K sh$111.2MSellMay 27John DabiriDirector625 sh$134KSellMar 20Mark A StevensDirector221.7K sh$38.5M
1–10 of 16
+ 31 other (14 awards · 11 inkinds · 6 gifts) in window

See when $NVDA insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsSep 33
8-KMaterial agreementAug 178-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) filed an 8-K under Items 1.01, 2.03, and 7.01, disclosing entry into a material definitive agreement, a new direct financial obligation, and a Regulation FD disclosure effective August 17, 2026. The filing indicates NVIDIA entered a significant financing transaction, possibly a new credit facility or debt issuance alongside investor relations communications. No specific terms were available in the excerpt. NVIDIA is the dominant AI chip designer with a market cap exceeding $3 trillion.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 153
AI summary

Suzanne Nora Johnson, a director of NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA), filed an initial Form 3 on July 15, 2026, disclosing indirect beneficial ownership of 2,496 shares of NVIDIA common stock held through a family trust for which she and her spouse serve as co-trustees. The filing establishes her initial Section 16(a) reporting position. No other securities were reported.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 28-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

NVIDIA EVP Worldwide Field Operations Ajay K. Puri (21-year NVIDIA veteran) announced retirement effective when his successor begins; Nicholas Parker (age 55, formerly 26 years at Microsoft) was appointed successor effective August 24, 2026, with Puri remaining in a senior advisory role. Structured leadership succession in NVIDIA's global sales organization.

8-KShareholder voteJun 308-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

NVIDIA held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 24; all 10 director nominees were elected. Tench Coxe received relatively elevated withhold votes (approximately 1.4B against versus approximately 15.4B for). Routine annual meeting results with all directors elected.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 17424B5
AI summary

NVIDIA Corporation priced a $25 billion multi-tranche senior unsecured notes offering on June 17, 2026, across seven maturities: $3.5B at 4.250% due 2028, $3.5B at 4.350% due 2029, $4.0B at 4.500% due 2031, $3.5B at 4.750% due 2033, $4.0B at 4.950% due 2036, $3.0B at 5.550% due 2046, and $3.5B at 5.625% due 2056. Interest is payable semi-annually beginning December 15, 2026; notes are unsecured and rank pari passu with existing senior debt. This is one of the largest corporate debt issuances in recent history and is non-dilutive to equity, reflecting NVIDIA's balance-sheet strength to raise long-duration capital for general corporate or strategic purposes.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 15424B5
AI summary

NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement on June 15, 2026 for a registered securities offering. Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before the offering size, security type, price, or use of proceeds are disclosed.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 143
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for NVDA on 2026-05-14, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

+ 19 other (3 13Gs · 2 routine 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Looking Ahead to the Q3 Earnings Season: What to Expectzacks.com·13h agoElon Musk Committed SpaceX to Building "Exclusively on Nvidia." Here's What That Locks In for SpaceX's Compute Bill.fool.com·15h agoNVIDIA & 2 Profitable Stocks to Buy in September for Big Upsidezacks.com·16h agoJensen Huang Said This Word Exactly 1 Time During Nvidia's Earnings Call, and That Was Enough to Put Artificial Intelligence (AI) Bubble Fears to Restfool.com·16h agoNVDA Strengthens AI Dominance with Hugging Face Acquisitionyoutube.com·16h ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureRobotics & HumanoidsAdvanced Packaging & AI Interconnect

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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