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NTNTR

Nutrien Ltd.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 19% YoYStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (35 mentions/wk)
$NTR·$31B·Agricultural Inputs·Basic Materials
$66.67-0.9%1Y+19.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-04: 6 posts2026-08-05: 12 posts2026-08-06: 1 posts2026-08-07: 4 posts2026-08-08: 6 posts2026-08-09: 0 posts2026-08-10: 6 posts35-12%
Price updated 14m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
NTNTR
$NTRNutrien Ltd.
$66.67-0.91%35 posts-12%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NTR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-12

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Fertilizer major posted a Q2 that lagged EPS but beat revenue on higher prices — ag-cycle debate live.

Nutrien is a large-cap ag-inputs franchise digesting a mixed Q2 with a live secular-vs-cycle debate.

What the numbers say:

  • Price $67.28, +19% over twelve months — a moderate uptrend at the cycle mid.
  • PE ~14, PS 1.15, op margin ~14%, ROIC ~6.6%, FCF yield ~7%, D/E 0.55 — reasonable multiples for a cyclical.
  • Q2: EPS lag with revenue beat on higher fertilizer pricing.
  • Sell-side framing: structural natural-gas arbitrage and 'looming ag cycle' as the misjudgment thesis.

The setup is a cyclical compounder coiling — Nov 4 Q3 print is where the fertilizer-price / cost trajectory gets the next look.

What to watch: Nov 4 Q3 print — realized fertilizer pricing, retail-segment margins, and any updated capital-return commentary.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 earnings

thin sentiment

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Nutrien Ltd., a company established in 2017 and based in Saskatoon, Canada, functions as a principal supplier of essential agricultural resources and associated services. The firm furnishes vital crop inputs, including various fertilizer compounds like potash, nitrogen, phosphate, and sulfate, in addition to offering financial solutions to its clientele. Its operations involve the extensive distribution of crop-related products such as nutrients, protection agents, seeds, and general merchandise. This is facilitated through a vast network of nearly 2,000 retail establishments situated across the United States, Canada, South America, and Australia. Beyond its retail footprint, Nutrien also engages directly with agricultural producers, delivering personalized services through its numerous farm centers located throughout North America, South America, and Australia.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Agricultural Inputs sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NTR.

Agricultural Inputs · Basic Materials

Industry quiet this week — the single member (PURR) is a digital asset holding company building a crypto treasury around the Hyperliquid HYPE token, entirely disconnected from agricultural inputs fundamentals. No relevant agricultural macro driver is active for this industry's composition.

Top industry ETF

$MOOVanEck Agribusiness ETF
+11.6%YTD
+12.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
13.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
14.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
7.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
9.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
31.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$2.61$2.70-3.3%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$0.51$0.48+6.3%
Q4 2025Feb 18, 2026$0.83$0.87-4.6%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$0.97$0.93+4.3%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $1.16

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$6.0B+18.5%27.2%8.4%$0.27$-1.1B
Q4 FY25$5.3B+5.1%35.4%14.4%$1.20$2.2B
Q3 FY25$6.0B+12.3%32.7%14.6%$0.94$-933.8M
Q2 FY25$10.4B+2.8%30.4%17.1%$2.51$2.1B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 12 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$28.1B$27.0B – $31.1B$5.54$5.16 – $5.7812
FY27$27.5B$26.7B – $28.7B$5.16$4.38 – $5.6612
FY28$27.1B$26.2B – $29.2B$4.56$4.02 – $5.168
FY29$28.0B$27.0B – $30.0B$4.90$4.67 – $5.337
FY30$27.6B$26.6B – $29.5B$5.16$4.93 – $5.627

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.44%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+1.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-0.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 479.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.065-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 29 other (18 6-Ks · 3 11-Ks · 2 13Gs · 2 SUPPLs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Nutrien's Q2 Earnings Lag, Revenues Beat Estimates on Higher Priceszacks.com·1d agoNutrien: The Market Misjudges The Structural Gas Arbitrage And The Looming Ag Cycleseekingalpha.com·2d agoNutrien Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·4d agoNutrien (NTR) Q2 Earnings Miss Estimateszacks.com·7d agoNutrien (NTR) Q2 Earnings: How Key Metrics Compare to Wall Street Estimateszacks.com·7d ago

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