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MOMOS

The Mosaic Company

$MOS·$6.0B·Agricultural Inputs·Basic Materials
$18.82-0.7%YTD-20.4%1Y-36.1%
Price updated 21h ago·X counts updated 6d ago
MOMOS
$MOSThe Mosaic Company
$18.82-0.69%240 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $MOS on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

240X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $MOS's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 51% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-15

Mosaic-Madness crypto community touts a $7,530 dividend distribution to 777 holders, 6% supply buyback-and-burn from protocol revenue, and product-shipping cadence. Chatter is not about Mosaic Company the fertilizer equity.

Read what X is saying about $MOS

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $MOS — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Phosphate and potash down near 52-week lows as Trump's Belarus deal looms and recent prints keep missing — hard to see the catalyst from here.

Mosaic is the largest US phosphate and potash fertilizer producer — a direct play on global crop nutrient demand. The stock is near 52-week lows after revenue misses and the overhang of Trump touting a Belarus potash purchase deal.

  • Revenue is declining: Q2 2026 of $2.82B was down -6% YoY after a +14% Q1 — the mix is pointing the wrong way, and operating margins have swung to negative on EPS of -$0.86 and -$0.79 in the last two quarters.
  • The potash policy risk is active: Trump touting a Belarus potash purchase deal is the kind of competitive-supply overhang that compresses mkt multiples for North American potash producers — until the policy picture clarifies, there is no catalyst for re-rating.
  • The business is being restructured aggressively: $537M of long-term debt redemption, a $2.0B senior-notes refi, and an executive-leadership change (COO Swager retires Dec 1) — none of which fixes the underlying demand-supply imbalance in fertilizer.

A Nov 3 Q3 print with per-ton realizations stabilizing plus Belarus-deal clarity resetting the overhang re-rates it off the floor; another sub-par potash quarter or policy confirmation of foreign imports and the breakdown continues.

What to watch: Nov 3 Q3 earnings — potash and phosphate per-ton realizations, FY26 EPS guide refresh (consensus $0.43), and operating margin recovery toward break-even. Any clarity on US-Belarus potash tariffs or trade terms is the macro catalyst; without it, the breakdown continues.

On the calendar: 2026-11-03 — Q3 2026 earnings

sentiment mismatched asset

Read the AI verdict on $MOS

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Mosaic is one of the world's largest producers and distributors of concentrated phosphate and potash fertilizers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Agricultural Inputs sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $MOS.

Agricultural Inputs · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — US natural gas feedstock advantage sustains nitrogen producers vs.

What this means for $MOS

Partial — Mosaic is one of the world's largest producers and distributors of concentrated phosphate and potash fertilizers.

Top industry ETF

$MOOVanEck Agribusiness ETF
+12.0%YTD
+12.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
121.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
0.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
1.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-12.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
0.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
11.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 4, 2026$0.13$0.12+7.7%
Q1 2026May 11, 2026$0.05$0.24-79.6%
Q4 2025Feb 24, 2026$0.22$0.48-54.2%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$1.04$0.97+7.4%
Next earningsTue, Nov 3·consensus EPS $0.01

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$2.8B-6.0%7.6%-1.3%$-0.86$-152.9M
Q1 FY26$3.0B+14.4%7.9%-12.4%$-0.79$-252.6M
Q4 FY25$2.6B-7.5%14.2%9.0%$0.55$-405.7M
Q3 FY25$3.5B+22.8%16.0%9.8%$1.30$-135.9M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 14 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$12.1B$11.5B – $13.2B$0.44$0.24 – $0.7814
FY27$13.0B$11.9B – $14.0B$1.46$0.72 – $2.5714
FY28$12.8B$11.3B – $15.8B$2.02$0.96 – $4.2014
FY29$13.7B$12.2B – $16.0B$2.71$2.32 – $3.308
FY30$11.7B$10.4B – $13.6B$2.59$2.22 – $3.1512

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.3%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-17.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-22.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 316.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.835-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 19Walter F. PrecourtSVP - Chief Admin Officer23.0K sh$509K
+ 23 other (12 awards · 11 exempts) in window

See when $MOS insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeSep 258-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

The Mosaic Company announced that Karen Swager, Executive Vice President of Operations, will retire from her EVP role effective December 1, 2026. Following her retirement from the EVP position, Swager will remain with Mosaic as a Senior Advisor through the second quarter of 2027 to support the leadership transition. This senior operational departure may require the company to identify a successor for the EVP-Operations role. The phased transition structure allows for knowledge transfer during the advisory period.

8-KDebt-obligation accelerationAug 288-K — Item 2.04: Debt-obligation acceleration
AI summary

The Mosaic Company announced redemption of approximately $537.2M in aggregate principal of long-term debt: $304.9M of 4.05% Senior Notes due 2027, $124.1M of 5.375% Senior Notes due 2028, and $108.2M of 7.30% Debentures due 2028, all scheduled to be called on September 28, 2026 at par plus accrued interest. The redemptions will be funded with cash on hand and are subject to standard notice and defeasance provisions under each indenture. This deleveraging move eliminates near- and medium-term debt maturities and reduces annual interest expense by an estimated ~$24M. The action signals Mosaic’s confidence in its balance sheet and is credit-positive, though it depletes a significant portion of the company’s liquidity.

8-KMaterial debt obligationAug 178-K — Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

The Mosaic Company closed a $2.0 billion senior notes offering on August 17, 2026: $1.0B at 5.350% due 2031, $500M at 5.650% due 2034, and $500M at 5.900% due 2036, generating net proceeds of approximately $1,983.3 million. Proceeds are earmarked to fund concurrent tender offers for up to $1.4B of older debt (2027, 2028, 2029, and 2030 maturities). This is a material debt liability management transaction that extends Mosaic's maturity profile while locking in current market rates.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Aug 12424B5
AI summary

The Mosaic Company filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement confirming the pricing of its $2.0 billion senior notes offering: 2031 Notes priced at 99.987% (underwriting discount 0.600%), 2034 Notes at 99.713% (0.625%), and 2036 Notes at 99.664% (0.650%) of face value, with settlement on or about August 17, 2026. Joint book-runners include Citigroup, BofA Securities, J.P. Morgan, and Wells Fargo. This confirms the pricing and terms of Mosaic's debt refinancing yielding net proceeds of approximately $1,983.3M.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Aug 10424B5
8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 158-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KShareholder voteMay 298-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
+ 14 other (4 13Gs · 3 routine 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

MOSAIC ANNOUNCES THIRD QUARTER 2026 EARNINGS RESULTS DATESprnewswire.com·3d agoA Look at The Mosaic Co (MOS) After 5.0% Decline -- GF Value $28.50 vs Price $18.74gurufocus.com·8d agoThe Mosaic Company (NYSE:MOS) Stock Has Average Target Price of $26.95defenseworld.net·12d agoHere Are Monday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Align Technology, AutoNation, Estee Lauder, Harley-Davidson, HubSpot, Microsoft, Mosaic, Ryder System, Wells Fargo & Company, and More247wallst.com·12d agoGreen Circle Decarbonize Technology Limited Submits Tender Proposals for Chiller Replacement Engineering at MOS Centre and Air-Conditioning Retrofit & Operation and Maintenance at Nan Fung Centre in Hong Kongglobenewswire.com·17d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $MOS on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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