CF Industries Holdings, Inc.
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What it does
Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.
Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data
Where Agricultural Inputs sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CF.
Agricultural Inputs
Crop price cycles (corn, soy, wheat) drive agricultural input and equipment demand; fertilizer pricing has normalized from post-Ukraine spike peaks. Precision agriculture adoption (GPS planting, AI-driven yield optimization) is the structural demand driver for capital equipment.
Top industry ETF
$MOOVanEck Agribusiness ETF
+11.6%YTD
+20.1%1Y
Fundamentals & catalyst
Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.
Key ratios
P/E
10.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.ROIC
16.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.Op margin
38.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.FCF yield
8.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).P/S
2.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.ROE
40.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.Gross margin
42.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.D/E
0.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.Quarterly trend
QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$2.2B+17.6%51.5%47.3%$4.74$607.0M
Q1 FY26$2.0B+19.4%37.6%32.2%$3.99$273.0M
Q4 FY25$1.9B+22.8%41.1%36.2%$2.60$313.0M
Q3 FY25$1.7B+21.1%38.1%35.0%$2.19$717.0M
Forward consensus
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$8.2B$7.6B – $9.8B$15.17$13.83 – $16.6614
FY27$7.2B$6.6B – $7.8B$10.52$8.97 – $11.8914
FY28$6.8B$6.1B – $9.4B$8.66$7.19 – $10.6114
FY29$6.3B$5.9B – $8.2B$7.08$6.38 – $9.768
FY30$6.6B$6.1B – $8.5B$7.93$7.15 – $10.9312
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