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IPIPI

Intrepid Potash, Inc.

$IPI·$435M·Agricultural Inputs·Basic Materials
$32.36+0.3%YTD+18.3%1Y+17.2%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 7d ago
IPIPI
$IPIIntrepid Potash, Inc.
$32.36+0.28%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $IPI on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

0X posts · last 7 days
Sep 30Oct 11

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $IPI — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Intrepid Potash with Trump Belarus purchase deal creating specific policy complication — fertilizer-cycle coil into Nov 4.

Intrepid Potash is a US-based potash producer whose 2026 setup reflects both specific sector-headline risk and underlying cycle recovery — Trump's Belarus purchase deal introduces specific competitive-dynamic uncertainty.

  • The P&L is uneven: Q2 revenue was down 6.7% YoY to $67M at a slim 1.6% operating margin and $1.18 EPS, with trailing EPS prints missing Street by 28% then beating by 29.2% — the surprise swings reflect realized potash-price volatility rather than operational issues.
  • The specific sector tension is substantive: Trump touting a Belarus purchase deal would introduce low-cost potash supply that could pressure IPI realizations, offset by broader 'Fertilizer Stocks to Keep an Eye on Amid Industry Headwinds' sector positioning.

At 37% of its 52-week range going into Nov 4 earnings, the setup is a mid-range coil on bidirectional signals. A clean realized-potash-price print plus any specific Belarus-import commentary is the trigger for a reversal; another revenue decline or Belarus-driven margin signal is the invalidation.

What to watch: Nov 4 Q3 earnings — realized potash price, operating margin direction, Belarus-import commentary, and FY27 guide. Clean realized price plus Belarus clarity is the trigger; Belarus-driven margin pressure is the invalidation.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 earnings

event ahead 30dpotash cycle

Read the AI verdict on $IPI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Only US producer of muriate of potash, also making langbeinite and salt, supplied to agricultural markets concentrated in the US Southwest.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Agricultural Inputs sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $IPI.

Agricultural Inputs · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — US natural gas feedstock advantage sustains nitrogen producers vs.

What this means for $IPI

Neutral — Only US producer of muriate of potash, also making langbeinite and salt, supplied to agricultural markets concentrated in the US Southwest.

Top industry ETF

$MOOVanEck Agribusiness ETF
+12.0%YTD
+12.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
20.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
2.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
4.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
5.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
5.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
19.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 4, 2026$0.56$0.78-28.1%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$0.62$0.48+29.2%
Q4 2025Mar 4, 2026$0.49$0.26+88.5%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$0.11$0.13-15.4%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $0.26

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$66.7M-6.7%25.0%1.6%$1.18$25.9M
Q1 FY26$98.7M+4.4%17.1%5.7%$0.56$18.0M
Q4 FY25$75.9M+36.0%19.4%6.8%$-0.03$-1.2M
Q3 FY25$53.2M-7.5%18.6%1.7%$0.29$-11.7M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 3 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$269.5M$247.7M – $303.7M$2.08$1.86 – $2.422
FY27$257.3M$236.4M – $289.9M$1.38$1.23 – $1.612
FY28$248.9M$222.0M – $289.0M$0.69$0.61 – $0.803
FY29$284.5M$261.4M – $320.5M$1.70$1.52 – $1.981
FY30$284.5M$261.4M – $320.5M$1.66$1.48 – $1.932

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.35%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-11.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-11.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 10.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.315-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 12Lori A LancasterDirector4.8K sh$217K
+ 21 other (7 exempts · 7 inkinds · 7 awards) in window

See when $IPI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 223
8-KOfficer or director changeJun 158-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KShareholder voteJun 38-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 6 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 SD · 1 13G) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Reviewing Intrepid Potash (NYSE:IPI) & Minerals Technologies (NYSE:MTX)defenseworld.net·7d agoAbbVie and Genmab Announce Epcoritamab in Combination with R-CHOP Demonstrates Significant Improvement in Progression-Free Survival versus R-CHOP in Patients with Newly Diagnosed Diffuse Large B-Cellgurufocus.com·13d agoGenmab and AbbVie Announce Epcoritamab in Combination with R-CHOP Demonstrates Statistically Significant Improvement in Progression-Free Survival in Patients with Newly Diagnosed Diffuse Large B-Cellgurufocus.com·13d ago3 Fertilizer Stocks to Keep an Eye on Amid Industry Headwindszacks.com·17d agoPotash producers slide after Trump touts Belarus purchase dealproactiveinvestors.com·27d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $IPI on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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