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NBNBIS

Nebius Group N.V.

$NBIS·$45B·Software - Infrastructure·Technology
$200.56-2.8%YTD+159.5%1Y+213.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 405 posts8,234+5%
Price updated 7m ago·X counts updated 10d ago
NBNBIS
$NBISNebius Group N.V.
$200.56-2.79%8.2k posts+5%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NBIS, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-31

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

AI cloud with real customer wins, real revenue explosion and a real capital treadmill — Huang blessed it, Burry shorted it, and both reads are defensible.

Nebius is the AI cloud built out of Yandex's old bones — pure GPU rental capacity aimed at frontier model labs training their next-gen systems. The stock has tripled this year on real customer wins that Jensen Huang publicly blessed on NVIDIA's earnings call, then paused as everyone did the math on the capital it takes to keep scaling.

  • Revenue is exploding in a way that isn't just narrative: Q1 was up 454% YoY to $399M running toward a $3B ARR pace, so this is customer-driven growth landing at a real rate, not a story stock chasing a slide.
  • The NVIDIA endorsement is worth naming precisely — Huang named Nebius the first adopter of Groq 3 LPX and cited it on the earnings call, which for a small-cap neocloud is the reputational stamp that unlocks larger enterprise contracts down the line.
  • The capital demand is the whole problem though: a $5.75B upsized convertible just landed, operating margin is negative 68%, and free-cash-flow yield is -4.5% — every incremental deal needs more incremental capex, so financing risk is a permanent feature of the model.
  • Michael Burry is the visible short and gets mocked, but the shape of his bet is correct: NBIS trades at ~62x sales while burning cash faster than it earns it — which is precisely what 'neocloud' translates to in the terminal.

The whole thesis holds as long as the customer list keeps expanding into Anthropic and Google and converts keep clearing without brutal dilution. What restarts the run is a marquee contract disclosure at the November print; what would seal the cooling is a downshift in bookings while raises keep supplying paper.

Agrees with X sentimentBulls' 454% growth and Huang name-drop are backed by the print; Burry's short is the honest counter — the capital treadmill is real, and the raise cadence hasn't visibly peaked. Both reads coexist because they're describing different time horizons.

What to watch: November 10 earnings — need a marquee contract disclosure (Anthropic or Google) to restart the momentum. A revenue-growth downshift with financing needs unchanged would reprice the whole neocloud group.

On the calendar: 2026-11-10 — Q3 earnings

ai infrastructureconvert dilutionhigh growth negative margin

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment195 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

The thread is decisively bullish after Jensen Huang name-dropped Nebius on NVIDIA's earnings call and named it the first adopter of Groq 3 LPX, with Goldman lifting its target to $328. Posters cite Q2 revenue up 454% YoY, a $3B ARR run rate, the $5.75B upsized convertible raise, and rumored Anthropic and Google demand as the setup. Michael Burry's persistent short position surfaces as the main counter, mostly mocked.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NBIS

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Builds full-stack AI cloud with large-scale GPU clusters, alongside AI training data (Toloka), edtech (TripleTen), and autonomous driving (Avride).

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Infrastructure sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NBIS.

Software - Infrastructure · Technology

SaaS multiples remain compressed as rate-sensitive valuations weigh on pure-play software; customers are lengthening deal cycles outside of AI-native workloads. AI co-pilot upsell is the only clear near-term catalyst — companies without it are treading water.

What this means for $NBIS

Direct beneficiary — semiconductor products are directly in the AI capex supply chain; Nebius Group N.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-4.2%YTD
+2.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
70.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-2.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-68.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-4.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
62.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
16.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
47.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 12, 2026$-0.12$-0.72+83.3%
Q1 2026May 13, 2026$-0.23$-0.77+70.0%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$-0.99$-0.58-70.7%
Q3 2025Nov 11, 2025$-0.39$-0.56+29.9%
Next earningsTue, Nov 10·consensus EPS $-0.70

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$399.0M+621.5%20.9%-32.1%$2.40$-214.9M
Q4 FY25$227.7M+500.8%69.9%-103%$-0.99$-1.2B
Q3 FY25$146.1M+237.4%70.6%-89.1%$-0.47$-1.0B
Q2 FY25$105.1M+769.7%71.4%-106%$2.45$0

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 12 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.4B$3.1B – $3.8B-$2.64-$4.54 – -$0.2711
FY27$11.6B$9.1B – $13.5B-$3.57-$27.71 – $27.1412
FY28$21.6B$16.9B – $28.6B-$2.72-$3.86 – -$1.946
FY29$36.9B$28.8B – $48.8B-$4.79-$6.81 – -$3.4311
FY30$54.0B$42.1B – $71.4B$2.68$1.92 – $3.816

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.62%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-4.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+37.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 202.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today6.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.445-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 14Charles E RyanDirector50.0K sh$13.3MSellAug 14Boynton John Wilson IvDirector5.3K sh$1.4MSellJul 15Boynton John Wilson IvDirector7.0K sh$1.4MSellJul 1Arkadiy VolozhCEO46.6K sh$11.0MSellJul 1Andrey KorolenkoChief Infrastructure Officer33.9K sh$8.0MSellJul 1Danila ShtanCTO16.9K sh$4.0MSellJun 15Boynton John Wilson IvDirector5.1K sh$1.3MSellJun 15Boynton John Wilson IvDirector5.8K sh$1.5MSellJun 4Danila ShtanCTO15.7K sh$3.7MSellJun 2Marc BoroditskyChief Revenue Officer10.8K sh$3.0M
1–10 of 26
+ 2 other (1 award · 1 exempt) in window

See when $NBIS insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 83
AI summary

Initial Form 3 ownership statement filed by Yael Almog, a newly reportable officer or director at Nebius Group N.V. (NBIS), disclosing initial beneficial ownership of company securities upon becoming a Section 16 reporting person. Routine Section 16(a) disclosure triggered by appointment or election to a qualifying role. No operational implications for the company.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for NBIS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for NBIS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for NBIS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for NBIS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for NBIS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for NBIS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for NBIS on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

+ 31 other (17 6-Ks · 7 3s · 4 13Gs · 1 6-K/A) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Why Investors Should Buy IREN Limited Over Nebius247wallst.com·1d agoAre The "Magnificent Seven" Stocks Still Worth Buying?fool.com·1d agoNebius Group N.V. (NASDAQ:NBIS) Receives Average Rating of “Moderate Buy” from Brokeragesdefenseworld.net·2d agoNebius: Massive Billion-Dollar AI Deals Raise Critical Stakesfool.com·3d agoNebius Stock Surged 200% in Just 1 Year. Is It Still a Buy?fool.com·4d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureRobotics & HumanoidsAI Neocloud & GPU Cloud

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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