TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$MTSI
MTMTSI

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.

$MTSI·$24B·Semiconductors·Technology
$267.36-3.0%YTD+53.0%1Y+88.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 130 posts2026-07-11: 48 posts2026-07-12: 92 posts2026-07-13: 124 posts2026-07-14: 35 posts2026-07-15: 37 posts2026-07-16: 12 posts498-8%
Price updated 2h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
MTMTSI
$MTSIMACOM Technology Solutions Holdings, Inc.
$267.36-2.95%498 posts-8%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $MTSI, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

MACOM up 113% in a year on AI-networking optical thesis — cooling but still fully priced.

MACOM Technology makes analog and photonics semiconductors for AI data-center networking, defense communications, and 5G infrastructure. The stock is up 113% over the past year on the optical-networking-for-AI thesis, and now cooling into the August 6 print.

  • Revenue grew 22% YoY last quarter with an 18% operating margin — the top line is real and the operating margin trajectory is expanding, driven by the higher-mix optical products.
  • Trades at 147x TTM earnings and 25x sales — expensive by any traditional analog-semi standard; the FY27 EPS consensus of ~$3.20 makes forward P/E ~90x, still full for the growth rate.
  • President Hwang Donghyun Thomas sold $1M on June 29 — meaningful officer distribution at these levels, and the timing at ~66% of 52-week range deserves being flagged.
  • The MACOM directors appointed to IQE board framing captures the strategic-partnership positioning in the photonics supply chain — real IP-alignment moves are happening under the surface.
  • Position vs 50-day MA -18% and 52-week 58th percentile — the tape has cooled hard from the recent highs; the AI-hardware group giveback is showing up in optical names first.

August 6 Q3 earnings is where the AI-optical story either extends or contracts: revenue growth accelerating past 22% plus a Q4 optical-mix guide is what restarts the run; a modest beat with unchanged guide plus more officer selling is where the +113% T12M gain gives back. Real AI-optical exposure, real insider distribution — the setup is asymmetric event-heavy and priced for continued perfection.

Differs from X sentimentThe bullish X take on the high-tight flag setup with +82.1% pole and +481% three-year returns is directionally right on the historical performance, but the pattern-recognition framing skips over the fresh officer sales and 147x TTM P/E. Photonics-leadership continuation only holds if the Q3 print validates the AI-mix trajectory.

What to watch: Aug 6 Q3 earnings — need revenue growth accelerating past 22% and a Q4 optical-mix guide. A modest beat with unchanged guide plus more officer selling is where +113% T12M gives back hard.

On the calendar: 2026-08-06 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-05

MACOM Technology chatter emphasizes the high-tight flag setup (418.90 standard pivot, +82.1% pole in 8 weeks) still intact with the tape closing just below the 21-day EMA. Posts flag MACOM directors appointed to IQE board, and users cite +69% since April 10 with continued higher targets. Chatter reads as photonics-cohort leadership continuation (+481% over 3 years).

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $MTSI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs analog semiconductor ICs for RF, microwave, and lightwave applications in telecom infrastructure, defense, and data centers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $MTSI.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI capex engine unchanged: hyperscaler Blackwell allocation stays tight through 2H26 and HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory demand uplift.

What this means for $MTSI

Partial — Designs analog semiconductor ICs for RF, microwave, and lightwave applications in telecom infrastructure, defense, and data centers; the AI capex and HBM/compute demand cycle creates tailwinds for one product line, not the full operation.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+50.8%YTD
+90.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
146.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
7.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
16.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
24.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
13.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
55.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$1.09$1.07+1.9%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$1.02$0.99+3.0%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$0.94$0.93+1.2%
Q2 2025Aug 7, 2025$0.90$0.89+1.1%
Next earningsThu, Aug 6·consensus EPS $1.34

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$289.0M+22.5%56.9%17.6%$0.62$65.5M
Q1 FY26$271.6M+24.5%55.9%15.9%$0.65$30.0M
Q4 FY25$261.2M+30.1%54.6%15.2%$0.61$49.4M
Q3 FY25$252.1M+32.3%53.7%14.9%$0.49$22.8M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.3B$1.2B – $1.3B$5.03$4.67 – $5.1511
FY27$1.6B$1.5B – $1.6B$6.84$5.65 – $7.3510
FY28$1.8B$1.7B – $1.9B$8.08$6.63 – $9.154

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.52%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-22.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+14.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β1.665-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 25Hwang Donghyun ThomasSVP, Global Sales2.6K sh$1.0MSellMay 29Stephen G DalyCEO15.8K sh$5.8MSellMay 18John KoberCFO7.6K sh$2.7MSellMay 18Hwang Donghyun ThomasSVP, Global Sales600 sh$213KSellMay 14Peter Y ChungDirector43.3K sh$16.4MSellMay 13Charles R BlandDirector800 sh$304KSellMay 11Geoffrey G RibarDirector1.6K sh$587KSellApr 30Hwang Donghyun ThomasSVP, Global Sales3.7K sh$1.0MSellFeb 26Robert DennehyCOO4.5K sh$1.1MSellFeb 25John RitchieDirector1.6K sh$401K
1–10 of 19
+ 12 other (8 awards · 4 gifts) in window

See when $MTSI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteMar 98-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
+ 13 other (8 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

5 Under the Radar AI Chip Stocks Powering the Data Center Boom247wallst.com·7d ago3 Quiet AI Revenue Accelerators With Sales Growth Outpacing Peersmarketbeat.com·11d agoAI's most explosive hardware trades are hitting a wall. Why optical and memory stocks are falling.marketwatch.com·21d agoMACOM Technology And Corning On CNBC's ‘Final Trades'benzinga.com·26d agoAre You Looking for a Top Momentum Pick? Why M/A-Com (MTSI) is a Great Choicezacks.com·31d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureDefense & Drones

More in Semiconductors

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$NVDA$MU$AMD$AVGO$INTC$AAOI$ARM$SKHY
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $MTSI on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport