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GLGLPEY

Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 35% YoY at strong marginsQuiet on X (1 mention/wk)
$GLPEY·$34B·Oil & Gas Integrated·Energy
$11.33-0.4%YTD+34.2%1Y+15.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-23: 0 posts2026-07-24: 0 posts2026-07-25: 0 posts2026-07-26: 0 posts2026-07-27: 1 posts2026-07-28: 0 posts2026-07-29: 0 posts1
Price updated just now·X counts updated 22h ago
GLGLPEY
$GLPEYGalp Energia, SGPS, S.A.
$11.33-0.44%1 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $GLPEY, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-30

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Galp Energia at $11.35 (69% of 52-week range) with Q2 EPS +77% surprise and October 26 print at $0.26 EPS bar

Galp Energia is the Portuguese integrated oil-and-gas company (upstream Angola + Brazil + Mozambique + Namibia, plus refining and marketing) — a European integrated whose Q2 print just delivered a massive EPS surprise. The tape is +34% YTD and +16% twelve months, at 69% of the 52-week range going into October 26.

  • The Q2 print was the acceleration signal: revenue $6.80B was up 35% year-over-year and up 35% sequentially with 20% gross margin and 18% operating margin, delivering EPS $0.24 GAAP or $0.60 adjusted vs $0.34 (+76.5%). The four-quarter surprise pattern (+77%, -9%, -42%, -16%) is now dominated by this Q2 positive after three consecutive misses.
  • The valuation is priced cheap for the integrated: 14.3x trailing PE, 0.70x sales, 4.9x EV/EBITDA, 10% FCF yield — reasonable for a European E&P + downstream. Consensus CY26 revenue $24.4B, CY27 $23.8B (essentially flat) with EPS $1.03 and $1.01 — analysts already model modest deceleration.
  • The tape and structural signals are pre-catalyst quiet: position 69% of 52-week range, +3% vs 50-day, +8% vs 200-day, on 0.21x volume with 662M-share high float and OTC-flag TRUE (US-ADR structure limits flow). Beta -0.078 is essentially uncorrelated — a specific portfolio-diversification signal. Zero insider events, zero filings.

What extends the acceleration is October 26 revenue confirming the Q2-pace with concrete Namibia-Mopane + Angola-upstream commentary plus reaffirmed FY26 EPS guide near $1.03 consensus. What ends the acceleration is a Brent-crude-price-collapse callout, a Mozambique-tax-dispute (ICSID arbitration) escalation, or a specific-project delay; on the +34% YTD tape at 69% of 52-week range the setup is symmetric with fundamentals doing the work.

On the calendar: 2026-10-26 — Q3 FY26 earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $GLPEY

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A. functions as a diversified energy enterprise, managing integrated operations both within Portugal and across various international markets. Its business is structured into four principal divisions. The Upstream segment concentrates on the exploration, development, and production of hydrocarbons, primarily in key regions such as Brazil, Mozambique, and Angola. Within the Industrial & Energy Management segment, Galp operates refining facilities in Portugal. This division also oversees the management of oil products, gas, and electricity, provides essential infrastructure for storing and transporting oil and gas, and supplies electricity to national grids in both Portugal and Spain. The Commercial segment is responsible for the retail distribution of oil, gas, and electricity to a broad customer base, encompassing both business-to-business (B2B) and business-to-consumer (B2C) clients. Finally, the Renewables and New Business segment is dedicated to developing solar and wind power generation projects in Portugal and Spain. This division also plays a role in producing advanced biofuels like biodiesel and green hydrogen. Additionally, Galp maintains an extensive network, operating 1,480 service stations and 1,186 electric vehicle charging points. Beyond its core energy activities, the company also participates in the reinsurance sector. Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A. was founded in 1999, adopting its current name in September 2000 after previously operating as Galp – Petróleos e Gás de Portugal, SGPS, S.A. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Lisbon, Portugal.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Integrated sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $GLPEY.

Oil & Gas Integrated · Energy

No material change from last week — sanctions easing would add 1-2 mb/d of Iranian supply, pressuring Brent and compressing integrated margins.

Industry benchmark

12-name peer basket
+45.1%YTD
+50.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
14.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
16.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
16.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
10.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
24.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
14.1%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 27, 2026$0.60$0.34+76.5%
Q1 2026Apr 27, 2026$0.21$0.23-8.7%
Q4 2025Feb 16, 2026$0.07$0.12-41.7%
Q3 2025Oct 27, 2025$0.21$0.25-16.0%
Next earningsMon, Oct 26·consensus EPS $0.26

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$6.8B+35.3%19.6%17.8%$0.24$891.0M
Q1 FY26$5.0B+4.7%15.6%14.7%$-0.04$81.0M
Q4 FY25$4.5B-7.6%9.3%9.6%$0.06$14.2M
Q3 FY25$5.1B-9.3%9.7%8.3%$0.09$496.1M

Forward consensus

2-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$24.4B$21.6B – $28.3B$1.03$0.87 – $1.247
FY27$23.8B$21.0B – $27.5B$1.01$0.86 – $1.227

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.69%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+3.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+8.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 661.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β-0.085-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Galp Energia, SGPS, S.A. (GLPEY) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·3d agoPortugal's Galp files for arbitration in tax dispute with Mozambique, ICSID website showsreuters.com·20d agoIs Galp Energia (GLPEY) Stock Undervalued Right Now?zacks.com·56d agoIs Galp Energia (GLPEY) a Great Value Stock Right Now?zacks.com·73d agoShould Value Investors Buy Galp Energia (GLPEY) Stock?zacks.com·91d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $GLPEY on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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