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CVCVX

Chevron Corporation

$CVX·$351B·Oil & Gas Integrated·Energy
$183.89+1.3%YTD+20.8%1Y+22.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 380 posts2026-07-11: 134 posts2026-07-12: 236 posts2026-07-13: 431 posts2026-07-14: 315 posts2026-07-15: 272 posts2026-07-16: 261 posts2,065+17%
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 4h ago
CVCVX
$CVXChevron Corporation
$183.89+1.26%2.1k posts+17%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CVX, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Integrated oil major coiling on geopolitics — steady cash flow with option value on the Iran risk premium.

Chevron is one of the two integrated US oil supermajors — it drills, refines, and sells everything from crude to gasoline to lubricants, on a global scale. The stock has been rangy through the year, up 19% YTD, and the tape is now leaning bullish as Middle East tensions raise the risk premium in the crude curve.

  • Revenue was flat YoY at $47.6B last quarter but EPS came in 41% above consensus — the beat came from better refining margins and operating discipline, exactly what a supermajor is supposed to deliver in a lower-price environment.
  • Trades at 34x TTM earnings (skewed by low realizations) but a more useful 13x FY26 EPS estimate ($14) — reasonable for an integrated oil at this stage of the cycle, and a real 3.6% FCF yield anchors it.
  • Free cash flow was -$1.5B in Q1 due to timing, but Q3 and Q4 2025 generated $10B combined — cash generation is lumpy but structurally strong, and the dividend + buyback frame the total-return case.
  • No insider transactions in the last 30 days — the smart-money silence at 52% of 52-week range is more meaningful than any specific trade would be.
  • Position 52-week 52nd percentile and volume light — the stock is coiling, waiting on either a summer print or a further geopolitical spike to break it out.

July 31 earnings is the near-term signal — a revenue print stronger than Q1 with FY26 capex guide unchanged validates the setup; any indication of higher discretionary capex is where the tape softens. The real optionality is external: an escalation in Iran tensions puts CVX in the pole position among defensive cyclicals, while a ceasefire resolution takes the premium out overnight. Cash-flow anchor with a geopolitics kicker.

Agrees with X sentimentX is right the Iran-tension setup makes CVX the top-of-list ceasefire-collapse hedge, and today's relative outperformance vs a weak tape is the tell. Where I'd add nuance: the crude-oil target framing on X is speculative; the actual mechanics here are Chevron's cost discipline and cash returns, which work whether or not crude spikes.

What to watch: July 31 Q2 earnings — need a revenue print stronger than Q1 with FY26 capex guide held. Higher discretionary capex or a soft downstream margin is where the coiling breaks the wrong way.

On the calendar: 2026-07-31 — Q2 earnings

float missingbeta missing

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment19 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15

Chevron chatter is bullish on the oil/geopolitical setup. CVX +2.5% on the session as Dow -1.56% and S&P -1.02% - CVX was a top-mover. Bulls frame CVX 'looks enticing' with Iran tensions heating up again. Community treats energy as the top ceasefire-collapse trade. Some traders posted long CVX ideas with targets near $1.30 (crude-oil futures reference). A softer bear thread notes complaint about Trump-tariff-oil-spike-inflation being 'too fucked up.' Community also has $CVX Convex Finance crypto token discussion on the DeFi side. Net-bullish on the equity.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $CVX

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Major integrated energy company with upstream oil and gas production, refining, and chemicals operations across six continents.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Integrated sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CVX.

Oil & Gas Integrated · Energy

No material change from last week — sanctions easing would add 1-2 mb/d of Iranian supply, pressuring Brent and compressing integrated margins.

What this means for $CVX

Direct beneficiary — Major integrated energy company with upstream oil and gas production, refining, and chemicals operations across six continents; the business model is a direct conduit for the Iranian sanctions easing pressure on Brent integrated margin.

Industry benchmark

4-name peer basket
+30.7%YTD
+38.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
33.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
8.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
6.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
25.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 1, 2026$1.41$1.00+41.0%
Q4 2025Jan 30, 2026$1.52$1.41+7.8%
Q3 2025Oct 31, 2025$1.85$1.69+9.5%
Q2 2025Aug 1, 2025$1.77$1.73+2.3%
Next earningsFri, Jul 31·consensus EPS $5.28

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$47.6B+3.2%9.6%6.8%$1.12$-1.5B
Q4 FY25$45.8B-5.3%31.8%8.8%$1.39$5.4B
Q3 FY25$48.2B-1.5%31.1%8.9%$1.83$4.7B
Q2 FY25$44.4B-10.5%29.7%9.1%$1.45$4.9B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$227.3B$194.1B – $259.9B$14.05$11.72 – $16.3611
FY27$206.8B$192.9B – $219.4B$12.51$7.75 – $15.6010
FY28$200.9B$197.9B – $203.9B$12.60$10.07 – $16.3910
FY29$219.3B$197.4B – $245.1B$13.75$11.97 – $15.865
FY30$219.3B$197.4B – $245.2B$14.13$12.29 – $16.295

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.55%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+1.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+6.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 2.0B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.495-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 20John B HessDirector380.0K sh$73.4MSellMay 6John B HessDirector195.0K sh$36.0MSellMar 30Pate R. HewittChief Legal Officer40.2K sh$8.6MSellMar 6Pate R. HewittChief Legal Officer47.2K sh$9.1MSellMar 2Walz Andrew BenjaminPresident11.6K sh$2.2MSellMar 2Mark A NelsonChair139.6K sh$26.2MSellMar 2Michael K WirthCEO114.0K sh$21.5MSellMar 2Pate R. HewittChief Legal Officer29.3K sh$5.5MSellFeb 27Pate R. HewittChief Legal Officer11.9K sh$2.2M
+ 22 other (11 awards · 7 exempts · 3 discretionarys · 1 gift) in window

See when $CVX insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteMay 298-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Chevron Corporation (CVX) held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 27, 2026. All director nominees were elected for one-year terms; Wanda M. Austin received 98.8% of votes for and John B. Frank received 96.1% of votes for. Additional items were put to a vote as described in the filing. Routine annual governance filing with no material business impact.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 298-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Chevron Corporation's (CVX) Chief Legal Officer R. Hewitt Pate notified the Board on May 27, 2026 of his resignation, effective December 31, 2026, in connection with his planned retirement in June 2027. Pate will remain as a non-executive senior advisor through his retirement to support the transition of his responsibilities. This is a routine planned executive departure with a six-month notice period; no immediate operational impact is indicated.

8-KCharter amendmentMar 258-K — Item 5.03: Charter amendment
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 43
8-KOfficer or director changeJan 308-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
3New insider — initial holdingsJan 293
8-KOfficer or director changeJan 278-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 18 other (4 proxys · 3 13Gs · 3 earnings 8-Ks · 2 11-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Chevron (CVX) Rises As Market Takes a Dip: Key Factszacks.com·8h agoChevron Will Explore a Pipeline Bypassing the Strait of Hormuzwsj.com·9h agoChevron weighs new Iraqi oil pipeline to avoid Strait of Hormuz during Iran warnypost.com·11h agoChevron Will Explore Creating Strait of Hormuz Alternative for Iraqi Oilwsj.com·15h agoChevron to sign MOUs with Iraq for West Qurna 2 and Nassiriya oilfieldsreuters.com·15h ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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