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CVCVX

Chevron Corporation

$CVX·$372B·Oil & Gas Integrated·Energy
$201.88+1.1%YTD+25.1%1Y+26.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-20: 82 posts2026-08-21: 74 posts2026-08-22: 79 posts2026-08-23: 71 posts649+2%
Price updated 2d ago·X counts updated 6d ago
CVCVX
$CVXChevron Corporation
$201.88+1.06%649 posts+2%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CVX, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

The dividend-safety oil compounder with a big Venezuela catalyst — and a CEO who just took $63M off the table.

Chevron is one of two US integrated supermajors, with global upstream production, refining, and a chemicals joint venture with Phillips 66. The stock has run 25% YTD on rising oil-price optimism plus the market pricing in what appears to be a large-scale return to Venezuelan upstream projects being negotiated in Washington.

What's actually happening:

  • The operational base is solid but not accelerating — Q1 revenue of $47.6B grew just 3% YoY, and the last four quarters were between -11% and +3%; supermajor scale means most of the returns come from margin/pricing, not volume.
  • EPS beats have been meaningful — Q2 of $6.06 vs $5.55 (+9%) and Q1 of $1.41 vs $1.00 (+41%) show the operating leverage when oil-price realizations tick up; the 3.6% FCF yield and 8.4% operating margin support the dividend without straining.
  • Venezuela is a specific, dated catalyst — a US-approved arrangement letting Chevron migrate and expand Venezuelan oil projects would meaningfully add producing barrels at low cost of supply; the news is real and the closing terms will decide how much of the FY27 EPS ($12.46 consensus) needs revising.
  • The insider action is striking — CEO Mike Wirth exercised 634,200 options at $88.20 and immediately sold 317,100 shares for $63.57M on Aug 18; other officers added $4M+ in the same window at $200-205; a coordinated distribution near current tape.

The forward path is that Q3 earnings on Oct 30 confirming Venezuelan production commentary and any updated project-level cost-of-supply guidance moves the FY27 modeling higher. The bear case is oil prices reverting and the Venezuelan deal terms landing softer than the headlines suggest — either would give back the recent multi-month run.

What to watch: Q3 earnings on Oct 30 — specifically Venezuela project cost-of-supply and any FY27 volume guide. Also final Venezuela deal terms if announced. CEO Wirth's $63M sale at $200 is the tape's implicit reference price.

On the calendar: 2026-10-30 — Q3 2026 earnings

sentiment off equityinsider cluster sellinggeopolitical catalyst

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment93 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-29

$CVX chatter is a split between Chevron the equity and Convex Finance the DeFi token, both bullish. On the equity, US oil giants including Chevron are reported near billions-of-dollars investment deals in Venezuela's oil fields, potentially adding two heavy-oil ventures with PDVSA — read as a fresh macro tailwind. On the crypto side, Convex is being called out for a +21% day (versus CRV's +0.86%), Frax-gauge-expansion catalyst, reclaimed range, and continuation targets to $4-8. There is no meaningful bear voice in either lane; the aggregate tone is up-only.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $CVX

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Major integrated energy company with upstream oil and gas production, refining, and chemicals operations across six continents.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Integrated sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CVX.

Oil & Gas Integrated · Energy

No material change from last week — sanctions easing would add 1-2 mb/d of Iranian supply, pressuring Brent and compressing integrated margins.

What this means for $CVX

Partial — Major integrated energy company with upstream oil and gas production, refining, and chemicals operations across six continents; partial earnings exposure to oil & gas integrated demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Industry benchmark

16-name peer basket
+40.1%YTD
+42.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
33.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
8.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
6.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
25.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 31, 2026$6.06$5.55+9.2%
Q1 2026May 1, 2026$1.41$1.00+41.0%
Q4 2025Jan 30, 2026$1.52$1.41+7.8%
Q3 2025Oct 31, 2025$1.85$1.69+9.5%
Next earningsFri, Oct 30·consensus EPS $4.61

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$47.6B+3.2%9.6%6.8%$1.12$-1.5B
Q4 FY25$45.8B-5.3%31.8%8.8%$1.39$5.4B
Q3 FY25$48.2B-1.5%31.1%8.9%$1.83$4.7B
Q2 FY25$44.4B-10.5%29.7%9.1%$1.45$4.9B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$225.2B$195.7B – $247.2B$14.59$12.60 – $16.8811
FY27$205.2B$193.3B – $220.9B$12.46$9.58 – $15.4211
FY28$201.9B$178.8B – $214.2B$12.49$9.66 – $15.9611
FY29$217.8B$197.7B – $240.6B$13.37$11.77 – $15.185
FY30$217.9B$197.8B – $240.7B$13.64$12.01 – $15.495

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.81%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+7.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+12.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 2.0B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.495-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 18Pate R. HewittChief Legal Officer2.5K sh$507KSellAug 17Walz Andrew BenjaminPresident16.8K sh$3.4MSellAug 14Michael K WirthCEO317.1K sh$63.6MSellAug 11Jeff B GustavsonPresident14.0K sh$2.7MSellAug 5Michael K WirthCEO5.5K sh$1.0MSellAug 3John B HessDirector810.7K sh$157.4MSellMay 20John B HessDirector380.0K sh$73.4MSellMay 6John B HessDirector28.0K sh$5.2MSellMar 30Pate R. HewittChief Legal Officer40.2K sh$8.6MSellMar 6Pate R. HewittChief Legal Officer47.2K sh$9.1M
+ 20 other (11 awards · 6 exempts · 2 gifts · 1 other) in window

See when $CVX insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteMay 298-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Chevron Corporation (CVX) held its 2026 Annual Meeting of Stockholders on May 27, 2026. All director nominees were elected for one-year terms; Wanda M. Austin received 98.8% of votes for and John B. Frank received 96.1% of votes for. Additional items were put to a vote as described in the filing. Routine annual governance filing with no material business impact.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 298-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Chevron Corporation's (CVX) Chief Legal Officer R. Hewitt Pate notified the Board on May 27, 2026 of his resignation, effective December 31, 2026, in connection with his planned retirement in June 2027. Pate will remain as a non-executive senior advisor through his retirement to support the transition of his responsibilities. This is a routine planned executive departure with a six-month notice period; no immediate operational impact is indicated.

8-KCharter amendmentMar 258-K — Item 5.03: Charter amendment
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 43
+ 19 other (4 proxys · 3 earnings 8-Ks · 3 13Gs · 2 13Fs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Chevron vs. Occidental: Which Oil Major's Dividend Is Actually Safer?fool.com·15h agoChevron's Microsoft Data Center Deal Was a Bigger Story Than Its Earnings. Here's Why.fool.com·22h agoChevron: Current Venezuelan Possible Agreement Is Not A Near-Term Solutionseekingalpha.com·1d agoChevron Corporation $CVX Shares Sold by Beacon Pointe Advisors LLCdefenseworld.net·1d agoChevron to complete deal in Venezuela to migrate, expand oil projects, sources sayreuters.com·2d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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