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PBPBR

Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras

$PBR·$118B·Oil & Gas Integrated·Energy
$18.16-0.4%YTD+53.5%1Y+51.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-06-05: 35 posts2026-06-06: 43 posts2026-06-07: 59 posts2026-06-08: 151 posts2026-06-09: 140 posts2026-06-10: 176 posts2026-06-11: 154 posts760+25%
Price updated 16m ago·X counts updated 21h ago
PBPBR
Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras$PBR
$18.17-0.41%760 posts+25%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $PBR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-06-12

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Petrobras at 5.2x earnings with a 14% FCF yield — Itaimbezinho block acquisition and Ivory Coast deals add upstream exposure.

Petróleo Brasileiro (Petrobras) is the Brazilian integrated oil major — and 2026 is the year the deep-value-plus-dividend thesis is competing with the oil-price-direction call. Q1 revenue grew 11.7% YoY to BRL 23.53B at a 31% operating margin, 47% gross margin, and a notable 14% FCF yield. The catalyst stack: Petrobras acquired a 50% stake in Equinor's Itaimbezinho block in the Campos Basin (offshore Brazil), signed agreements for 8 Ivory Coast exploration blocks, and the daily signal screen flags PBR as a Bullish L2 setup with a 76% win rate. The PBR-vs-PBR.A spread is highlighted as one of the widest on record — pure arbitrage opportunity on voting rights and preferred dividend differential. The stock at 5.2x trailing earnings sits at the 63rd percentile of its 52-week range with vs-50d -10% (cooling), vs-200d +18% (still positive). XLE rolling in-the-money is driving traders to add PBR calls. The negative-0.16 beta makes PBR a defensive oil play on tape behavior.

Agrees with X sentimentAgree with the upstream-expansion-and-arbitrage framing — the Equinor Itaimbezinho 50% stake plus the 8 Ivory Coast exploration blocks are concrete upstream-exposure expansion, the PBR-vs-PBR.A spread arbitrage at record-wide levels is real, and the Bullish L2 signal with 76% win rate is the technical confirmation. The XLE roll-in-the-money tape is supportive.

What to watch: August 6 Q2 print plus the Itaimbezinho regulatory approval and any Ivory Coast first-block exploration progress. Bulls need production growth confirmation and dividend-yield holding; a Brazilian-government-driven dividend cut or any Brent sustained break below $60 invalidates the deep-value setup. Watch the 50d MA as the structural recovery trigger.

On the calendar: 2026-08-06 — Q2 earnings

deep valuehigh fcf yieldoil price dependentlow beta

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-11

Petrobras acquired a 50% stake in Equinor's Itaimbezinho block in the Campos Basin, which posters frame as a strategic alignment with internal governance procedures and an extension of upstream exposure. The PBR-versus-PBR.A spread is highlighted as one of the widest on record, prompting arbitrage commentary even as the only real difference is voting rights and preferred dividends. Daily signal screens flag PBR as a Bullish L2 setup with a 76% win rate, and XLE rolling in-the-money is driving traders to add PBR calls.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $PBR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Brazilian energy giant Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. (Petrobras) is deeply involved in the global oil and gas industry, conducting exploration, production, and sales activities both within Brazil and internationally. The company's diverse operations are organized into four primary business segments: Exploration and Production; Refining, Transportation, and Marketing; Gas and Power; and Corporate and Other Businesses. Overall, Petrobras’s activities span the entire hydrocarbon value chain. This includes the search for and extraction of crude oil from various sources—onshore, offshore, and unconventional formations like shale—along with its subsequent refining, processing, trading, and distribution. The company also manages natural gas, other liquid hydrocarbons, and refined petroleum products. Specifically, the Exploration and Production division focuses on discovering, developing, and extracting crude oil, natural gas liquids, and natural gas, primarily to supply the company's domestic refineries. The Refining, Transportation, and Marketing segment handles the refining, logistics, transport, commercialization, and trading of crude oil and various refined petroleum products. This unit is also responsible for ethanol exports, the extraction and processing of shale, and holds equity interests in petrochemical companies. The Gas and Power segment manages the logistics and trading of natural gas and electricity, including the transportation and commercialization of Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG). It generates electricity via thermoelectric power plants, holds stakes in natural gas transmission and distribution networks, and is engaged in both fertilizer manufacturing and natural gas processing. Finally, the Corporate and Other Businesses segment is dedicated to the production of biodiesel and its associated co-products, as well as ethanol, in addition to the distribution of various petroleum products. Petrobras was established in 1953 and its corporate headquarters are located in Rio de Janeiro, Brazil.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Integrated sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $PBR.

Oil & Gas Integrated · Energy

Iran's main oil terminal shutdown and geopolitical supply uncertainty are supporting oil prices above what demand fundamentals alone justify — XOM and CVX benefit from elevated oil prices while building LNG export infrastructure for long-cycle positioning. Both warn of potential further oil price spikes from geopolitical escalation.

See how Oil & Gas Integrated shapes $PBR

  • Where the industry is in its cycle and the catalysts moving it now
  • What this means specifically for $PBR's next move
  • Peer-basket or ETF benchmark you can use to gut-check the read
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Top industry ETF

$XLEEnergy Select Sector SPDR
+27.7%YTD
+32.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
5.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
27.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
14.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
26.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
46.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 11, 2026$0.70$1.02-31.4%
Q4 2025Mar 5, 2026$0.72$0.57+26.3%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$0.82$0.79+3.8%
Q2 2025Aug 8, 2025$0.64$0.70-8.6%
Next earningsThu, Aug 6·consensus EPS $1.22

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$23.5B+11.7%45.0%31.3%$0.96$3.3B
Q4 FY25$25.2B+21.2%46.1%20.8%$0.52$3.2B
Q3 FY25$23.5B+0.5%47.8%32.9%$0.94$5.0B
Q2 FY25$21.0B-10.4%47.6%26.0%$0.72$3.4B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$115.0B$113.2B – $116.7B$4.09$3.25 – $5.167
FY27$110.0B$90.2B – $121.2B$3.74$3.57 – $4.089
FY28$107.8B$87.8B – $124.1B$3.55$2.69 – $4.253
FY29$120.2B$97.9B – $138.3B$4.18$3.17 – $5.004
FY30$125.8B$102.4B – $144.8B$4.45$3.38 – $5.334

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.63%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-9.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+18.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 3.9B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β-0.165-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Know if $PBR is setting up — or just chopping

  • Volume multiple vs 30-day baseline — catch unusual interest before the move
  • Position vs 50d & 200d MAs and 52-week range — trend direction at a glance
  • Float bucket, beta, and active-offering flags — what kind of stock you're trading
Free, forever. No credit card.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyApr 2Laureano Angelica Garcia CobasChief Commercial Officer1.0K sh$9KSellApr 1Laureano Angelica Garcia CobasChief Commercial Officer19 sh$173
+ 4 other (4 returns) in window

See when $PBR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJun 3SC 13D/A
SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMay 21SC 13D/A
3New insider — initial holdingsMay 53
3New insider — initial holdingsApr 293
3New insider — initial holdingsApr 283
3New insider — initial holdingsApr 283
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 203
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
+ 99 other (77 6-Ks · 17 3s · 2 13Gs · 1 6-K/A) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Petrobras to Acquire 50% Interest in Exploration Block Offshore Brazilzacks.com·1d agoPetrobras to buy 50% stake in Campos Basin offshore blockreuters.com·2d agoPBR Enters Agreements for 8 Ivory Coast Exploration Blockszacks.com·3d agoEU to propose 21st package of sanctions targeting Russia's banksreuters.com·4d agoPetrobras and IG4 Establish New Governance Framework for Braskemzacks.com·8d ago

More in Oil & Gas Integrated

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

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Voices on X · top 7 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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