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BPBP

BP p.l.c.

$BP·$121B·Oil & Gas Integrated·Energy
$45.42+0.1%YTD+29.4%1Y+32.4%
Price updated 15h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
BPBP
$BPBP p.l.c.
$45.42+0.09%2.0k posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $BP on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

2,018X posts · last 7 days
Aug 31Sep 13
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $BP's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data17 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-16

This window's $BP posts are almost all about Backpack, the Solana-based exchange-and-wallet token, plus a Barking Puppy meme thread — not BP the oil major. Longs are betting on Backpack US launching and the token clearing $1 by month end, and one detailed short-thesis post that actually is about BP the oil name flags it as J.P. Morgan's most-crowded oil long and a fragile setup. Two conversations, one ticker, and the crypto-Backpack side dominates.

Read what X is saying about $BP

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
Free, forever. No credit card.

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $BP — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-09-17

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

European oil major near 52-week highs on FCF and buybacks, now a JPM crowded long.

BP is the integrated European oil major that has quietly outperformed — up 29% YTD and near 52-week highs on FCF, buybacks and a strategy pivot back toward hydrocarbons. It's now a crowded sell-side position, its own risk.

  • The core is generating cash again: FCF yield sits at 11%, one of the highest in large-cap energy, backing a buyback that's compounding per-share earnings even in a flat crude tape.
  • Fundamentals aren't the issue: Q1 revenue +11% YoY, gross margin 22%, op margin 13% — healthy for a downcycle-adjusted major, with the balance sheet no longer the story.
  • The risk is positioning: JPM has flagged BP as one of the most-crowded oil longs on the desk — a real countertrade setup if crude flinches or the buyback cadence changes.

Oct 30 confirms buyback pace and downstream margin; a miss on either turns crowded-long into a fast unwind from 92nd-percentile 52w.

What to watch: The Oct 30 Q3 print — buyback cadence, downstream margin, and any capex reset. A soft crude tape plus a buyback pause is what unwinds the crowded long.

On the calendar: 2026-10-30 — Q3 earnings

earnings within 60dcrowded longhigh fcf yield

Read the AI verdict on $BP

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Integrated global oil and gas major with a growing low-carbon portfolio spanning LNG, offshore wind, hydrogen, and EV charging.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Integrated sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $BP.

Oil & Gas Integrated · Energy

Oil above $100 sustains integrated-major free-cash-flow discipline; Chevron's $7B Venezuela commitment reflects long-cycle capital confidence. AI-optimised field operations and pre-salt deepwater production keep upstream costs contained while buybacks support equity returns.

What this means for $BP

Direct beneficiary — Integrated upstream and LNG trading benefit from elevated commodity prices; BP's low-carbon portfolio is a longer-term repositioning with limited near-term impact on oil revenue.

Industry benchmark

8-name peer basket
+57.2%YTD
+56.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
34.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
4.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
13.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
11.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
5.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
21.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 4, 2026$2.22$1.98+12.1%
Q1 2026Apr 28, 2026$1.24$0.91+36.3%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$0.60$0.57+5.3%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$0.85$0.72+18.1%
Next earningsFri, Oct 30·consensus EPS $1.70

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$52.3B+11.4%24.2%15.2%$1.50$-381.4M
Q4 FY25$47.4B+3.6%16.2%6.3%$-1.32$4.1B
Q3 FY25$48.4B+2.5%18.3%9.0%$0.45$4.6B
Q2 FY25$46.6B-1.4%18.3%8.9%$0.62$3.0B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$222.6B$185.9B – $278.3B$6.45$5.35 – $8.137
FY27$200.0B$164.1B – $268.5B$4.40$3.48 – $6.278
FY28$200.7B$161.6B – $248.0B$3.83$2.86 – $5.015
FY29$200.0B$161.0B – $247.2B$3.31$2.47 – $4.326
FY30$202.3B$162.8B – $250.0B$3.28$2.45 – $4.296

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.82%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+5.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+10.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 71.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today10.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β-0.215-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 30 other (25 6-Ks · 2 13Fs · 1 6-K/A · 1 11-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

BP PLC (BP) Shares Fall 3.4% -- GF Value Says Still Overvaluedgurufocus.com·2d agoBP (BP) Advances While Market Declines: Some Information for Investorszacks.com·3d ago4 Solid Shareholder Yield Stocks That Can Beat Rising Treasury Yieldszacks.com·3d agoAM Best Withdraws Credit Ratings of Saturn Insurance Inc.businesswire.com·3d ago4 Stocks Trading Near 52-Week High With More Upside Potentialzacks.com·3d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $BP on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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