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FNFN

Fabrinet

$FN·$20B·Hardware, Equipment & Parts·Technology
$412.93-0.3%YTD+14.3%1Y+23.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 9 posts2026-08-23: 3 posts2026-08-24: 13 posts338+2%
Price updated 3h ago·X counts updated 7d ago
FNFN
$FNFabrinet
$412.93-0.35%338 posts+2%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $FN, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeSelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Fabrinet just lost ~a quarter of its value in a week — real optical-manufacturing tailwinds but the group is cooling and CEO sold $1.7M into it.

Fabrinet is the leading contract manufacturer for precision optical products — the assembler behind many of the high-power lasers, transceivers, and CPO modules that power AI datacenters and telecom. The setup is a real-business name that just took a violent group-selloff hit.

  • The fundamental trajectory is genuinely strong: Q4 (fiscal June end) EPS came in at $4.10 vs a $3.81 consensus, Q1 (fiscal March end) revenue grew 39% YoY to $1.21B, and the sell side models revenue climbing to ~$4.6B this year and ~$5.7B in FY27 — Fabrinet management publicly flagged AI optical demand as "fueling years of growth" and announced capacity expansion this month.
  • The tape is nevertheless breaking down: the stock fell -23% in a single week as the photonics group repriced together (LITE, COHR, AAOI all down together), and Fabrinet is now 23% into its 52-week range and 23% below its 200-day — bounce-and-higher-low is what the chartists are waiting for before re-engaging.
  • The insider signal is the loud negative: CEO Seamus Grady's $1.24M F-InKind on August 24 (post-vest tax withholding) plus a coordinated cluster of ~$2.5M in mid-August across multiple officers into the drop confirms the tape read — plus the standalone news headline of the CEO selling $1.7M into a declining share price.

The setup is a real-business optical contract manufacturer breaking down technically while the fundamentals hold — the November 2 fiscal Q1 print is the referee, and the market needs continued 35%+ revenue growth plus reiterated FY27 EPS guide toward the $17.22 consensus. A clean beat plus visible AI-optical customer color breaks the break-down back into a bid; another quarter of guide-in-line with continued officer selling extends the break-down toward $350.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bearish X read on the photonics-weekend brief showing FN -23.4% among the sector's largest decliners and the "wait for bounce and higher-low confirmation before re-engaging" chart posture is factually consistent with the tape. The $1.6M September $400 call buy is a real contrarian tell but the modal read is trading-into-support, and the CEO's $1.7M sale into the decline reinforces the bear-caution read.

What to watch: The November 2 fiscal Q1 earnings — need continued 35%+ revenue growth, reiterated FY27 EPS guide toward the $17.22 consensus, and visible AI-optical customer color. A clean beat plus AI-optical customer names breaks the break-down back into a bid; another quarter of guide-in-line with continued officer selling extends it toward $350.

On the calendar: 2026-11-02 — Q1 FY27 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bearish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-28

Fabrinet posts lean bearish following the photonics-weekend brief showing FN -23.4% among the sector's largest decliners, and a chart-request post advising waiting for a bounce and higher-low confirmation before re-engaging. One post flags a $1.6M Sept 400 call buy, but overall tone is trading-into-support rather than bullish.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $FN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
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  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Contract manufacturer providing precision optical and electronic assembly for telecom, datacenter, and medical device OEMs.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Hardware, Equipment & Parts sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $FN.

Hardware, Equipment & Parts · Technology

AI server infrastructure buildout drives compute shipment volumes; Dell and HPE are riding the same hyperscaler capex wave that lifted NVDA. Non-AI commercial refresh remains soft, so the bull case is concentrated in AI infrastructure exposure.

What this means for $FN

Direct beneficiary — semiconductor products are directly in the AI capex supply chain; Fabrinet provides optical packaging and precision optical, electro-mechanical, and electronic manufacturing services in .

Top industry ETF

$SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF
+75.7%YTD
+110.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
53.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
16.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
9.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
5.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
19.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
12.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 17, 2026$4.10$3.81+7.6%
Q1 2026May 4, 2026$3.72$3.56+4.5%
Q4 2025Feb 2, 2026$3.36$3.26+3.1%
Q3 2025Nov 3, 2025$2.92$2.82+3.5%
Next earningsMon, Nov 2·consensus EPS $4.19

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$1.2B+39.3%11.6%9.6%$3.49$-10.8M
Q2 FY26$1.1B+35.9%12.2%10.1%$3.15$-5.3M
Q1 FY26$978.1M+21.6%11.9%9.6%$2.68$57.3M
Q4 FY25$909.7M+20.8%12.2%9.8%$2.44$4.5M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 6 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$4.6B$4.6B – $4.6B$13.81$13.76 – $13.845
FY27$5.7B$5.4B – $5.9B$17.23$15.99 – $17.996
FY28$6.9B$6.3B – $7.2B$21.37$19.95 – $22.784
FY29$8.4B$8.1B – $8.7B$27.09$25.67 – $28.261

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.23%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-17.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-22.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 35.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.225-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 22Homa BahramiDirector2.5K sh$1.8M
+ 24 other (16 inkinds · 8 awards) in window

See when $FN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementAug 178-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Fabrinet (FN), a Cayman Islands-incorporated optical and electronics manufacturer, filed an 8-K under Items 1.01, 2.02, 2.03, 5.02, and 9.01, disclosing a material definitive agreement, Q4 earnings results, a new debt obligation, and an executive officer change, all effective August 11, 2026. The breadth of items suggests this was a simultaneous earnings-and-financing event. No specific terms were available in the excerpt.

+ 10 other (6 13Gs · 1 10-K · 1 SD · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Wall Street Analysts See a 64.05% Upside in Fabrinet (FN): Can the Stock Really Move This High?zacks.com·5d agoFabrinet's CEO Sells Company Stock Worth $1.7 Million Amid a Share Price Declinefool.com·5d agoFabrinet Sees AI Optical Demand Fueling Years of Growth, Expands Capacitydefenseworld.net·10d agoWhy Fabrinet Shed Nearly A Quarter of Its Value This Weekfool.com·10d agoFabrinet Sees AI Optical Demand Fueling Years of Growth, Expands Capacitymarketbeat.com·11d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureQuantum ComputingAdvanced Packaging & AI InterconnectAI Photonics & Co-Packaged Optics

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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