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UMUMAC

Unusual Machines, Inc.

$UMAC·$634M·Consumer Electronics·Technology
$16.72+0.5%YTD+27.0%1Y+35.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 52 posts2026-07-10: 1,382 posts2026-07-11: 348 posts2026-07-12: 21 posts2026-07-13: 534 posts2026-07-14: 1,175 posts2026-07-15: 216 posts3,730+8%
Price updated 11m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
UMUMAC
$UMACUnusual Machines, Inc.
$16.72+0.48%3.7k posts+8%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $UMAC, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

The counter-drone story is a real category — this equity is a small-cap sentiment bet, not a fundamental one.

Unusual Machines is a small-cap counter-unmanned-aerial-systems play — meaning it sells anti-drone hardware and related components to defense and public-safety buyers. The stock is a sentiment vehicle on the wider counter-UAS category, not on its own numbers.

How the picture reads:

  • The category tailwind is real: the FCC's SAFER SKIES Act is genuinely accelerating US drone-ecosystem policy, and counter-UAS demand is on the up — but that lifts the entire category, not this specific equity's economics.
  • The fundamentals don't support the current cap: 52x TTM sales on $11M of 2025 revenue, with operating margin at negative 169% — meaning the company burns nearly three dollars for every dollar of revenue booked.
  • The retail model is aspirational, not modelled: bulls project $550M revenue as a '50x path' to $100 per share — that's a multi-year fantasy line, not a next-print base case.
  • The tape has cooled meaningfully: sitting 20% below the 50-day and today's 10% drop reads as the momentum crowd stepping aside, with volume 27% below the recent average.

The sentiment setup restarts on a specific event — a counter-UAS government contract award naming Unusual Machines by name, or a fresh Trump-tied news catalyst. What continues the cool-off is another quarter of $11M-run-rate revenue against the $30M Powerus investment burn without a contract-award announcement.

What to watch: The Aug 13 print — Q1 revenue trajectory versus the $11M 2025 base, any specific contract-award announcement, and cash burn. A contract-award-with-dollar-value line restarts the momentum; another quarter of run-rate burn without one continues the cool-off.

On the calendar: 2026-08-13 — Q1 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15

UMAC chatter is bullish counter-UAS defense. New counter-UAS press coverage for domestic drone manufacturers - UMAC has a $30M strategic investment in Powerus. FCC's SAFER SKIES Act implementation is a positive step for public safety and US drone ecosystem. Community models $550M revenue as ~$100 PPS 'when not if.' UMAC had $11M revenue in 2025 - bulls project 50x path. AlphaWolf called UMAC last year at $9. Bears note active sell-signal since early June; today's rally into 9 EMA curling down remains bearish absent Trump-news catalyst. Community broadly long.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $UMAC

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes FPV drone goggles and builds US-based drone component manufacturing for government and commercial builders.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Consumer Electronics sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $UMAC.

Consumer Electronics · Technology

No material change from last week — Apple Intelligence on-device AI and spatial computing remain the durable structural upgrade catalysts driving the first hardware-differentiated cycle in years; pullback is noise, not a thesis change.

What this means for $UMAC

Neutral — Makes FPV drone goggles and builds US-based drone component manufacturing for government and commercial builders; limited exposure means the on-device AI and spatial computing upgrade cycle is not a near-term catalyst or headwind.

Top industry ETF

$XLKTechnology Select Sector SPDR
+21.9%YTD
+37.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-221.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-8.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-169%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-4.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
52.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-3.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
34.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 14, 2026$0.21$-0.08+362.5%
Q4 2025Mar 9, 2026$-0.30$-0.10-215.8%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$-0.03$0.13-123.1%
Q2 2025Aug 14, 2025$-0.32$-0.07-357.1%
Next earningsThu, Aug 13·consensus EPS $-0.10

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$8.1M+296.4%32.0%-89.7%$0.22$-18.1M
Q4 FY25$4.9M+144.4%36.2%-199%$-0.35$-10.3M
Q3 FY25$2.1M+39.4%39.4%-232%$0.05$-8.8M
Q2 FY25$2.1M+50.5%37.4%-339%$-0.32$-2.9M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$39.5M$34.6M – $44.3M-$0.31-$0.36 – -$0.263
FY27$64.0M$56.0M – $71.8M-$0.55-$0.63 – -$0.464
FY28$172.1M$150.3M – $192.9M-$0.40-$0.46 – -$0.332
FY29$250.0M$218.4M – $280.3M$0.00$0.00 – $0.001

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.35%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-19.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+8.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 29.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today13.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β19.895-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 8Jeffrey M ThompsonDirector15.0K sh$411KSellJun 5Jeffrey M ThompsonDirector15.0K sh$404KSellJun 4Camden Andrew RossPresident100.0K sh$3.0MSellJun 1Sanford RichDirector25.0K sh$725KSellMay 27Hoff Brian JosephCFO150.0K sh$2.7MSellMay 21Sanford RichDirector1.4K sh$20KSellMay 21Hoff Brian JosephCFO11.4K sh$162KSellMay 21Camden Andrew RossPresident9.6K sh$136KSellMar 16Hoff Brian JosephCFO11.4K sh$212KSellMar 16Wright Stacy RochelleChief Revenue Officer13.8K sh$255K
1–10 of 12
+ 11 other (10 awards · 1 other) in window

See when $UMAC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementJun 258-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) entered into a long-term lease on June 25, 2026 with FGHP Triplex, LLC for approximately 14,000 square feet of manufacturing and operational space in Orlando, Florida to support the company's growing battery business. The press release confirms this is a dedicated battery manufacturing and operations facility. This is a material operational expansion — leasing dedicated manufacturing space signals UMAC is scaling its battery production capability beyond its prior footprint, though no dollar lease terms were disclosed in the excerpt.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 268-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Unusual Machines, Inc. (UMAC) furnished a new investor presentation to its IR website on May 26, 2026 as Exhibit 99.1. No specific content, business updates, or financial metrics are described in the 8-K body text. This is a routine Reg FD disclosure; the substantive content is only available in the attached exhibit.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 118-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

UMAC entered into a merger agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-05-11). Counterparty: Upgrade Energy LLC. Term: two-year. Size: approximately $52 million. Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 58-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

UMAC entered into a material definitive agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-05-05). Size: approximately $75 million. Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 218-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

UMAC filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-04-21. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 108-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

UMAC filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-04-10. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 78-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

UMAC disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-07). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Allan Evans, the Company’s Chief Executive. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 318-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

UMAC filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-03-31. Covers: investor presentation to the Company’s website. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

+ 13 other (4 8-Ks · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 424B5s · 1 13G) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

UMAC Bets on Organic Expansion for Sustainable Growth: Worth Buying?zacks.com·1d agoUnusual Machines Promotes Tyler Crane to Vice President of Productaccessnewswire.com·4d agoBillions Pour into Defense Drone Technology as Drones-as-a-Service Gains Momentumprnewswire.com·15d agoAMD Is Up 150% This Year But Here Are 5 Overlooked Stocks Betting on What Comes Next247wallst.com·16d agoWhy Unusual Machines Stock Jumped Todayfool.com·17d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Defense & Drones

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