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LPLPTH

LightPath Technologies, Inc.

$LPTH·$610M·Hardware, Equipment & Parts·Technology
$7.66-6.6%YTD-19.9%1Y-1.0%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
LPLPTH
$LPTHLightPath Technologies, Inc.
$7.66-6.59%177 posts1.1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $LPTH on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

177X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1.1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $LPTH's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 79% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data8 posts analyzed · as of 2026-09-16

Lightpath is a small-cap conviction thread heading into the fiscal-year print. Bulls flag Q1-Q3 revenue running at $15.1M/$16.4M/$19.1M with analysts finally catching up around $19-$20M, and treat anything north of $22M as a blockbuster. Non-germanium camera conversions are wrapping up, backlog was ~$110M and growing, and gross margin creeping toward a 37-40% target is the tell. The bear read is that momentum is dead until NGSRI confirmation lands, and the share count is drifting up.

Read what X is saying about $LPTH

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $LPTH — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Driven by hypeStalledAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

The move has stalled — likely just drifts unless something new shows up.

LightPath small-cap optics — Department of War prototype plus $110M backlog, waiting for fiscal-year print.

LightPath Technologies makes precision optical lenses, infrared imaging systems, and engineered optics for defense, imaging, and industrial customers. The stock is roughly flat YTD after a 41% TTM gain, consolidating around the 50-day MA ahead of the Nov 10 fiscal-year print.

  • The P&L is accelerating: revenue grew 109% YoY to $19.1M last quarter at a -0.8% operating margin and 31% gross margin — the non-germanium camera conversions are wrapping up, and the backlog of ~$110M is a specific forward signal that bulls can anchor.
  • The Department of War (DoW) prototype agreement for advanced germanium technology is a specific defense-contract win — plus the Michael Amorelli VP of Engineering promotion extends the operational depth.
  • At 11.4x sales for a small-cap optics name growing 109% with a $110M backlog, the valuation isn't cheap in absolute terms — but the gross-margin-approaching-37-40% target is the specific operational lever bulls lean on.

Stalled holds until Nov 10 fiscal-year earnings confirm revenue above $20M (approaching the blockbuster $22M+ bulls want to see) and gross margin trajectory toward 37-40%. A soft revenue print, or any specific commentary on non-germanium-conversion delay, is what tips this toward breaking-down; a $22M+ print plus a tangible defense-contract win commentary is what breaks the stalled tape higher.

Agrees with X sentimentX bulls citing Q1-Q3 revenue running $15M→$19M, analysts catching up to $19-$20M, $110M backlog, and the gross-margin 37-40% target have the mechanics right — the DoW prototype win is tangible, and the "blockbuster above $22M" framing is a specific threshold.

What to watch: Nov 10 fiscal-year earnings — Q4 revenue above $20M, gross margin trajectory toward 37-40%, backlog growth from $110M, and FY27 revenue guide. A sub-$18M print or margin disappointment is what breaks the stalled tape lower.

On the calendar: 2026-11-10 — Q4 FY26 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $LPTH

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Manufactures precision molded glass and infrared optical components for defense, medical, telecom, and industrial laser applications.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Hardware, Equipment & Parts sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $LPTH.

Hardware, Equipment & Parts · Technology

No material change from last week — AI data-center optical interconnect demand sustains order momentum.

What this means for $LPTH

Partial — Manufactures precision molded glass and infrared optical components for defense, medical, telecom, and industrial laser applications.

Top industry ETF

$SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF
+83.9%YTD
+70.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-37.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-6.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-12.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-2580%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
11.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-41.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
30.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Sep 10, 2026$-0.02$-0.01-233.3%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-0.02$-0.020.0%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$-0.20$-0.04-400.0%
Q3 2025Nov 11, 2025$-0.05$-0.06+16.7%
Next earningsTue, Nov 10·consensus EPS $-0.02

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$19.1M+108.9%33.8%-0.8%$-0.07$-1.84T
Q2 FY26$16.4M+120.2%34.1%-1.5%$-0.20$2.0M
Q1 FY26$15.1M+79.3%29.8%-16.6%$-0.07$-1.2M
Q4 FY25$12.2M+41.4%22.0%-38.0%$-0.16$-3.3M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 3 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$71.2M$69.2M – $72.9M-$0.22-$0.23 – -$0.223
FY27$105.6M$102.7M – $108.1M-$0.02-$0.02 – -$0.022
FY28$145.9M$141.9M – $149.4M$0.11$0.10 – $0.111

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.14%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-30.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-36.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 67.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today5.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.385-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 3North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, LpDirector3.6M sh$50.0MSellMay 18North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, LpDirector55.3K sh$681KSellMay 14North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, LpDirector165.0K sh$2.0MSellMay 13North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, LpDirector45.0K sh$553KSellMay 12North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, LpDirector83.1K sh$1.0M
+ 3 other (2 awards · 1 conversion) in window

See when $LPTH insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementJul 238-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

LPTH (LPTH) disclosed entry into a material agreement (Item 1.01, filed 2026-07-23). Key amounts: $4,500,000, $500,000. Review exhibits for full binding terms.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJun 4SC 13D/A
AI summary

With filed Amendment No. 5 to Schedule 13D disclosing updated beneficial ownership in LPTH (LPTH). The filing covers approximately 6,717,376 shares of LPTH. The position is held for potential M&A activity. Schedule 13D amendments are required when a 5%-or-greater holder's ownership, intent, or plans change materially, providing transparency into concentrated positions that could influence corporate governance or trigger M&A activity.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 3424B5
AI summary

LPTH (LPTH) filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement for a securities offering. The offering involves securities valued at approximately $0. The 424B5 is filed under an effective shelf registration, enabling rapid capital markets execution. Proceeds are expected to be used for general corporate purposes including potential acquisitions, debt reduction, or operational funding.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 3424B5
AI summary

LPTH (LPTH) filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement for a securities offering. The offering involves securities valued at approximately $0. The 424B5 is filed under an effective shelf registration, enabling rapid capital markets execution. Proceeds are expected to be used for general corporate purposes including potential acquisitions, debt reduction, or operational funding.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 38-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

LPTH (LPTH) disclosed a material definitive agreement under Item 1.01, reporting a merger or acquisition transaction involving growth company as defined in Rule. The deal is valued at approximately $50.0 million. Details of the transaction terms, consideration structure, and closing conditions are set forth in the full 8-K filing. Definitive merger agreements are among the most material events a public company can disclose, triggering regulatory review and shareholder vote requirements.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMay 14SC 13D/A
AI summary

North Run Strategic Opportunities Fund I, LP filed an amended Schedule 13D on LPTH disclosing beneficial ownership (10,319,347.00 shares) as of 2026-05-14. The filer's stated intent is passive investment with no plan to influence control of the company.

+ 63 other (22 EFFECTs · 22 POS AMs · 7 S-8 POSs · 4 13Gs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

LightPath Technologies Receives Additional $6.3 Million Follow-On Optical Assembly Order from Leading C-UAS & Defense Systems Supplieraccessnewswire.com·4d agoLightPath Technologies Appoints Photonics and Infrared Veteran Scott Payette as Vice President and General Manager of G5 Infraredaccessnewswire.com·10d ago5 Scary-Good Stocks With Strong October Catalysts and Breakout Potentialmarketbeat.com·20d agoLightPath Technologies Promotes Michael Amorelli to VP Engineering, Imaging Systemsaccessnewswire.com·26d agoLightPath Technologies Wins Department of War Prototype Agreement to Advance Germanium Alternatives for Infrared Imagingaccessnewswire.com·30d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Defense & DronesAI Photonics & Co-Packaged Optics

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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