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COCOHR

Coherent, Inc.

$COHR·$53B·Hardware, Equipment & Parts·Technology
$277.60+0.2%YTD+47.3%1Y+183.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 303 posts2026-07-10: 270 posts2026-07-11: 77 posts2026-07-12: 170 posts2026-07-13: 331 posts2026-07-14: 209 posts2026-07-15: 300 posts1,684-0%
Price updated 1m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
COCOHR
$COHRCoherent, Inc.
$277.60+0.23%1.7k posts-0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $COHR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

AI-optical supplier up 212% in a year — the 6-inch InP ramp is the whole thesis and August 12 is the print.

Coherent Inc. is the vertically integrated optical-and-photonics supplier whose 2026 tape has ridden the AI-datacenter wave to a $46B market cap. The stock is cooling on CPO-delay and China-capacity concerns while the InP-ramp story keeps bulls anchored.

  • The revenue ramp is real: Q1 2026 revenue grew 20.5% YoY to $1.8B, gross margin held at 38%, and operating margin was 8.2% — the photonics thesis is showing up in the P&L, though FCF yield of -0.9% reflects the capex ramp is still front-loaded.
  • Valuation has priced most of the runway: 120x TTM P/E and 8.7x sales at $299 puts COHR at the top of the optical-multiple range — the setup requires the 6-inch InP ramp to prove out over 2 quarters; visibility with tight supply/demand through 2027 is the whole thesis.
  • Analyst positioning is quietly rotating in: Sen. Whitehouse rotated $50K out of NVDA into COHR + MU (AI-supplier rotation), Rosenblatt defended AAOI/LITE/COHR/CIEN longs, and COHR +3% premarket on the China-semi rally — real institutional accumulation.

The August 12 Q4 FY26 earnings are the near-term arbiter — Q4 revenue trajectory, InP-ramp guidance, and hyperscaler-customer commentary extend the setup toward the InP-supply-tight scenario. CPO-delay confirmation or slower InP-ramp guide drops the tape into the $250 support.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish, cites Sen. Whitehouse's $50K rotation from NVDA to COHR + MU, Rosenblatt defending AAOI/LITE/COHR/CIEN longs, and the AI-supplier rotation from leaders to suppliers thesis. Mechanics validate: Q1 revenue +20.5% YoY at 38% gross margin, 8.2% operating margin, and the InP-ramp is real. The tension: at 120x TTM P/E, the multiple requires the InP-ramp to prove out — the August 12 print has to affirm.

What to watch: The August 12 Q4 FY26 earnings. Watch Q4 revenue trajectory, InP-ramp guidance, and hyperscaler-customer commentary. CPO-delay confirmation or slower InP guide drops the tape to $250; clean revenue + InP affirmation extends toward $350 setup.

On the calendar: 2026-08-12 — Q4 FY26 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment15 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15

Coherent chatter is bullish rotation-in. Sen. Sheldon Whitehouse rotated $50k out of NVDA into COHR + MU - framed as AI-supplier rotation from leaders to suppliers. Rosenblatt defended AAOI/LITE/COHR/CIEN longs against short-seller attacks. US chip stocks rebounded tracking a China semiconductor rally with COHR +3% premarket alongside MU/INTC/MRVL. Bulls flag the next 2 quarters as testing the 6-inch InP ramp, with visibility into supply/demand gap tight through 2027 - COHR positioned to benefit. A COHR 400mW-class laser noise-data thread argues Lumentum is technically superior, but this is minor. Community broadly long.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $COHR

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  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes industrial lasers, optical components, and photonic modules for manufacturing, telecom, and defense applications.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Hardware, Equipment & Parts sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $COHR.

Hardware, Equipment & Parts · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI data center buildout is intact but rotation from early YTD winners (SNDK +100%) compresses near-term premiums in the rack-to-server supply layer.

What this means for $COHR

Neutral — Makes industrial lasers, optical components, and photonic modules for manufacturing, telecom, and defense applications; end markets and revenue mix have limited overlap with the AI data center networking and compute hardware buildout.

Top industry ETF

$SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF
+71.9%YTD
+116.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
119.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
10.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-0.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
8.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
5.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
37.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$1.41$1.40+0.7%
Q4 2025Feb 4, 2026$1.29$1.21+6.6%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$1.16$1.04+11.5%
Q2 2025Aug 13, 2025$1.00$0.92+8.7%
Next earningsWed, Aug 12·consensus EPS $1.62

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$1.8B+20.5%37.7%8.2%$1.01$-383.5M
Q2 FY26$1.7B+17.5%37.0%11.8%$0.87$-95.7M
Q1 FY26$1.6B+17.3%36.6%10.9%$1.24$-58.0M
Q4 FY25$1.5B+16.4%36.6%10.4%$-0.83$-1.1M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$7.1B$7.0B – $7.1B$5.45$5.39 – $5.5516
FY27$9.7B$8.8B – $10.8B$8.33$7.33 – $10.1716
FY28$13.0B$13.0B – $13.1B$12.61$11.96 – $13.0311
FY29$20.0B$17.3B – $22.9B$0.00$0.00 – $0.008

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.54%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-24.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+12.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 146.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.045-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 12Sherri R LutherCFO2.0K sh$746KSellMay 11Howard H. XiaDirector2.0K sh$709KSellApr 22Sherri R LutherCFO2.0K sh$702KSellMar 17Howard H. XiaDirector3.2K sh$783KSellMar 16Howard H. XiaDirector1.0K sh$258KSellMar 10Eng Julie SheridanCTO1.5K sh$375KSellMar 9Stephen A SkaggsDirector3.5K sh$857KSellMar 6Enrico DigirolomoDirector3.9K sh$945KSellMar 2Eng Julie SheridanCTO2.8K sh$814KSellFeb 12Sherri R LutherCFO4.0K sh$871K
+ 19 other (12 awards · 4 exempts · 2 inkinds · 1 gift) in window

See when $COHR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 53
AI summary

A new insider filed a Form 3 with the SEC, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of COHR securities. This filing is required under Section 16(a) of the Securities Exchange Act within 10 days of becoming a reporting person (officer, director, or 10%+ holder). The filing reports 4 shares of common stock. Form 3 filings establish a baseline ownership record for subsequent Form 4 (changes) and Form 5 (annual) filings, providing transparency into insider positions at COHR.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 68-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

COHR reported third quarter of fiscal year 2026 ended March 31, 202 financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 288-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

COHR disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-28). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Chief Executive Officer, effective as of the Transition Date. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KUnregistered equity saleMar 28-K — Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
SC 13D/AActivist amendmentFeb 11SC 13D/A
8-KPress release / Reg FDFeb 48-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 10 other (7 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

3 Stocks to Consider From the Growing Technology Services Marketzacks.com·1d agoApplied Optoelectronics Falls 12%, Coherent and Lumentum Slide as AI Optics Trade Cools247wallst.com·2d agoCOHR's Post-Earnings Pullback Has Strengthened the Investment Casezacks.com·2d agoThe Physical AI Proof Points Are Suddenly Everywhereinvestorplace.com·4d agoThese Nvidia-Backed Darlings are Great Dip-Buys, Say Pros247wallst.com·4d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureQuantum ComputingRobotics & HumanoidsAI Photonics & Co-Packaged Optics

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Voices on X · top 8 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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