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ETETOR

eToro Group Ltd.

$ETOR·$2.4B·Financial - Capital Markets·Financial Services
$31.98+3.1%1Y-31.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 2 posts2026-08-23: 4 posts2026-08-24: 4 posts350%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 7d ago
ETETOR
$ETOReToro Group Ltd.
$31.98+3.06%35 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ETOR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-25

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Israeli fintech retail broker down 35% in twelve months — but MCP support for ChatGPT/Claude Code just launched, opening AI-agent trading.

eToro Group is an Israeli fintech that operates a retail investment platform combining social trading, crypto, equities, and other instruments. The stock is down 35% over trailing year at $29.07 with a $2.4B market cap — the recent IPO year has been rough despite genuine product innovation.

  • Q2 2026 EPS was $0.58 versus $0.611 expected (-5.1%) — the first meaningful miss after three consecutive beats (+40%, +9%, +15%); the miss coincided with the summer trading slowdown
  • Q1 2026 revenue was $268M — the year-over-year comparison shows -93% but that reflects one-off crypto-market activity in the base period, not the operating trajectory
  • Analyst 2026 revenue estimate is $963M on $2.88 EPS growing to $1.08B / $3.43 EPS in 2027 — the stock at $29.07 is 10.1x forward, cheap for the growth math
  • Return on equity 17.4% and free cash flow yield 13.6% — strong economics for a broker
  • On August 24 eToro added MCP (Model Context Protocol) support so ChatGPT and Claude Code can connect directly to accounts for voice-driven portfolio queries, live positions/prices, and future direct order placement — this is genuine AI-integration first-mover positioning
  • The new promotion pays $100 bonus for connecting an AI tool — real user-acquisition incentive
  • Insider signal is small: Directors Laura Unger and Lior Shemesh received small awards of 5,220 shares on August 3 — routine board comp
  • Beta 1.69 — market-linked with amplification
  • Position vs 200-day moving average is -17% — technically weak
  • Position in 52-week range is only 19% — near lows

At 10x forward with MCP AI integration and 13.6% FCF yield, the value setup is real; the near-term trading-volume weakness is the near-term risk.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish on the MCP AI integration and voice-driven trading capabilities. Fair — the AI-broker positioning is genuine first-mover; the near-term trading-volume slowdown is what's compressing the multiple.

What to watch: The Q3 print on November 9 needs trading-activity metrics stabilizing and any color on MCP AI-agent adoption — that combination determines whether the coiling resolves upward or triggers additional multiple compression.

On the calendar: 2026-11-09 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Talk skews bullish with several traders adding on the "post earnings crash" and framing eToro as "on track to become the first AI-led, and agentic brokerage in the world". One poster pitches it as "$100 stock in the making", another notes the market cap sits near "40% of their cash position", and it repeatedly appears among daily portfolio winners. One dissenting portfolio update lists it as a top loser on a red day.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ETOR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Israeli social trading platform where retail investors can copy professionals and trade stocks, crypto, and ETFs.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Capital Markets sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ETOR.

Financial - Capital Markets · Financial Services

IPO and M&A activity — the primary revenue driver for capital markets firms — is recovering as equity market strength rebuilds corporate confidence and sponsor exit windows open. Retail trading volume (HOOD's record signups) confirms the infrastructure layer captures incremental activity.

What this means for $ETOR

Partial — net interest margin and credit quality are the primary earnings drivers; eToro Group Ltd.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
+5.0%YTD
+13.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
10.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
13.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
2.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
13.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
17.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
7.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 11, 2026$0.58$0.61-5.1%
Q1 2026May 12, 2026$0.91$0.65+40.0%
Q4 2025Feb 17, 2026$0.71$0.65+9.2%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$0.60$0.52+15.4%
Next earningsMon, Nov 9·consensus EPS $0.47

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$268.0M-92.9%93.9%37.0%$0.98$102.2M
Q4 FY25$3.9B-33.8%2.9%2.2%$0.79$123.9M
Q3 FY25$4.1B+163.7%5.2%1.7%$0.66$39.9M
Q2 FY25$2.1B+13.1%10.0%2.0%$0.38$59.9M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$963.3M$935.6M – $992.0M$2.88$2.67 – $2.996
FY27$1.1B$1.0B – $1.1B$3.43$3.23 – $3.647
FY28$1.2B$1.1B – $1.2B$4.00$3.67 – $4.313
FY29$1.2B$1.1B – $1.3B$4.04$3.71 – $4.353

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.32%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-9.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-8.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 79.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.2% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.695-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 1Hedva BerCEO55.2K sh$2.3MSellMay 14Shalev EddyDirector100.0K sh$4.1MSellMay 14Santo PolitiDirector2.9K sh$119K
+ 10 other (7 awards · 1 exempt · 1 return · 1 other) in window

See when $ETOR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMay 15SC 13D/A
3New insider — initial holdingsApr 63
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
+ 14 other (7 13Gs · 5 6-Ks · 2 3s) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Why Etoro Stock Is Plummeting This Weekfool.com·18d agoeToro: Slowdown In Trading Activity Is Offset By Cheap Priceseekingalpha.com·20d agoThese Analysts Increase Their Forecasts On Etoro After Strong Q2 Resultsbenzinga.com·20d agoeToro Group Ltd. (ETOR) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·21d agoeToro CEO: Customers are using AI agents to trade 24/7 in their accountsyoutube.com·21d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Consumer Fintech & Neobanks

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Voices on X · top 7 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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