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NMNMR

Nomura Holdings, Inc.

$NMR·$27B·Financial - Capital Markets·Financial Services
$9.81+4.5%YTD+16.1%1Y+46.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-14: 11 posts2026-07-15: 22 posts2026-07-16: 14 posts2026-07-17: 10 posts2026-07-18: 41 posts2026-07-19: 6 posts2026-07-20: 54 posts158+60%
Price updated 5m ago·X counts updated 23h ago
NMNMR
$NMRNomura Holdings, Inc.
$9.81+4.47%158 posts+60%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $NMR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-21

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Nomura up 47% TTM after record annual profit — Japanese I-bank reports Q1 FY27 July 29.

Nomura Holdings is Japan's largest investment bank (Wealth Management, Investment Management, Wholesale) — a name that just posted a record annual profit and now trades at 83% of the 52-week range going into Q1 FY27 earnings.

  • The June 23 record-annual-profit disclosure is the specific catalyst-that-fired: sizable enough that the board raised CEO pay 36% — a management-signal that the trading-plus-wealth cycle turned decisively.
  • Growth is real: Q4 fiscal 2026 revenue of ¥1.36T was up 38.4% YoY after Q3 was +1.7% — the pattern showing the trading cycle is genuinely resurgent.
  • Beat cadence has been mixed on ADR basis: EPS surprises of -23.8%, -25%, +29.4%, -5.1% — the pattern of a foreign issuer where ADR conversion timing distorts sell-side estimates, so structural profitability matters more than the surprise number.
  • The June 23 five-tranche senior-notes offering (3-year floating, 5-year floating, 3-year fixed, 5-year fixed, 10-year fixed) is the specific funding action — routine access for a major Japanese I-bank, not a distress signal.

Path forward is the July 29 Q1 FY27 print — need FY27 EPS ¥131 consensus holding plus explicit wholesale-trading and wealth-management segment commentary. What extends the move: a beat-plus-raise plus specific Japan-corporate-M&A pipeline commentary; what invalidates: any wholesale-trading revenue reversion or a walked-back FY27 EPS trajectory.

What to watch: July 29 Q1 FY27 print — FY27 EPS ¥131 holding and wholesale-trading/wealth-management commentary matter most. A beat-plus-raise plus specific Japan-corporate-M&A pipeline commentary is the specific extension catalyst.

On the calendar: 2026-07-29 — Q1 FY27 earnings

sentiment missing

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $NMR

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Nomura Holdings, Inc. engages in the provision of investment, financing, and related services to individual, institutional, and government clients worldwide. It operates through three segments: Wealth Management, Investment Management, and Wholesale. The Wealth Management segment offers investment consultation services. The Investment Management segment provides investment management services and investment solutions, such as establishing and managing investment trusts, discretionary investment services, as well as investment and management for investment vehicles, and for funds for institutional investors, and management of silent partnerships. The Wholesale segment is involved in the sales and trading of debt and equity securities, foreign exchange contracts and derivatives; offers investment banking services, including underwriting and distribution of debt and equity securities, mergers and acquisitions, and financial advisory. The company was formerly known as The Nomura Securities Co., Ltd. and changed its name to Nomura Holdings, Inc. in October 2001. Nomura Holdings, Inc. was incorporated in 1925 and is headquartered in Tokyo, Japan.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Capital Markets sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $NMR.

Financial - Capital Markets · Financial Services

No material change from last week — Robinhood reporting its highest single-day signups confirms the retail infrastructure layer directly benefits from high-profile IPO cycles.

What this means for $NMR

Neutral — Nomura Holdings, Inc. engages in the provision of investment, financing, and related services to individual, institutional, and government clients worldwide. It operates through three segments: Wea; limited read-through from financial - capital markets macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
+4.8%YTD
+8.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
0.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
24.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
12.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
404%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
42.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
9.9Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 24, 2026$0.16$0.21-23.8%
Q4 2025Jan 30, 2026$0.18$0.24-25.0%
Q3 2025Nov 7, 2025$0.22$0.17+29.4%
Q2 2025Jul 29, 2025$0.24$0.25-5.1%
Next earningsWed, Jul 29·consensus EPS $0.23

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$1.36T+38.4%53.2%7.9%$24.79$0
Q3 FY26$1.17T+1.7%42.4%11.5%$31.76$0
Q2 FY26$1.11T-6.7%42.0%12.3%$31.34—
Q1 FY26$1.11T-5.3%43.0%14.4%$35.19$0

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.11T$2.06T – $2.19T$131.57$114.20 – $149.236
FY27$2.29T$2.13T – $2.43T$138.62$120.32 – $157.226
FY28$2.38T$2.06T – $2.72T$142.79$123.94 – $161.957
FY29$2.44T$2.19T – $2.69T$150.53$130.66 – $170.725
FY30$2.21T$1.98T – $2.43T$143.65$124.68 – $162.923

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.83%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+8.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+14.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 2.8B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.595-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 19 other (19 awards) in window

See when $NMR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 23424B5
AI summary

Nomura Holdings filed a preliminary prospectus supplement for a five-tranche offering of senior notes: 3-year floating rate, 5-year floating rate, 3-year fixed rate, 5-year fixed rate, and 10-year fixed rate notes, with aggregate amounts and rates to be determined at pricing. As a major Japanese investment bank, Nomura regularly accesses U.S. debt markets through its holding company structure.

3/ANew insider — initial holdingsJun 93/A
AI summary

Nomura Holdings Director Takahisa Takahara filed an amended Form 3 (Form 3/A) supplementing his March 18, 2026 initial disclosure, reporting 881 direct shares, 101,500 shares through Takahara Kosan K.K., and 98,000 shares through Tokyo Soft K.K. The amendment corrects or supplements prior ownership information for the director of Japan's largest brokerage and investment bank.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 103
3New insider — initial holdingsApr 103
3New insider — initial holdingsApr 103
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
+ 76 other (34 6-Ks · 25 3s · 8 13Gs · 2 S-8 POSs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

NMR vs. MKTX: Which Stock Is the Better Value Option?zacks.com·6d agoNomura: Favorable Prospects For Core Segmentsseekingalpha.com·13d agoShould Value Investors Buy Nomura (NMR) Stock?zacks.com·15d agoNMR or MKTX: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?zacks.com·22d agoNomura Raises CEO Pay 36% After Posting Record Annual Profitgurufocus.com·28d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $NMR on X in the last 7 days.

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