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TickerTalks›$HOOD
HOHOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

$HOOD·$101B·Financial - Capital Markets·Financial Services
$106.02-8.2%YTD-8.2%1Y+2.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 6,730 posts2026-07-10: 7,408 posts2026-07-11: 4,854 posts2026-07-12: 4,504 posts2026-07-13: 6,040 posts2026-07-14: 6,388 posts2026-07-15: 6,282 posts42,604+1%
Price updated 10h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
HOHOOD
$HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.
$106.02-8.24%43k posts+1%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $HOOD, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

The on-chain story is real; the CEO cashing in $43M on the same rally is the check.

Robinhood has quietly turned itself into a crypto infrastructure company sitting on top of a stock brokerage. The latest chapter is Rothera, its own on-chain network built to route memecoin and prediction-market volume through Robinhood's rails.

The two sides of the tape:

  • The on-chain traction is real and fast: Rothera's TVL is closing in on $300M with cumulative volume above $3B in weeks, and Uniswap alone pushed $1B on the chain in its first week — meaning fees flow to HOOD without adding a broker seat.
  • The core business supports the narrative: 82% gross margins and a 46% operating margin mean the crypto bolt-on is compounding on an already-profitable brokerage, not funding a speculative product.
  • The insider signal points the other way: CEO Vlad Tenev sold $43.6M into the run in early July, and three other officers/directors piled on — $48.5M of selling and zero open-market buying, exactly when the equity narrative was loudest.
  • Today's 8% drop is the market pricing the tension: after a rally that pushed HOOD 15% above its 50-day, the largest one-day decline in weeks reads as the on-chain excitement running ahead of the deliverables.

Rothera is a genuinely differentiated product — the risk is that the equity thesis and the CEO's timing have diverged. A next-quarter print with Rothera volume converting to real fee revenue restarts the move; another quarter of officer selling without offsetting fees is what cements the cooling.

Differs from X sentimentX is bullish on the Rothera and prediction-markets story with almost no meaningful bear case in the corpus, but the CEO's $43.6M sale into the same rally the crowd is celebrating is the specific data point they're not pricing.

What to watch: The Q2 print and transaction-based revenue line — Rothera-driven fees showing up above expectations restarts the move; another quarter of officer selling with fees flat confirms the CEO's timing.

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment92 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15

The story is Robinhood's new on-chain 'Rothera' chain and an accompanying $HOOD-branded memecoin economy: TVL is approaching $300M, cumulative volume has crossed $3B, and Uniswap volume on the chain topped $1B in the first week. Bulls point to insider buying (director Meyer Malka up 42% on a $55M purchase), the upcoming agentic-crypto trading launch, and a prediction-markets thesis with 'no ceiling' on revenue as reasons to expect a breakout toward $140. The counter-narrative is limited and mostly self-mocking humor about the memecoin frenzy rather than an actual bear case on the equity.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $HOOD

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates a commission-free brokerage app for stocks, ETFs, options, and crypto, monetizing via PFOF and Gold subscriptions.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Capital Markets sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $HOOD.

Financial - Capital Markets · Financial Services

No material change from last week — Robinhood reporting its highest single-day signups confirms the retail infrastructure layer directly benefits from high-profile IPO cycles.

What this means for $HOOD

Partial — Operates a commission-free brokerage app for stocks, ETFs, options, and crypto, monetizing via PFOF and Gold subscriptions; exposure exists but is diluted by diverse end markets and revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
+6.8%YTD
+12.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
39.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
46.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
16.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
21.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
82.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 28, 2026$0.38$0.39-1.4%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$0.66$0.63+4.6%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$0.61$0.54+13.4%
Q2 2025Jul 30, 2025$0.42$0.31+36.9%
Next earningsWed, Jul 29·consensus EPS $0.39

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.1B+15.1%80.6%38.5%$0.39$1.2B
Q4 FY25$1.3B+26.5%76.5%50.7%$0.67$-939.0M
Q3 FY25$1.3B+100.0%86.7%49.8%$0.63$-1.6B
Q2 FY25$989.0M+45.0%85.7%44.4%$0.44$3.5B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 19 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.0B$4.8B – $5.6B$1.89$1.61 – $2.2318
FY27$6.3B$5.6B – $7.7B$2.63$2.03 – $3.2019
FY28$7.4B$7.1B – $7.6B$3.19$2.73 – $3.8511
FY29$8.7B$7.9B – $10.2B$3.51$3.09 – $4.325
FY30$7.3B$6.7B – $8.6B$3.05$2.68 – $3.755

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.47%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+14.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+4.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 784.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.345-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 6Gallagher Daniel Martin JrChief Legal Officer10.0K sh$1.2MSellJul 6Vladimir TenevCEO375.0K sh$43.6MSellJul 2Steven M. QuirkChief Brokerage Officer19.4K sh$2.3MSellJul 2Paula LoopDirector8.3K sh$1.0MSellJul 2Treseder Oluwadara JohnsonDirector3.8K sh$441KSellJun 15Shiv VermaCFO4.0K sh$394KSellJun 11Baiju BhattDirector57.9K sh$5.2MBuyJun 5Meyer MalkaDirector250.0K sh$20.2MSellJun 3Gallagher Daniel Martin JrChief Legal Officer10.0K sh$837KSellJun 3Steven M. QuirkChief Brokerage Officer10.8K sh$931K
1–10 of 25
+ 44 other (21 awards · 15 exempts · 5 conversions · 3 inkinds) in window

See when $HOOD insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 23
AI summary

Dara Bazzano, Chief Accounting Officer of Robinhood Markets, filed a Form 3 initial beneficial ownership statement as of June 25, 2026. Administrative disclosure.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 268-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Robinhood designated Dara Bazzano (Chief Accounting Officer since April 2026) as the company's principal accounting officer effective June 25, 2026; CFO Shiv Verma retains the principal financial officer designation. Internal role designation clarification to satisfy SEC officer-responsibility requirements; no economic impact or compensation change disclosed.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 258-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Robinhood Markets closed a $2.2 billion private offering of 0.00% convertible senior notes due October 1, 2029 on June 25, 2026, including $200 million from the underwriters' full exercise of their overallotment option. The zero-coupon notes are senior unsecured obligations and will not bear regular interest. Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan led the placement to qualified institutional buyers under Rule 144A. At $2.2 billion, this is a major balance sheet build — Robinhood is positioning for acquisitions or significant product expansion; use of proceeds not specified in this excerpt.

8-KRestructuring / exit costsJun 168-K — Item 2.05: Restructuring / exit costs
AI summary

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) filed an 8-K Item 2.05 on June 16, 2026 regarding costs associated with exit or disposal activities. Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before the specific restructuring charge amounts or program details are disclosed.

8-KShareholder voteJun 38-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on the election of directors, an advisory say-on-pay resolution. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 88-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

HOOD disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-05-08). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-K/AOfficer or director change (amended)Mar 248-K/A — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

HOOD disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-24). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-KMaterial agreementMar 248-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

HOOD entered into a credit agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-03-24). Counterparty: S, as borrower, the lenders party thereto, and JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A.. Size: approximately $2.65 billion. Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

+ 17 other (3 13Gs · 2 proxys · 2 3s · 2 10-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) Beats Stock Market Upswing: What Investors Need to Knowzacks.com·2d agoTop 3 Crypto & Blockchain Stocks Powering the Future of Financezacks.com·2d agoRobinhood vs. StoneX: Which Brokerage Stock is the Better Buy?zacks.com·2d agoShould You Buy Robinhood Stock Before July 29?fool.com·3d ago‘They are relentless': A scammer is trying to change the email on my empty Robinhood account. What do they have to gain?marketwatch.com·3d ago

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