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TickerTalks›$HOOD
HOHOOD

Robinhood Markets, Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 15% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (429.3K/wk), no spike
$HOOD·$84B·Financial - Capital Markets·Financial Services
$104.81+0.5%YTD-19.0%1Y+3.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 138,831 posts429,316+48%
Price updated 4h ago·X counts updated 9d ago
HOHOOD
$HOODRobinhood Markets, Inc.
$104.81+0.53%429k posts+48%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $HOOD, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Retail brokerage is still a software-margin business — the year-long re-rate is just digesting.

Robinhood is the mobile brokerage that pulled a whole generation of retail into stocks, options, and crypto. After doubling last year on the crypto tailwind, the stock has been chopped for months and now trades near the levels its own crowd keeps trying to defend.

  • The engine is genuinely a software business dressed as a broker: last quarter cleared $1.07B in revenue at an 81% gross margin, and the trailing four quarters average north of 82% — meaning almost every incremental dollar of trading, options, and crypto activity drops toward earnings.
  • The revenue arc is choppy, not broken: Q4 peaked at $1.28B on the crypto blowoff, then Q1 stepped down to $1.07B — the seasonality Robinhood always shows, so a soft crypto quarter dents earnings visibility rather than the growth story itself.
  • Product widening is real, not just a chart pattern: the new $695/yr Platinum credit card and the crypto-chain flywheel push Robinhood into fee lines it didn't have last year, at a moment when analysts still model $5.1B of 2026 revenue and $2.02 EPS — roughly 25x forward earnings for a company with an expanding product surface.

Round two of the re-rate depends on crypto activity re-accelerating into the Nov 4 print and Platinum starting to pull real wallet share from the megabanks; without either, the stock drifts in the low-100s while last year's multiple resets.

Agrees with X sentimentThe X bulls are right that the fundamental engine is intact and the ~$106 zone is the crowd's line of first defense, but calling a HOOD 'coiled' setup off a -5% day and a broken YTD is optimistic — the digestion looks real, not a launchpad.

What to watch: The Nov 4 Q3 print — specifically whether crypto notional volumes and Gold/Platinum subscriber counts re-accelerate. Another sequential step-down would confirm the digestion.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment165 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Bullish and loud, with the Robinhood-Chain narrative dominant. Posters cite Goldman's raised $124 price target, the chain flipping Hyperliquid and Ethereum on 24-hour app revenue, $39M annualized chain revenue, and a "cup & handle" pointing to $145-150. Skeptics are few: complaints that crypto fees on HOOD are "daylight robbery," a critical Y-Combinator fund breakdown, and covered-call regret. Much of the corpus is meme-coin promo pairing tokens with $HOOD, treated here as noise.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $HOOD

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates a commission-free brokerage app for stocks, ETFs, options, and crypto, monetizing via PFOF and Gold subscriptions.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Capital Markets sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $HOOD.

Financial - Capital Markets · Financial Services

IPO and M&A activity — the primary revenue driver for capital markets firms — is recovering as equity market strength rebuilds corporate confidence and sponsor exit windows open. Retail trading volume (HOOD's record signups) confirms the infrastructure layer captures incremental activity.

What this means for $HOOD

Partial — REIT cash flows tied to occupancy, rent growth, and cap rate environment; Robinhood Markets, Inc.

Top industry ETF

$IAIiShares U.S. Broker-Dealers & Securities Exchanges ETF
+5.0%YTD
+13.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
39.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
8.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
46.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
16.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
21.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
82.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$0.62$0.44+40.9%
Q1 2026Apr 28, 2026$0.38$0.39-1.4%
Q4 2025Feb 10, 2026$0.66$0.63+4.6%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$0.61$0.54+13.4%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $0.48

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.1B+15.1%80.6%38.5%$0.39$1.2B
Q4 FY25$1.3B+26.5%76.5%50.7%$0.67$-939.0M
Q3 FY25$1.3B+100.0%86.7%49.8%$0.63$-1.6B
Q2 FY25$989.0M+45.0%85.7%44.4%$0.44$3.5B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 19 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.1B$4.9B – $5.6B$2.02$1.85 – $2.2018
FY27$6.4B$6.1B – $7.9B$2.73$2.42 – $3.2619
FY28$7.4B$6.8B – $9.3B$3.27$2.92 – $3.6714
FY29$8.8B$8.3B – $10.1B$3.81$3.49 – $4.519
FY30$8.0B$7.5B – $9.1B$3.50$3.20 – $4.1413

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.45%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+2.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+9.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 783.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.325-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 17Shiv VermaCFO4.0K sh$379KSellAug 14Baiju BhattDirector50.3K sh$4.9MSellAug 3Gallagher Daniel Martin JrChief Legal Officer10.0K sh$904KSellJul 24Baiju BhattDirector49.2K sh$4.7MSellJul 15Shiv VermaCFO4.0K sh$457KSellJul 6Gallagher Daniel Martin JrChief Legal Officer10.0K sh$1.2MSellJul 6Vladimir TenevCEO375.0K sh$43.6MSellJul 2Steven M. QuirkChief Brokerage Officer19.4K sh$2.3MSellJul 2Treseder Oluwadara JohnsonDirector3.8K sh$441KSellJul 2Paula LoopDirector8.3K sh$1.0M
1–10 of 30
+ 46 other (21 awards · 15 exempts · 7 conversions · 3 inkinds) in window

See when $HOOD insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 123
AI summary

Robinhood Markets (HOOD) filed a Form 3 on August 13, 2026 reporting the initial beneficial ownership of Robinhood Ventures Fund II (RVII), a 10%-or-greater owner and director-affiliated entity, with 1,091,957 total shares of Robinhood Markets. This Form 3 establishes RVII's reporting baseline under Section 16 rules, required because RVII holds more than 10% of Robinhood's equity. Future purchases or sales by RVII will be disclosed on Form 4. Robinhood Markets is the retail brokerage and fintech platform.

3New insider — initial holdingsJul 23
AI summary

Dara Bazzano, Chief Accounting Officer of Robinhood Markets, filed a Form 3 initial beneficial ownership statement as of June 25, 2026. Administrative disclosure.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 268-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Robinhood designated Dara Bazzano (Chief Accounting Officer since April 2026) as the company's principal accounting officer effective June 25, 2026; CFO Shiv Verma retains the principal financial officer designation. Internal role designation clarification to satisfy SEC officer-responsibility requirements; no economic impact or compensation change disclosed.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 258-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Robinhood Markets closed a $2.2 billion private offering of 0.00% convertible senior notes due October 1, 2029 on June 25, 2026, including $200 million from the underwriters' full exercise of their overallotment option. The zero-coupon notes are senior unsecured obligations and will not bear regular interest. Goldman Sachs and J.P. Morgan led the placement to qualified institutional buyers under Rule 144A. At $2.2 billion, this is a major balance sheet build — Robinhood is positioning for acquisitions or significant product expansion; use of proceeds not specified in this excerpt.

8-KRestructuring / exit costsJun 168-K — Item 2.05: Restructuring / exit costs
AI summary

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) filed an 8-K Item 2.05 on June 16, 2026 regarding costs associated with exit or disposal activities. Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before the specific restructuring charge amounts or program details are disclosed.

8-KShareholder voteJun 38-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on the election of directors, an advisory say-on-pay resolution. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 88-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

HOOD disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-05-08). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

8-K/AOfficer or director change (amended)Mar 248-K/A — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

HOOD disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-24). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

+ 16 other (4 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Robinhood and Interactive Brokers Both Ride Retail Volume. Only One Earns on Idle Cash.fool.com·2d agoRobinhood Markets (HOOD) Up 26.7% Since Last Earnings Report: Can It Continue?zacks.com·4d agoStrong Growth, Steep Price: Is Robinhood Stock Still Attractive?zacks.com·4d agoRobinhood's Setup Is Starting To Look Favorable, But I'd Be Patientseekingalpha.com·4d agoWebull Surges 8%, Robinhood Ticks Up as the Retail Trading Bid Extends247wallst.com·4d ago

In themes

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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