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TickerTalks›$DEC
DEDEC

Diversified Energy Company PLC

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 133% YoY at strong marginsCoiling in a constructive baseQuiet on X (6 mentions/wk)
$DEC·$997M·Oil & Gas Exploration & Production·Energy
$13.57-1.6%YTD-7.0%1Y-2.8%
Price updated 5h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
DEDEC
$DECDiversified Energy Company PLC
$13.57-1.60%6 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $DEC on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

6X posts · last 7 days
Sep 11Sep 27

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $DEC — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-27

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Diversified Energy is at 1.6x earnings with a 28% FCF yield — a real natural-gas producer the market has fully forgotten.

Diversified Energy Company PLC is a US-listed natural-gas producer focused on operating mature, low-decline wells across Appalachia and the US. The equity has been drifting despite substantive operational execution.

  • Growth is real: revenue grew 133% YoY last quarter to $812M and Q2 hit $521M with EPS mixed (Q1 EPS $2.05) — a scaled mature-well operator running steady economics with 47% gross margin, 35% operating margin, and 10% ROIC.
  • The valuation is extreme on cash economics: 1.6x earnings and 0.58x sales at a 28% free-cash-flow yield — priced like a distressed name despite the operating story executing.
  • The tape is coiling: shares at the 22nd percentile of range, -4.4% vs the 200-day, and -2.7% vs the 50-day on volume 20% below trend — a name being drifted through with modest interest.

There is no visible next earnings date — the trade lives on continued natural-gas price direction and DEC's operational execution. Any commentary on natural-gas-price outlook plus buyback commentary restarts the coil; a soft realized-gas-price number or a hint of ARO/liability pressure is where the setup fails. This is the mature-well operator trade at a distressed multiple with real cash generation.

What to watch: Any next-earnings-date confirmation, natural-gas-price outlook commentary, realized-gas-price trajectory, ARO/liability commentary, and any capital-return updates. Natural-gas price strength plus buyback commentary restarts the coil; an ARO/liability pressure is the invalidation.

earnings missing

Read the AI verdict on $DEC

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Appalachian Basin natural gas and oil producer acquiring and operating mature, cash-flowing conventional wells with a focus on environmental stewardship.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $DEC.

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy

No material change from last week — Oil retreats as Macron calls G7 to release strategic reserves, trimming the geopolitical premium added by Houthi Red Sea seizure.

What this means for $DEC

Neutral — Appalachian Basin natural gas and oil producer acquiring and operating mature, cash-flowing conventional wells with a focus on environmental stewardship.

Industry benchmark

27-name peer basket
+42.9%YTD
+29.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
1.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
9.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
34.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
27.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
64.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
46.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
3.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$-0.29$0.20-241.6%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$2.05$2.02+1.5%
Q2 2025Aug 11, 2025$-0.19$-0.190.0%
Q4 2024Mar 17, 2025$-2.12$1.32-260.6%

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$811.9M+132.9%100%58.1%$3.42$159.1M
Q4 FY25$873.1M+148.9%-2.4%12.7%$5.17$110.7M
Q2 FY25$738.3M+61.9%58.6%18.0%$-0.50$82.6M
Q4 FY24$446.2M-52.8%-14.1%-10.2%$-2.12$330.3M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 3 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.0B$1.9B – $2.1B$2.97$2.79 – $3.153
FY27$2.4B$2.3B – $2.5B$4.28$2.16 – $6.402
FY28$2.3B$2.2B – $2.4B$4.03$1.63 – $6.433
FY29$2.4B$2.3B – $2.5B$4.37$4.06 – $4.641
FY30$2.7B$2.6B – $2.8B$7.70$7.15 – $8.182

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.19%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-4.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-5.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β0.325-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 13 other (13 awards) in window

See when $DEC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementSep 98-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

Diversified Energy Company (DEC) signed an agreement to acquire Birch Permian Holdings Inc. via merger, plus the Birch II asset package (Milkwater LLC and Birch II EOC LLC) via a separate purchase agreement. The twin transactions expand Diversified Energy's Permian Basin footprint. Financial terms were not included in the available excerpt.

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 38-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Diversified Energy Company (DEC) announced on September 2, 2026, that it has entered into definitive acquisition agreements to acquire Birch Permian Holdings, Inc. and certain affiliated companies. No purchase price, share structure, or closing timeline details are included in the 8-K body — terms are in the Exhibit 99.1 press release and an investor presentation posted to the company's website. The disclosure was made under Regulation FD. Material: a new Permian Basin acquisition signals geographic expansion for DEC, which has historically focused on Appalachian natural gas assets.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 148-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Diversified Energy Company issued a Reg FD disclosure (Item 7.01) furnishing an RNS (Regulatory News Service) announcement dated August 14, 2026 as Exhibit 99.1. The subject of the RNS is not described in the 8-K body; full details are in the exhibit. Routine Reg FD disclosure; materiality depends on the RNS content.

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 108-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Diversified Energy Company (DEC) disclosed a board-level leadership change on August 5, 2026. David Johnson resigned immediately as Chairman and from two board committees, citing no disagreement with the company. The Board simultaneously reduced its size from six to five directors. CEO Robert R. 'Rusty' Hutson Jr. was appointed new Chairman, consolidating executive and board leadership under a single person.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 58-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Diversified Energy Company filed its Q2 2026 earnings 8-K on August 5, 2026, reporting financial and operational results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026 via a press release (Exhibit 99.1). Under Reg FD (Item 7.01), the company also posted a new investor presentation at div.energy. Diversified Energy is an NYSE-listed natural gas producer focused on acquiring and operating mature Appalachian Basin wells. No headline financial figures appear in the excerpt; both the press release and investor presentation contain the operative details. This is a routine quarterly earnings report with an accompanying investor presentation.

8-KAcquisition completedJul 68-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.01: Acquisition completed · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Diversified Energy Company (DEC), through special purpose vehicle DP Eagle LLC (60% owned by Carlyle Global Credit, 40% by DEC), issued $895 million of fixed-rate asset-backed securities on July 2, 2026, secured primarily by upstream producing assets in the Anadarko basin in Oklahoma. The ABS XIII Notes comprise $580 million at 6.071% Class A-1 Notes, $235 million at 6.820% Class A-2 Notes, and $80 million at 10.330% Class B Notes, all due 2046 with an anticipated repayment date of July 2031 and monthly principal and interest payments. Net proceeds funded a portion of the Anadarko basin asset acquisition, a liquidity reserve account, and transaction costs. The notes are non-recourse to DEC beyond the SPV assets and carry covenants typical for structured ABS transactions.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 263
8-KOfficer or director changeMay 218-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 12 other (5 8-Ks · 3 13Gs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Diversified Energy Company PLC (DEC) Sees a More Significant Dip Than Broader Market: Some Facts to Knowzacks.com·9h agoQ1 2026 Dividend Exchange Rate - Correctedglobenewswire.com·12d agoDiversified Energy Company PLC (DEC) Dips More Than Broader Market: What You Should Knowzacks.com·12d agoQ1 2026 Dividend Exchange Rateglobenewswire.com·13d agoWall Street Analysts See Diversified Energy Company PLC (DEC) as a Buy: Should You Invest?zacks.com·15d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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