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TickerTalks›$DEC
DEDEC

Diversified Energy Company PLC

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 133% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (22 mentions/wk)
$DEC·$1.0B·Oil & Gas Exploration & Production·Energy
$14.32+1.1%1Y-5.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-08: 0 posts2026-08-09: 1 posts2026-08-10: 6 posts2026-08-11: 5 posts2026-08-12: 1 posts2026-08-13: 3 posts2026-08-14: 6 posts22+6%
Price updated 15h ago·X counts updated 13h ago
DEDEC
$DECDiversified Energy Company PLC
$14.32+1.06%22 posts+6%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $DEC, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-14

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Diversified Energy just pivoted from acquisition-led to driller — the shift is real and the Q2 EPS miss reflects it.

Diversified Energy is a legacy-well aggregator playing a natural-gas + oil rollup strategy across Appalachia and mid-continent US. $1.0B mcap, price $14.17, t12m -7.1%, sitting at 28% of the 52-week range.

What's changing:

  • 8/6 Reuters: 'Diversified Energy turns driller in shift away from acquisition-led growth' — this is a strategic pivot. The company has historically bought producing wells; now they're drilling their own. The Oklahoma plan is the concrete manifestation.
  • Q2 print (8/5): EPS -$0.29 vs +$0.20 est (-242% miss) — this is either a transition-charge quarter or the operating reality catching up with the acquisition base. Contrast with Q1's +$2.05 vs $2.02 (+1.5% beat) and prior stable pattern.
  • Revenue Q2 $812M (+133% YoY), Q4-25 $873M (+149% YoY) — top-line growth is from the acquisition base rolling in, not organic.
  • 7/6 8-K: DP Eagle LLC (60% Carlyle Global Credit, 40% DEC) issued $895M of fixed-rate asset-backed securities — Carlyle is now the majority partner in the funding vehicle, which structurally changes DEC's risk profile.
  • 7/14 8-K/A: Amendment No. 1 to the May 8-K about closing the April 30 oil acquisition.
  • Analyst estimates walk revenue from $1.98B (FY26) DOWN to $1.74B (FY29) — sell-side is projecting a runoff, not growth.
  • D/E 3.12 is genuinely high — the acquisition-vehicle structure is leveraged.
  • 1.6x TTM P/E and 3.0x EV/EBITDA — deep-value optics, but the leverage is doing a lot of the work.
  • FCF yield 27.7% is the bull-case anchor for the credit market.
  • Insider Turner A-Award 8/5 — routine grant.
  • No X sentiment sample.

What you're watching: Oklahoma-drilling capex ramp and its impact on FCF yield, whether the DP Eagle Carlyle partnership drives further asset transfers, and Q3 print for confirmation the Q2 EPS miss was pivot-related, not deterioration.

What to watch: Oklahoma-drilling capex ramp impact on FCF, DP Eagle/Carlyle partnership evolution, and Q3 print.

no sentiment

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $DEC

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Appalachian Basin natural gas and oil producer acquiring and operating mature, cash-flowing conventional wells with a focus on environmental stewardship.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $DEC.

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy

No material change from last week — an outcome that compresses the upside price optionality that E&Ps have been pricing.

Industry benchmark

24-name peer basket
+39.6%YTD
+38.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
1.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
9.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
34.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
27.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
64.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
46.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
3.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$-0.29$0.20-241.6%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$2.05$2.02+1.5%
Q2 2025Aug 11, 2025$-0.19$-0.190.0%
Q4 2024Mar 17, 2025$-2.12$1.32-260.6%

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$811.9M+132.9%100%58.1%$3.42$159.1M
Q4 FY25$873.1M+148.9%-2.4%12.7%$5.17$110.7M
Q2 FY25$738.3M+61.9%58.6%18.0%$-0.50$82.6M
Q4 FY24$446.2M-52.8%-14.1%-10.2%$-2.12$330.3M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.0B$1.7B – $2.2B$2.71$2.29 – $3.064
FY27$1.9B$1.7B – $2.0B$2.25$1.41 – $3.094
FY28$1.8B$1.7B – $2.1B$2.48$1.20 – $3.315
FY29$1.7B$1.5B – $1.9B$1.62$1.37 – $1.832
FY30$1.9B$1.7B – $2.1B$3.26$2.76 – $3.682

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.30%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+6.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-0.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 36.0M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.305-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 34 other (31 awards · 1 gift · 1 inkind · 1 exempt) in window

See when $DEC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 58-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Diversified Energy Company filed its Q2 2026 earnings 8-K on August 5, 2026, reporting financial and operational results for the three and six months ended June 30, 2026 via a press release (Exhibit 99.1). Under Reg FD (Item 7.01), the company also posted a new investor presentation at div.energy. Diversified Energy is an NYSE-listed natural gas producer focused on acquiring and operating mature Appalachian Basin wells. No headline financial figures appear in the excerpt; both the press release and investor presentation contain the operative details. This is a routine quarterly earnings report with an accompanying investor presentation.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 68-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.01: Acquisition completed · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Diversified Energy Company (DEC), through special purpose vehicle DP Eagle LLC (60% owned by Carlyle Global Credit, 40% by DEC), issued $895 million of fixed-rate asset-backed securities on July 2, 2026, secured primarily by upstream producing assets in the Anadarko basin in Oklahoma. The ABS XIII Notes comprise $580 million at 6.071% Class A-1 Notes, $235 million at 6.820% Class A-2 Notes, and $80 million at 10.330% Class B Notes, all due 2046 with an anticipated repayment date of July 2031 and monthly principal and interest payments. Net proceeds funded a portion of the Anadarko basin asset acquisition, a liquidity reserve account, and transaction costs. The notes are non-recourse to DEC beyond the SPV assets and carry covenants typical for structured ABS transactions.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 263
8-KOfficer or director changeMay 218-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KMaterial agreementMay 198-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
8-KMaterial agreementMay 128-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KShareholder voteMay 128-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 68-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 17 other (4 8-Ks · 3 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

US-based Diversified Energy in early talks to acquire Birch Resourcesreuters.com·1d agoDiversified Energy Response to Media Speculationglobenewswire.com·1d agoDiversified Energy Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·7d agoDEC Q2 Earnings Call Spotlights New Oklahoma Drilling Planzacks.com·8d agoDiversified Energy Company (DEC) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·9d ago

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