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TickerTalks›$CRC
CRCRC

California Resources Corp

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 58% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (39 mentions/wk)
$CRC·$4.8B·Oil & Gas Exploration & Production·Energy
$53.52+1.5%1Y+8.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-06: 3 posts2026-08-07: 6 posts2026-08-08: 0 posts2026-08-09: 4 posts2026-08-10: 20 posts2026-08-11: 6 posts2026-08-12: 0 posts390%
Price updated 9m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
CRCRC
$CRCCalifornia Resources Corp
$53.53+1.47%39 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $CRC, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-13

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

California Resources is an unusual E&P — oil production plus a real Carbon Management platform

CRC is a $4.8B California-focused E&P with a differentiated Carbon TerraVault CCS platform (carbon capture, transport, and permanent storage) that puts it in the small group of oil companies with actual carbon-management revenue optionality. Q2 revenue $1.3B (+58% YoY) and operating margin 39% show the underlying oil business is producing real cash — Q2 FCF $263M.

  • The Aug 10 midstream acquisition ('Expands Integrated California Energy Infrastructure Platform') extends the vertical-integration story and provides gas-gathering, water-handling and CO2-transport optionality for the CCS build-out
  • The Q2 EPS miss ($0.99 vs $1.36 estimate, -27%) was hedge-driven — the Aug 11 Seeking Alpha framing 'hedges sap away earnings power' is right; underlying operational performance was strong, and hedges roll off
  • Small insider sale (Bys, $643K) on Aug 10 into strength is not a meaningful signal at this size; the more telling data is that CRC trades near flat vs both 50-day and 200-day MAs (-1%/-3%) and only at 36% of the 52-week range despite the operating strength

This is a debt-manageable (D/E 0.38) energy name where the market hasn't rewarded the CCS optionality yet. Nov 3 earnings is the next catalyst window.

What to watch: Progress on Carbon TerraVault permitting and any Class VI EPA well approvals, WTI price direction into Q3 for hedge-roll math, and integration of the newly-acquired midstream assets on the Nov 3 print.

On the calendar: Q3 2026 earnings, 2026-11-03

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

California-focused oil and gas producer pursuing a carbon capture and storage strategy alongside legacy upstream operations.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CRC.

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy

No material change from last week — an outcome that compresses the upside price optionality that E&Ps have been pricing.

Industry benchmark

24-name peer basket
+39.6%YTD
+37.6%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-40.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
19.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
26.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
11.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-3.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
25.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 10, 2026$0.99$1.36-27.2%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$0.88$0.83+6.0%
Q4 2025Mar 2, 2026$0.47$0.49-4.1%
Q3 2025Nov 4, 2025$1.46$1.31+11.5%
Next earningsTue, Nov 3·consensus EPS $0.89

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$1.3B+58.0%0.0%39.4%$5.79$263.0M
Q1 FY26$967.0M+6.7%40.1%22.2%$-8.02$-22.0M
Q4 FY25$871.0M-5.9%35.5%18.3%$0.14$116.0M
Q3 FY25$878.0M-11.9%38.4%20.5%$0.76$187.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.6B$3.4B – $3.8B$4.99$4.43 – $5.714
FY27$3.7B$3.5B – $3.9B$3.67$3.05 – $4.154
FY28$4.0B$3.7B – $4.3B$6.16$4.05 – $7.664
FY29$4.0B$3.6B – $4.3B$5.47$4.82 – $6.112
FY30$3.9B$3.6B – $4.3B$5.67$4.99 – $6.332

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.33%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-2.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-4.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 81.2M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.905-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 10Jay A. BysEVP & Chief Commercial Officer11.9K sh$643KSellJul 13Jay A. BysEVP & Chief Commercial Officer11.9K sh$643KSellJun 4Jay A. BysEVP & Chief Commercial Officer11.9K sh$734KSellMay 12Michael L. PrestonEVP, Chf Strategy Officer & GC26.4K sh$1.6MSellMar 12Canada Pension Plan Investment Board10% owner3.5M sh$213.8MSellMar 11Christopher D. GouldEVP & Chief Sustainability Off24.3K sh$1.5MSellMar 9Omar HayatCOO23.0K sh$1.5MSellMar 6Mcfarland Mark AllenDirector16.4K sh$1.1MSellMar 5Noelle M. RepettiSenior VP and Controller8.6K sh$546K
+ 39 other (22 awards · 17 inkinds) in window

See when $CRC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
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Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

California Resources: Executing On Strategic Priorities But Hedges Sap Away Earnings Powerseekingalpha.com·3d agoCalifornia Resources Corporation (CRC) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·4d agoCalifornia Resources Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·4d agoCalifornia Resources Corporation (CRC) Q2 Earnings Lag Estimateszacks.com·4d agoCalifornia Resources Corporation Expands Integrated California Energy Infrastructure Platform Through Strategic Midstream Acquisitionglobenewswire.com·5d ago

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