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TickerTalks›$COHR
COCOHR

Coherent, Inc.

$COHR·$74B·Hardware, Equipment & Parts·Technology
$270.25-2.7%YTD+72.2%1Y+216.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 44 posts2026-08-23: 40 posts2026-08-24: 112 posts762+5%
Price updated 9m ago·X counts updated 8d ago
COCOHR
$COHRCoherent, Inc.
$270.25-2.73%762 posts+5%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $COHR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-31

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

AI-optics giant with an NVIDIA $2B strategic stake and multi-year purchase commitments — the tape is cooling but the demand book has extended.

Coherent makes lasers, optical transceivers and photonic components — the hardware behind AI-data-center interconnect, industrial cutting and telecom. The stock has nearly tripled over the past year and just pulled back 5% in a broad AI-optics cool-off, even as demand commentary strengthened.

  • Revenue growth is genuine: Q3 was $1.81B, up 21% YoY, with operating margin expanding modestly — this is a business converting the AI capex cycle into P&L, not a story stock waiting to be proven.
  • The NVIDIA strategic anchor is the biggest single positive: NVIDIA's $2B stake and multibillion-dollar purchase commitment locks in demand and validates Coherent's optical-transceiver roadmap through 2028.
  • 800G and 1.6T transceiver capacity is booked out, and PhotonLink launches at ECOC on September 21 — the product cadence is now the story, and the vertically-integrated indium-phosphide substrate stack is the structural moat bulls anchor to.
  • Cash flow is the real caution though: negative Q3 free cash flow of $383M and $3.55B debt mean Coherent is funding growth capex heavily — the ramp works if capacity translates into revenue on time, but a slip creates real financing pressure.

The tape restarts working as long as PhotonLink launches cleanly and NVIDIA orders keep converting on schedule — November 4 earnings is when the AI-data-center revenue mix becomes visible. What invalidates: a hyperscaler CPO-transition delay or a working-capital-driven equity raise that pressures the debt-heavy balance sheet.

Agrees with X sentimentBulls' NVDA $2B stake, 800G/1.6T booked-out and vertical-integration-moat framing is validated by the operating numbers — 21% revenue growth, expanding margin. The negative-FCF and $3.55B debt cautions are honest but not thesis-breaking while demand keeps compounding.

What to watch: November 4 Q1 FY27 earnings and September 21 ECOC PhotonLink launch — need AI-data-center revenue mix expanding and clean product cadence. A CPO-transition delay or a working-capital equity raise invalidates the cooling-releases-higher setup.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q1 FY27 earnings

ai optics leadernvidia strategic investmentcash flow negativehigh debt load

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment54 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-31

Sentiment is decisively bullish. Bulls anchor on the NVIDIA "$3.1 billion" stake, a "market-leading AI data center customer" CPO purchase order that uses Coherent's in-house indium-phosphide lasers, and the PhotonLink launch at ECOC on September 21. Price targets clustered at $500 for 2027 keep getting reiterated through the photonics selloff, which posters treat as a dip-buy. The stated bear case - optics being a commodity with margin pressure - is largely dismissed.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $COHR

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  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes industrial lasers, optical components, and photonic modules for manufacturing, telecom, and defense applications.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Hardware, Equipment & Parts sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $COHR.

Hardware, Equipment & Parts · Technology

AI server infrastructure buildout drives compute shipment volumes; Dell and HPE are riding the same hyperscaler capex wave that lifted NVDA. Non-AI commercial refresh remains soft, so the bull case is concentrated in AI infrastructure exposure.

What this means for $COHR

Neutral — network operator exposure is to subscriber economics and capex cycles, not directly to the industry macro driver.

Top industry ETF

$SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF
+75.7%YTD
+110.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
119.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
10.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-0.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
8.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
5.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
37.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 12, 2026$1.74$1.62+7.4%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$1.41$1.40+0.7%
Q4 2025Feb 4, 2026$1.29$1.21+6.6%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$1.16$1.04+11.5%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $1.96

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$1.8B+20.5%37.7%8.2%$1.01$-383.5M
Q2 FY26$1.7B+17.5%37.0%11.8%$0.87$-95.7M
Q1 FY26$1.6B+17.3%36.6%10.9%$1.24$-58.0M
Q4 FY25$1.5B+16.4%36.6%10.4%$-0.83$-1.1M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$7.1B$7.0B – $7.1B$5.46$5.40 – $5.5616
FY27$9.7B$8.8B – $10.8B$8.37$7.33 – $10.1716
FY28$13.4B$13.4B – $13.5B$13.26$12.69 – $14.2311
FY29$17.9B$15.5B – $20.5B$16.63$13.63 – $19.661

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.54%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-12.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+1.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 18Sherri R LutherCFO3.0K sh$972KSellJul 22Sherri R LutherCFO1.0K sh$307KSellMay 12Sherri R LutherCFO2.0K sh$746KSellMay 11Howard H. XiaDirector2.0K sh$709KSellApr 22Sherri R LutherCFO2.0K sh$702KSellMar 17Howard H. XiaDirector3.2K sh$783KSellMar 16Howard H. XiaDirector1.0K sh$258KSellMar 10Eng Julie SheridanCTO1.5K sh$375KSellMar 9Stephen A SkaggsDirector3.5K sh$857KSellMar 6Enrico DigirolomoDirector3.9K sh$945K
+ 7 other (4 exempts · 2 inkinds · 1 gift) in window

See when $COHR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 128-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Coherent Corp. reported financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended June 30, 2026) via an 8-K filed August 12, 2026. The company also furnished an investor slide deck for use in discussions with investors and analysts. Coherent is a major maker of optical components, lasers, and compound semiconductors used in AI infrastructure and datacom networks. Detailed revenue and earnings figures were attached as exhibits rather than included in the body excerpt.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 53
AI summary

A new insider filed a Form 3 with the SEC, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of COHR securities. This filing is required under Section 16(a) of the Securities Exchange Act within 10 days of becoming a reporting person (officer, director, or 10%+ holder). The filing reports 4 shares of common stock. Form 3 filings establish a baseline ownership record for subsequent Form 4 (changes) and Form 5 (annual) filings, providing transparency into insider positions at COHR.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 68-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

COHR reported third quarter of fiscal year 2026 ended March 31, 202 financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 288-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

COHR disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-28). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Chief Executive Officer, effective as of the Transition Date. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

+ 9 other (6 13Gs · 1 10-K · 1 SD · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Will Datacenter Momentum Keep Powering Coherent's Growth?zacks.com·4d agoCoherent, Lumentum, and Other Hot AI Stocks Are Falling Today. They Shouldn't Be.barrons.com·4d agoCOHR vs. APP: Which AI Growth Stock Offers the Better Investment?zacks.com·5d agoEarnings Estimates Moving Higher for Coherent (COHR): Time to Buy?zacks.com·6d agoSK Hynix Just Expanded Coherent's AI Upside247wallst.com·6d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureQuantum ComputingRobotics & HumanoidsAI Photonics & Co-Packaged Optics

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