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TickerTalks›$COHR
COCOHR

Coherent, Inc.

$COHR·$46B·Hardware, Equipment & Parts·Technology
$232.90-7.1%YTD+33.3%1Y+100.8%
Price updated 7h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
COCOHR
$COHRCoherent, Inc.
$232.90-7.06%966 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $COHR on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

966X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $COHR's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 50% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data15 posts analyzed · as of 2026-10-02

X is bullish on Coherent as a core photonics name — Morgan Stanley reports optical vendors sold out 18-24 months, management cites a 3-4 year technology lead with substrate supply locked across five suppliers on three continents, and the bipartisan Senate bill targeting Chinese transceivers is a direct tailwind. Jefferies' AI transceiver forecast (180M units CY27, 245M CY28) completes the setup. The only moderation is a reminder the US bill carves out private datacenters.

Read what X is saying about $COHR

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $COHR — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Optical transceivers sold out through 2028 — the second big beneficiary of the AI connectivity shortage after Lumentum.

Coherent is the second major Western optical-transceiver maker (behind Lumentum) — plus a specialty-laser industrial business for semiconductor and defense customers. The stock is up 178% TTM on a Bernstein Outperform initiation around PhotonLink and the broader AI-data-center optics shortage.

  • The P&L is actually accelerating: revenue grew 20.5% YoY to $1.81B last quarter at a 10.3% operating margin — margin is still catching up to the top-line surge, but Jefferies modeling ~180M AI transceiver units in CY27 against today's shipment base is the trajectory the chart is pricing.
  • The supply moat is specific: management cites a 3-4 year lead and secured substrate supply from five vendors across three continents — the hyperscalers can't easily switch suppliers mid-cycle, so pricing power on 800G/1.6T stays sticky.
  • Insiders are taking some chips: director Enrico DiGirolamo sold $1.6M, officer Beard sold $155K, and director Neal-Graves sold $590K — plus a $100M special PSU award was granted to CEO Anderson, CFO Sherrer and other leaders (incentive to execute, not take money off).

Accelerating holds while hyperscaler optical orders keep pulling 1.6T production forward and the US anti-Chinese-transceiver legislation stays favorable. A soft Nov 4 earnings print, or any specific hyperscaler order push-out, is what cools the move; a FY27 revenue guide above $9B is what extends it.

Agrees with X sentimentX longs citing Morgan Stanley's 18-24 month vendor sell-out, the 3-4 year lead, five-vendor substrate supply, and Jefferies' 180M CY27 units are reading the mechanics correctly — the AAOI comparison is a reasonable debate between optical names, not a bear thesis on COHR itself.

What to watch: Nov 4 earnings — revenue versus the implied $1.95B quarterly run-rate, operating margin trajectory above 12%, and specific 1.6T ramp timing. A miss on 1.6T, or any backlog shortening commentary, is what cools the breakout.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q1 FY27 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $COHR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes industrial lasers, optical components, and photonic modules for manufacturing, telecom, and defense applications.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Hardware, Equipment & Parts sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $COHR.

Hardware, Equipment & Parts · Technology

No material change from last week — AI data-center optical interconnect demand sustains order momentum.

What this means for $COHR

Partial — Makes industrial lasers, optical components, and photonic modules for manufacturing, telecom, and defense applications.

Top industry ETF

$SOXXiShares Semiconductor ETF
+83.9%YTD
+70.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
119.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
10.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-0.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
8.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
5.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
37.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 12, 2026$1.74$1.62+7.4%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$1.41$1.40+0.7%
Q4 2025Feb 4, 2026$1.29$1.21+6.6%
Q3 2025Nov 5, 2025$1.16$1.04+11.5%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $1.98

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$1.8B+20.5%37.7%8.2%$1.01$-383.5M
Q2 FY26$1.7B+17.5%37.0%11.8%$0.87$-95.7M
Q1 FY26$1.6B+17.3%36.6%10.9%$1.24$-58.0M
Q4 FY25$1.5B+16.4%36.6%10.4%$-0.83$-1.1M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$7.1B$7.1B – $7.1B$5.48$5.42 – $5.5816
FY27$10.6B$10.5B – $10.9B$9.44$8.19 – $10.3316
FY28$14.7B$12.9B – $16.0B$14.14$11.75 – $17.1515
FY29$19.6B$18.5B – $23.4B$19.34$19.01 – $19.676
FY30$28.4B$26.1B – $32.6B$25.21$22.50 – $29.973

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.37%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-22.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-20.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 188.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today4.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.115-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 11Enrico DigirolomoDirector5.3K sh$1.6MSellSep 9Robert P BeardChief Strategy & Legal Officer500 sh$155KSellSep 2Lisa Neal-gravesDirector2.2K sh$591KSellSep 1Eng Julie SheridanCTO6.0K sh$1.6MSellAug 31Enrico DigirolomoDirector2.3K sh$629KSellAug 31Stephen A SkaggsDirector2.3K sh$629KSellAug 31Eng Julie SheridanCTO7.0K sh$2.0MSellAug 18Sherri R LutherCFO3.0K sh$972KSellJul 22Sherri R LutherCFO1.0K sh$307KSellMay 12Sherri R LutherCFO2.0K sh$746K
1–10 of 12
+ 17 other (9 inkinds · 6 awards · 1 gift · 1 exempt) in window

See when $COHR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 318-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Coherent Corp.'s Compensation and Human Capital Committee approved special incentive PSU awards on August 27, 2026 for key senior leaders totaling $100 million aggregate target value: CEO James Anderson ($50M), CFO Sherri Luther ($15M), CTO Julie Eng ($15M), Chief Strategy/Legal Officer Rob Beard ($15M), and Chief Supply Chain Officer Jeffrey Place ($5M). All awards vest based on significant share price growth milestones plus a relative TSR hurdle and require continued service through 2030. A $100M PSU grant package is a significant retention mechanism at a critical juncture in Coherent's transformation into an AI/data-center compound semiconductor leader; share-price milestone vesting aligns management incentives directly with stockholder returns.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 128-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Coherent Corp. reported financial results for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2026 (ended June 30, 2026) via an 8-K filed August 12, 2026. The company also furnished an investor slide deck for use in discussions with investors and analysts. Coherent is a major maker of optical components, lasers, and compound semiconductors used in AI infrastructure and datacom networks. Detailed revenue and earnings figures were attached as exhibits rather than included in the body excerpt.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 53
AI summary

A new insider filed a Form 3 with the SEC, disclosing initial beneficial ownership of COHR securities. This filing is required under Section 16(a) of the Securities Exchange Act within 10 days of becoming a reporting person (officer, director, or 10%+ holder). The filing reports 4 shares of common stock. Form 3 filings establish a baseline ownership record for subsequent Form 4 (changes) and Form 5 (annual) filings, providing transparency into insider positions at COHR.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 68-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

COHR reported third quarter of fiscal year 2026 ended March 31, 202 financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

8-KOfficer or director changeApr 288-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

COHR disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-04-28). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Chief Executive Officer, effective as of the Transition Date. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

+ 11 other (5 13Gs · 2 proxys · 1 ARS · 1 10-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

CRDO vs. COHR: Which AI Connectivity Stock Is the Better Buy?zacks.com·2d agoOptical Stocks Extend Slide as Money Rotates Into Defensives: Applied Optoelectronics Falls 6%, Coherent Drops 7%, Lumentum Slips 5%247wallst.com·2d agoCoherent Has Massively Diappointed Investors for 6 Months: A Respected Analyst Predicts It Will Double Moving Forward247wallst.com·2d agoCoherent Corp. Announces Timing of FY2027 First Quarter Earnings Releaseglobenewswire.com·3d agoCan Coherent's AI Data Center Expansion Fuel Long-Term Growth?zacks.com·3d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI InfrastructureQuantum ComputingRobotics & HumanoidsAI Photonics & Co-Packaged Optics

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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