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CCCCL

Carnival Corporation & plc

$CCL·$36B·Travel Services·Consumer Cyclical
$25.90-2.1%YTD-13.8%1Y-8.3%
Price updated 35m ago·X counts updated 5d ago
CCCCL
$CCLCarnival Corporation & plc
$25.90-2.12%353 posts1.1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $CCL on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

353X posts · last 7 days
Sep 28Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1.1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $CCL's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 83% of tracked names.

Mixed sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data11 posts analyzed · as of 2026-10-02

The thread is pre-earnings positioning for Tuesday morning — Carnival's market cap is down 26% YoY heading into print, Brent is up ~33% since the June report and CCL is unhedged, so the setup is explicitly "fuel miss vs 2027 booking test." There is no directional bias in the room; traders are naming it as one of several earnings plays alongside KMX, JBL and MU without staking out longs or shorts in advance.

Read what X is saying about $CCL

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $CCL — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Carnival just beat Q3 with best-ever revenues — the stock is still in the lower-third of its range because fuel is the overhang.

Carnival Corporation runs the Carnival Cruise, Princess, Holland America, and Costa brands — the dominant global cruise operator post the post-pandemic debt restructuring. The stock is down 18% YTD and consolidating around the 50-day moving average after Q3 earnings landed strong.

  • The P&L is actually working: revenue grew 6.1% YoY to $6.17B last quarter at 9.8% operating margin, and the Sep 29 release headlined "best ever revenues, net yields and net income" — the demand side of the business is undeniably robust.
  • At 12.5x trailing earnings and 1.44x sales for a cruise operator that is still deleveraging the pandemic-era balance sheet, the valuation is reasonable; the forward 2027 booking data is the real asset bulls lean on.
  • The S-3ASR filing (Sep 29) is routine shelf capacity, not a dilutive raise — and the lack of insider trading of consequence is governance-neutral at this phase of the cycle.

The coil breaks higher if fuel (Brent) stays below $75 through Dec 18 earnings and forward 2027 bookings keep extending. A Brent spike above $85, or any specific onboard-spending softening commentary, is what breaks the coil lower; a FY27 revenue guide-up with explicit onboard-spend acceleration is what extends the move toward the summer highs around $29.

What to watch: Dec 18 earnings — net yields trajectory, onboard spend sequential growth, 2027 forward bookings, and Brent crude price action. A Brent spike above $85 or soft onboard spend is what breaks the coil lower.

On the calendar: 2026-12-18 — Q4 FY26 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $CCL

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

World's largest cruise operator running Carnival, Princess, Holland America, and seven other brands across 100+ ships globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Travel Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $CCL.

Travel Services · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — resilient leisure travel demand sustains booking volumes across OTAs and cruise operators.

What this means for $CCL

Direct beneficiary — World's largest cruise operator running Carnival, Princess, Holland America, and seven other brands across 100+ ships globally.

Industry benchmark

7-name peer basket
-13.1%YTD
-3.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
12.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
11.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
16.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
7.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
26.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
37.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Sep 29, 2026$1.43$1.35+5.9%
Q1 2026Jun 23, 2026$0.41$0.34+19.1%
Q4 2025Mar 27, 2026$0.20$0.18+8.5%
Q3 2025Dec 19, 2025$0.34$0.25+37.0%
Next earningsFri, Dec 18·consensus EPS $0.22

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$6.2B+6.1%36.1%9.8%$0.19$697.0M
Q4 FY25$6.3B+6.6%26.7%11.6%$0.32$12.0M
Q3 FY25$8.2B+3.3%46.2%27.9%$1.41$736.0M
Q2 FY25$6.3B+9.5%38.6%14.8%$0.43$1.5B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 20 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$27.7B$27.5B – $27.9B$2.25$2.19 – $2.2918
FY27$28.6B$28.2B – $29.2B$2.56$2.45 – $2.7420
FY28$29.8B$29.6B – $29.9B$3.04$2.89 – $3.1914
FY29$31.0B$30.7B – $31.4B$3.57$3.53 – $3.637
FY30$31.8B$31.5B – $32.2B$3.67$3.63 – $3.739

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.40%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+6.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-3.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.2B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.385-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 28Deynes Bettina AlejandraChief Human Resources Officer43.1K sh$1.2MSellMay 11Stuart SubotnickDirector0 sh$5
+ 28 other (14 awards · 13 inkinds · 1 gift) in window

See when $CCL insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationSep 29S-3ASR
AI summary

Carnival Corporation filed an automatic shelf registration statement (Form S-3ASR) to replace its prior shelf registration, registering Carnival plc and Carnival UK Ltd as additional registrants. The filing is a routine renewal of the company's universal shelf, allowing it to issue debt, equity and other securities on a delayed or continuous basis; no specific offering size or proceeds are disclosed in this registration statement. This is a standard maintenance filing for a large accelerated filer and carries no near-term dilution signal on its own.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 58-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

CCL made a Regulation FD disclosure to provide material information simultaneously to all market participants. Reg FD prevents selective disclosure of material non-public information; investor presentations and press releases are commonly furnished under Item 7.01 for fair access by all CCL investors.

8-KAcquisition completedMay 78-K — Item 1.02: Agreement terminated · Item 2.01: Acquisition completed · Item 3.01: Listing / delisting notice · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 3.03 · Item 5.01: Change in control · Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Carnival Corporation Ltd. (formerly Carnival Corporation, redomiciled from Panama to Bermuda) and Carnival plc filed a multi-item 8-K on May 7, 2026, covering the apparent completion of a major corporate restructuring transaction (Items 2.01 completion of acquisition, 5.01 change in control, 5.03 articles amendment, 3.01–3.03 listing/securities changes, 1.02 termination of agreement). The body excerpt consists primarily of XBRL filing headers with no substantive narrative text; investors should review the full filing for transaction terms and financial impact. The redomiciliation and associated structural changes represent a significant corporate event for CCL shareholders.

8-KShareholder voteApr 208-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Carnival Corporation (CCL) held its Annual Meeting of Stockholders on April 17, 2026, with voting results disclosed in this 8-K. Director elections and other stockholder votes were conducted as described in the filing. Routine annual governance filing with no material business impact.

+ 17 other (6 S-8 POSs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Carnival Just Surged 17% in a Month: Take Profits, or Buy More?247wallst.com·1d agoHolland America Line Makes Spirits Bright with Joyful Holiday Festivities and Culinary Traditionsprnewswire.com·2d agoSEABOURN UNVEILS 2029 OCEAN VOYAGES FEATURING RETURN TO EGYPT AND NEW NORTHERN EUROPE ITINERARIESprnewswire.com·2d agoPrincess Cruises Unveils Expansive 2028-2029 Americas Season with Return to the Amazongurufocus.com·3d agoPrincess Cruises Unveils Expansive 2028-2029 Americas Season with Return to the Amazonprnewswire.com·3d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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