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ATATZAF

Aritzia Inc.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 43% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (1 mention/wk)
$ATZAF·$9.9B·Apparel - Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$97.61+1.9%YTD+15.8%1Y+75.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-16: 0 posts2026-08-17: 0 posts2026-08-18: 0 posts2026-08-19: 0 posts2026-08-20: 0 posts2026-08-21: 0 posts2026-08-22: 1 posts1
Price updated 6m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
ATATZAF
$ATZAFAritzia Inc.
$97.61+1.93%1 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ATZAF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-21

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Aritzia raised full-year revenue outlook after a Q1 top-line up 43% — the US expansion is the leg, and the tape has already run 78% year-on-year.

Aritzia is a Canadian fashion retailer building an aspirational women's brand with a rapidly scaling US store footprint and a strong e-commerce channel. The setup is a specialty-apparel compounder in its US-expansion phase with real operating leverage showing in the P&L.

  • Q1 fiscal-2027 revenue was $951M, up 43% year-on-year, with EPS of $1.03 versus $0.636 consensus (62% beat) — the top-line acceleration is the specific tell that the US store rollout and e-commerce mix are compounding.
  • Analyst estimates model FY26 revenue at $3.66B growing to $4.63B in FY27 and $5.33B in FY28 — the multi-year trajectory reflects continued US expansion, and consensus 2029 revenue at $5.9B implies growth persistence.
  • Trades at 54x trailing earnings, 3.9x sales, and 18x EV/EBITDA with a 34% return on equity — premium multiples that reflect the compounding, and the 3.3% free-cash-flow yield says operating leverage is real.
  • Sits at the 64th percentile of the 52-week range and 7% below the 50-day trend after today's -5% move — the equity has re-rated hard but is now digesting the run, on light volume.

What extends the move is Oct 8 Q2 confirming continued US comparable-store-sales growth and specific new-store productivity metrics. What breaks it is a specific US consumer-discretionary softening headline or a single-quarter miss on the US expansion pace; at 54x the market wants continued beats to underwrite the multiple.

What to watch: Oct 8 fiscal-Q2 earnings — consensus $0.748 EPS. Watch US comparable-store-sales growth, new-store productivity, e-commerce mix, and any tariff or import commentary given the Canadian-based supply chain.

On the calendar: 2026-10-08 — Q2 earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ATZAF

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Canadian women's fashion retailer designing and selling apparel under multiple house brands through own stores and e-commerce.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Apparel - Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ATZAF.

Apparel - Retail · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — TJX is being called 'Retail's Apex Predator' feasting on inflation, with excess inventory from full-price retailers expanding TJX's buying opportunity.

What this means for $ATZAF

Partial — Canadian women's fashion retailer designing and selling apparel under multiple house brands through own stores and e-commerce; partial earnings exposure to apparel - retail demand dynamics through its product portfolio.

Industry benchmark

14-name peer basket
+10.6%YTD
+54.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
54.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
17.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
14.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.9Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
34.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
45.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.8Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 9, 2026$0.70$0.64+9.4%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$0.84$0.76+11.5%
Q4 2025Jan 8, 2026$0.79$0.64+23.7%
Q3 2025Oct 9, 2025$0.43$0.28+52.0%
Next earningsThu, Oct 8·consensus EPS $0.75

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY27$951.0M+43.4%50.3%15.9%$1.03$8.8M
Q4 FY26$1.2B+32.5%42.7%15.4%$1.17$130.3M
Q3 FY26$1.0B+42.8%46.0%16.3%$1.20$209.5M
Q2 FY26$812.1M+31.9%43.8%11.2%$0.58$79.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.7B$3.6B – $3.7B$3.13$3.05 – $3.2115
FY27$4.6B$4.5B – $4.8B$4.84$4.65 – $5.1015
FY28$5.3B$5.0B – $5.5B$5.93$5.33 – $6.6915
FY29$5.9B$5.6B – $6.1B$6.69$6.27 – $7.0213
FY30$5.2B$5.0B – $5.4B$5.90$5.53 – $6.198

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.58%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-9.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+2.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 95.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.605-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Aritzia Shareholders Back Board as CEO Touts 35% Revenue Growth, U.S. Expansionmarketbeat.com·43d agoAritzia tops Q1 earnings estimates, raises full-year revenue outlookproactiveinvestors.com·45d agoAritzia's Stellar Quarter Doesn't Mean It's Time To Back Up The Truckseekingalpha.com·45d agoBreakfast News: Aritzia Weaves a Winning Quarterfool.com·45d agoAritzia Q1 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·46d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ATZAF on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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