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LULULU

Lululemon Athletica Inc.

$LULU·$15B·Apparel - Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$120.26-0.5%YTD-41.2%1Y-39.9%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 47 posts2026-08-22: 18 posts285+7%
Price updated 2h ago·X counts updated 9d ago
LULULU
$LULULululemon Athletica Inc.
$120.26-0.46%285 posts+7%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $LULU, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Lululemon 76% off ATH at 9x earnings — deep value with Burry long into a Sept 3 print, but the C-suite is bleeding.

Lululemon is the premium athleisure brand — women's leggings/tops as the anchor category, with men's and international expansion the growth vectors. The setup is a genuinely de-rated compounder with an imminent print.

  • The valuation compression is real: LULU trades at 9.0x trailing earnings against 56% gross margin, 18% operating margin, and 20% ROIC — a business still generating quality-tier returns priced as if the model is broken, and Magic Formula top-ranked deep-value screens are surfacing it.
  • Michael Burry is on the long side: SC 13D/A filings show significant new positioning (an unnamed Securities Exchange filer at 8.4% of shares, plus Dennis Wilson's family entities holding ~7.2% combined), and Burry's public disclosure of a long position into earnings adds a specific contrarian institutional tell — deep-value crowd is buying.
  • The offsets are competitively real: the Chief AI & Technology Officer Ranju Das ceased serving August 13 (immediately after Chief Strategy Officer also exited), gross margins are compressing behind ONON and DECK, and Vuori/Alo are taking share — UBS trimmed PT to $120 as the C-suite bleed and share-loss thesis dominates the near-term read.

Everything happens on the September 3 print — a clean beat with continued comp stabilization plus reiterated ~$13.05 FY EPS guide breaks the event-ahead up toward $150 (Burry's implicit target); another quarter of mid-single-digit revenue growth with a gross-margin miss confirms the share-loss read and takes the stock back toward the 52-week low near $110. The C-suite bleeding is the biggest execution risk into the print.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bearish X read on LULU's 76% drawdown, gross margins compressing behind ONON/DECK, share loss to Vuori/Alo, both the Chief AI/Tech Officer and Chief Strategy Officer exiting, and UBS trimming PT to $120 is factually consistent with the filings and analyst notes. The contrarian bull framing (Magic Formula top-ranked deep value at 9x P/E, Burry long into earnings) is equally real — both sides are looking at the September 3 print for resolution.

What to watch: The September 3 Q2 earnings — need a clean beat with continued comp stabilization, reiterated ~$13.05 FY EPS guide, and gross-margin holding above 55%. Another quarter of mid-single-digit revenue growth with a gross-margin miss confirms the share-loss read and takes the stock toward the 52-week low near $110; a clean beat plus Burry-validated turnaround breaks event-ahead up toward $150.

On the calendar: 2026-09-03 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment57 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

The conversation is split ahead of the September 2 print. Contrarians, including Michael Burry, argue an 80% drawdown, single-digit P/E, zero debt and Abercrombie-and-Gap-style earnings reactions set up a rebound trade. Bears point to five straight quarters of falling earnings, guidance cuts, back-to-back C-suite departures with the new CEO not yet started, China backlash, and share losses to Vuori and Alo, with technicians eyeing an $82 head-and-shoulders target.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $LULU

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Premium athletic apparel brand selling yoga and training wear through stores and DTC channels, with strong brand loyalty and international growth.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Apparel - Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $LULU.

Apparel - Retail · Consumer Cyclical

Consumer discretionary softness and inventory normalization are the near-term headwinds; athleisure demand trends favor performance-focused brands over fashion-driven ones. China sourcing exposure — and tariff pass-through — is the cost-structure risk for the category.

What this means for $LULU

Partial — consumer discretionary / retail performance tracks consumer spending trends; Lululemon Athletica Inc.

Industry benchmark

14-name peer basket
+14.7%YTD
+52.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
9.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
20.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
18.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
9.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
31.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
55.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 4, 2026$1.69$1.67+1.2%
Q4 2025Mar 17, 2026$5.01$4.76+5.3%
Q3 2025Dec 11, 2025$2.59$2.22+16.7%
Q2 2025Sep 4, 2025$3.10$2.91+6.5%
Next earningsThu, Sep 3·consensus EPS $1.79

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY25$3.6B+0.8%54.9%22.1%$4.97$959.7M
Q3 FY25$2.6B+7.1%55.6%17.0%$2.59$82.4M
Q2 FY25$2.5B+6.5%58.5%20.7%$3.10$150.8M
Q1 FY25$2.4B+7.3%58.3%18.5%$2.61$-271.2M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 24 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$11.0B$11.0B – $11.1B$13.05$12.99 – $13.1520
FY27$11.0B$10.9B – $11.2B$10.94$10.33 – $11.1524
FY28$11.4B$11.1B – $11.6B$11.31$10.04 – $12.3524
FY29$11.9B$10.8B – $12.6B$12.29$11.34 – $15.3313
FY30$12.9B$12.3B – $13.2B$12.79$12.08 – $13.2412

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.13%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+2.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-21.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β0.865-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJun 15Charles V BerghDirector4.3K sh$500KSellApr 8Nicole NeuburgerChief Brand Officer622 sh$100KBuyApr 1Andre MaestriniCEO3.3K sh$495KBuyMar 20Charles V BerghDirector6.1K sh$1000K
+ 38 other (24 awards · 11 inkinds · 3 exempts) in window

See when $LULU insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentAug 3SC 13D/A
AI summary

Securities Exchange filed a amended Schedule 13D disclosing significant beneficial ownership of LULU. The filer reported owning approximately 8.4 % of LULU's outstanding shares. 13D filings are required when a party acquires more than 5% of a company with intent to engage management, and may signal activist interest or strategic accumulation in LULU.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJul 20SC 13D/A
AI summary

Dennis J. Wilson (lululemon athletica founder) and related entities — Anamered Investments Inc. (4,755,217 shares, 4.2%), LIPO Investments (USA), Inc. (3,401,596 shares, 3.0%), and Wilson 5 Foundation — filed Amendment No. 23 to Schedule 13D for lululemon athletica inc. as of July 17, 2026, disclosing combined beneficial ownership of 9,740,710 shares (8.6% of class). The specific change triggering this amendment is not identified in the excerpt. Wilson's aggregate stake remains substantial and unchanged in intent based on the excerpt — no acquisition or activist language is visible.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 293
AI summary

Marc Maurer (director, Vancouver) filed a Form 3 initial beneficial ownership statement for lululemon athletica as of June 25, 2026, per the cooperation agreement with Chip Wilson's group. Administrative disclosure for a newly appointed LULU director.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 293
AI summary

Laura Gentile (director, Vancouver) filed a Form 3 initial beneficial ownership statement for lululemon athletica as of June 25, 2026, per the cooperation agreement with Chip Wilson's group. Administrative disclosure for a second newly appointed LULU director.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 268-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

lululemon's Board appointed Laura Gentile and Marc Maurer as directors effective June 25, 2026, expanding from 9 to 11 members per the cooperation agreement with Chip Wilson and related parties. Board expansion per agreement with founding shareholder Wilson, achieving activist-backed board representation.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMay 28SC 13D/A
AI summary

LIPO Investments (USA), Inc. — affiliated with lululemon founder Chip Wilson — filed an amendment to its Schedule 13D for lululemon athletica inc. reporting approximately 4.2% beneficial ownership. This update coincides with the May 26, 2026 Cooperation Agreement between Wilson and lululemon under which Wilson agreed to governance terms and the company will appoint Wilson-approved independent directors. The 13D/A reflects the ongoing active engagement of Wilson's camp with lululemon's board composition.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 278-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

lululemon athletica inc. entered into a Cooperation Agreement with founder Chip Wilson and affiliated entities on May 26, 2026, under which lululemon will appoint Laura Gentile and Marc Maurer as independent directors immediately following the 2026 Annual Meeting, increase the board size accordingly, and appoint a third new director with apparel/brand expertise by October 1, 2026 — subject to Wilson's approval. One incumbent director will not stand for reelection in 2027. In exchange, Wilson and affiliates agree to governance conditions including standstill provisions. This negotiated board refreshment ends (for now) Wilson's public pressure campaign on lululemon, though the conditions embedded in the agreement signal ongoing founder influence over board composition.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMay 20SC 13D/A
AI summary

Dennis J. Wilson, founder of lululemon athletica inc. (LULU), filed Amendment No. 21 to his Schedule 13D on May 18, 2026, reflecting an updated position in lululemon's common stock (CUSIP 550021109). Wilson is a Vancouver, Canada-based individual filer and lululemon's founder and largest individual shareholder. As a 13D filer, Wilson's position changes and intent are closely tracked; this amendment reflects his latest holdings or plan update but specific share counts and changes are not visible in the excerpt.

+ 64 other (26 DFAN14As · 13 proxys · 7 SC 13D/As · 3 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Will Lululemon (LULU) Beat Estimates Again in Its Next Earnings Report?zacks.com·4d agoThe Week Ahead: August Jobs Report Takes Center Stageschaeffersresearch.com·4d agolululemon Q2 Earnings Upcoming: Is It Likely to Surprise Investors?zacks.com·5d agoLululemon (LULU) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: Should You Buy?zacks.com·5d agolululemon athletica inc. $LULU Shares Acquired by Algert Global LLCdefenseworld.net·5d ago

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