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GAGAP

The Gap, Inc.

Rising onWhy it's trendingX chatter spiked vs its recent normBacked by solid revenue growth
$GAP·$7.0B·Apparel - Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$20.84+2.8%YTD-21.3%1Y-2.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-09: 29 posts2026-07-10: 37 posts2026-07-11: 21 posts2026-07-12: 37 posts2026-07-13: 107 posts2026-07-14: 98 posts2026-07-15: 172 posts501+67%
Price updated 5m ago·X counts updated 16h ago
GAGAP
$GAPThe Gap, Inc.
$20.84+2.76%501 posts+67%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $GAP, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-15

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Apparel turnaround at 8x PE with 16% FCF yield — Athleta rebuild is the specific question Aug 27 has to answer.

Gap Inc. owns four apparel brands — Gap, Old Navy, Banana Republic, and Athleta. It's a value-turnaround story with a genuine cash-flow profile and a chart that hasn't cooperated with the operational improvement.

Where the setup lands:

  • Growth is modest but stable: Q1 revenue grew 1% year-over-year to $3.5B — flat top line, but operating margin at 13% is up from mid-single-digits a year ago, and the last three EPS surprises averaged +2%.
  • The valuation is genuinely cheap: 8.2x trailing PE with a 16% FCF yield and 27% ROE puts GAP among the cheapest consumer-cyclical names in the S&P — the market is essentially pricing in a permanent Athleta failure to recover.
  • The Fisher family and Mantle Ridge activist positioning provides governance context: the SC 13D/A amendment activity plus insider option exercises (Fisher/Shattuck) show ongoing engagement, and the Athleta turnaround remains the specific catalyst holders are underwriting.

Aug 27 earnings decides direction: a beat driven by Old Navy comp strength combined with any Athleta comp inflection and a firm FY guide would push shares toward $25, while another Athleta comp miss combined with any Gap-brand weakness would confirm the current 18%-of-52w-range stall and keep the multiple compressed at these levels.

What to watch: Aug 27 earnings: Old Navy comp sales, Athleta comp inflection, Gap-brand trend, and FY guide. Another Athleta comp miss with Gap-brand weakness keeps the multiple compressed.

On the calendar: 2026-08-27 — Q2 FY26 earnings

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Multi-brand apparel retailer operating Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta across physical and digital channels.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Apparel - Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $GAP.

Apparel - Retail · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — TJX is being called 'Retail's Apex Predator' feasting on inflation, with excess inventory from full-price retailers expanding TJX's buying opportunity.

What this means for $GAP

Partial — Multi-brand apparel retailer operating Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta across physical and digital channels; this segment overlaps with the off-price market share gains from excess inventory liquidation but is not the dominant revenue driver.

Industry benchmark

12-name peer basket
+3.9%YTD
+57.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
8.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
9.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
8.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
16.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
26.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
40.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 28, 2026$0.38$0.37+1.8%
Q4 2025Mar 5, 2026$0.45$0.450.0%
Q3 2025Nov 20, 2025$0.62$0.59+5.6%
Q2 2025Aug 28, 2025$0.57$0.55+3.4%
Next earningsThu, Aug 27·consensus EPS $0.50

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$3.5B+1.0%40.5%12.7%$0.92$78.0M
Q4 FY25$4.2B+2.1%38.1%5.4%$0.46$696.0M
Q3 FY25$3.9B+3.0%42.4%8.5%$0.63$153.0M
Q2 FY25$3.7B+0.1%41.2%7.8%$0.58$350.0M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 13 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$15.4B$15.4B – $15.4B$2.15$2.14 – $2.1610
FY27$15.6B$15.5B – $15.6B$2.36$2.32 – $2.4013
FY28$16.0B$15.6B – $16.3B$2.60$2.49 – $2.7113
FY29$16.5B$16.5B – $16.5B$2.89$2.70 – $3.137

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.19%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-4.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-16.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellApr 17Julie GruberChief Legal&Compliance Officer5.3K sh$143KSellApr 10Chan Eric KayenChief Business & Strat Officer13.4K sh$350KSellApr 8John J Fisher10% owner300.0K sh$7.6MSellApr 6Amanda J ThompsonChief People Officer25.0K sh$628KSellMar 23Sarah GilliganChief Sup Chn & Transform Ofcr69.9K sh$1.7MSellMar 20Horacio BarbeitoCEO113.7K sh$2.7MSellMar 19Katrina O'connellCFO8.5K sh$201KSellMar 19Mark BreitbardCEO8.5K sh$201KSellMar 18Mark BreitbardCEO11.9K sh$288KSellMar 18Katrina O'connellCFO11.5K sh$278K
1–10 of 11
+ 44 other (18 exempts · 11 awards · 10 inkinds · 5 gifts) in window

See when $GAP insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJun 5SC 13D/A
AI summary

With filed Amendment No. 6 to Schedule 13D disclosing updated beneficial ownership in GAP (GAP). The filing covers approximately 52,688,586 shares of GAP. The position is held for potential M&A activity. Schedule 13D amendments are required when a 5%-or-greater holder's ownership, intent, or plans change materially, providing transparency into concentrated positions that could influence corporate governance or trigger M&A activity.

8-KShareholder voteMay 158-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

GAP (GAP) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on an advisory say-on-pay resolution, ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 58-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 9 other (2 proxys · 1 SD · 1 10-Q · 1 earnings 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

July Graham Value All-Stars (GVAS) Emit 10 Beaming Buysseekingalpha.com·5d agoGap Inc (GAP) Shares Fall 3.8% -- What GF Score of 73 Tells Investorsgurufocus.com·8d agoGap's Athleta Rebuild: When Will the Turnaround Gain Momentum?zacks.com·9d agoGap (GAP) is a Top-Ranked Value Stock: Should You Buy?zacks.com·13d agoGap CEO explains the story that the brand wants to tellyoutube.com·19d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $GAP on X in the last 7 days.

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