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GAGAP

The Gap, Inc.

$GAP·$7.4B·Apparel - Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$22.93-2.4%YTD-20.0%1Y+8.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 16 posts2026-08-22: 16 posts60+36%
Price updated just now·X counts updated 9d ago
GAGAP
$GAPThe Gap, Inc.
$22.93-2.36%60 posts+36%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $GAP, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-08-26

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Gap Inc. earnings tomorrow at 18% of 52-week range — quality read on apparel with Athleta's fall campaign as the specific product catalyst.

The Gap, Inc. is the apparel holding company (Gap, Old Navy, Banana Republic, Athleta) whose stock is coiled at the low end of its 52-week range going into tomorrow's Q2 print. The valuation is genuinely cheap if the operating cadence holds.

  • The valuation is unusually cheap: PE 8.2x trailing on 41% gross margin, 8.4% operating margin, and 16.5% FCF yield — a $7.4B apparel retailer at those metrics with brand diversification (Athleta is the growth vector) is genuinely mispriced against sector peers, especially given the recent -20% YTD reset.
  • The Athleta narrative is the differentiator: Athleta's fall campaign puts women at the center of conversations about strength — Athleta continues to compound while Gap-brand and Old Navy work through their transitions; the Iconic Brands Nordic partnership extends the Athleta footprint into Nordic/Baltic markets.
  • The tape is coiled at low levels: at 18% of the 52-week range, essentially flat vs the 50-day and 16% below the 200-day on 1.24x elevated volume — that's a stock consolidating below the 200-day on above-average volume, and tomorrow's Q2 print is the setup-resolution event; recent traders 'long asf' into apparel earnings suggests positioning is aggressive.

The path if this works is tomorrow's Q2 print delivering an EPS beat above sell-side $0.48 plus positive same-store-sales commentary (especially at Athleta), taking the tape past $24. What breaks it is a soft comp number or a tariff pass-through guide-down — GAP is levered to Asian-sourced apparel, so any tariff escalation cuts the multiple.

Agrees with X sentimentThe X bulls have the setup right — long apparel earnings alongside BBW and LULU, Reddit research on GAP quality on the rise (vs ANF complaints), Iconic Brands Nordic partnership for Nordic/Baltic growth, 'this morning was your last chance to buy $GAP under $20' quip — and mechanics support the event-ahead setup.

What to watch: Tomorrow's Q2 print (sell-side EPS $0.48) — a clean beat plus positive same-store-sales commentary (especially Athleta) extends the tape past $24; a soft comp number or a tariff pass-through guide-down breaks the tape back to $16.

On the calendar: 2026-08-27 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment63 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

Gap posters are cheering a mid-teens post-earnings pop, with adjusted EPS of $0.52 beating a $0.48 estimate, gross margin at 41.4% and FY EPS guidance raised to $2.35-$2.45. The Gap brand comp is +10% for a second straight quarter, and a new Old Navy CEO announcement is treated as accountability landing on a date. Posters compare the setup to VSXY's 6x run and ANF's 33-40% pop, and note 16% short interest with 4+ days to cover. Old Navy comps of -4% are the main counterweight.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $GAP

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Multi-brand apparel retailer operating Old Navy, Gap, Banana Republic, and Athleta across physical and digital channels.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Apparel - Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $GAP.

Apparel - Retail · Consumer Cyclical

Consumer discretionary softness and inventory normalization are the near-term headwinds; athleisure demand trends favor performance-focused brands over fashion-driven ones. China sourcing exposure — and tariff pass-through — is the cost-structure risk for the category.

What this means for $GAP

Partial — consumer discretionary / retail performance tracks consumer spending trends; The Gap, Inc.

Industry benchmark

14-name peer basket
+13.2%YTD
+51.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
8.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
9.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
8.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
16.5%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
26.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
40.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 27, 2026$0.52$0.48+8.2%
Q1 2026May 28, 2026$0.38$0.37+1.8%
Q4 2025Mar 5, 2026$0.45$0.450.0%
Q3 2025Nov 20, 2025$0.62$0.59+5.6%
Next earningsThu, Nov 19·consensus EPS $0.76

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$3.5B+1.0%40.5%12.7%$0.92$78.0M
Q4 FY25$4.2B+2.1%38.1%5.4%$0.46$696.0M
Q3 FY25$3.9B+3.0%42.4%8.5%$0.63$153.0M
Q2 FY25$3.7B+0.1%41.2%7.8%$0.58$350.0M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 14 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$15.4B$15.4B – $15.4B$2.15$2.14 – $2.1610
FY27$15.5B$15.5B – $15.6B$2.36$2.32 – $2.4014
FY28$16.0B$15.5B – $16.3B$2.60$2.48 – $2.7013
FY29$16.5B$16.1B – $17.2B$2.89$2.70 – $3.138

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.4.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.48%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+16.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-2.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 227.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today11.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.055-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellApr 17Julie GruberChief Legal&Compliance Officer5.3K sh$143KSellApr 10Chan Eric KayenChief Business & Strat Officer13.4K sh$350KSellApr 8John J Fisher10% owner300.0K sh$7.6MSellApr 6Amanda J ThompsonChief People Officer25.0K sh$628KSellMar 23Sarah GilliganChief Sup Chn & Transform Ofcr69.9K sh$1.7MSellMar 20Horacio BarbeitoCEO113.7K sh$2.7MSellMar 19Katrina O'connellCFO8.5K sh$201KSellMar 19Mark BreitbardCEO8.5K sh$201KSellMar 18Mark BreitbardCEO11.9K sh$288KSellMar 18Katrina O'connellCFO11.5K sh$278K
1–10 of 11
+ 46 other (19 exempts · 11 inkinds · 11 awards · 5 gifts) in window

See when $GAP insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 278-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

The Gap, Inc. announced Q2 fiscal 2026 results (period ended August 1, 2026) and simultaneously disclosed that Old Navy President and CEO Horacio Barbeito will step down effective November 2, 2026, with Michael Francis (currently Chief Customer Officer and Head of Marketing) succeeding him on the same date. Barbeito will serve as Executive Advisor through January 30, 2027. Both developments are meaningful: a key brand leadership transition at Gap's largest division paired with the quarterly earnings release.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 218-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

The Gap, Inc. entered into Amendment No. 2 to its Fourth Amended and Restated Revolving Credit Agreement on July 17, 2026, with Bank of America, N.A. as administrative agent and a syndicate of lenders, extending the maturity of its $2.2 billion asset-based revolving credit facility from July 13, 2027 to July 2031, removing sustainability-linked pricing adjustments, and conforming to regulatory updates. The maximum availability remains $2.2 billion with a $300 million letter-of-credit sublimit, $200 million swingline sublimit, and $200 million Canadian borrower sublimit. This is a positive liquidity event — a four-year maturity extension at unchanged capacity provides clear funding runway through 2031 with no increase in financial obligations.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentJun 5SC 13D/A
AI summary

With filed Amendment No. 6 to Schedule 13D disclosing updated beneficial ownership in GAP (GAP). The filing covers approximately 52,688,586 shares of GAP. The position is held for potential M&A activity. Schedule 13D amendments are required when a 5%-or-greater holder's ownership, intent, or plans change materially, providing transparency into concentrated positions that could influence corporate governance or trigger M&A activity.

8-KShareholder voteMay 158-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

GAP (GAP) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on an advisory say-on-pay resolution, ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 58-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 10 other (2 10-Qs · 2 proxys · 1 SD · 1 earnings 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Gap Has 4 Brands and Only One Is Really Growing. Gap Stock Now Depends on It.fool.com·1d agoWeekend Morning Brew: Nvidia Soars on Earnings, Meta Settles Youth Casegurufocus.com·2d agoGAP Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsdefenseworld.net·2d agoGap's Shares Gain 15% on Q2 Earnings Beat & Revised Viewzacks.com·3d agoGap Just Made a Big Bet on Fixing Old Navygurufocus.com·3d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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