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TJTJX

The TJX Companies, Inc.

$TJX·$178B·Apparel - Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$133.30-1.3%YTD+2.8%1Y-1.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 22 posts2026-08-22: 9 posts511+2%
Price updated 9m ago·X counts updated 9d ago
TJTJX
$TJXThe TJX Companies, Inc.
$133.30-1.35%511 posts+2%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TJX, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-29

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

TJX Q2 beat with FY guide raised, but the tape has been rotating into Ross — near 52-week lows despite a clean print.

TJX is the largest US off-price apparel and home retailer (TJ Maxx, Marshalls, HomeGoods, HomeSense), the direct peer to Ross Stores. The setup is a case where the print was fine but the tape is rewarding the competitor instead.

  • The most recent print was in fact solid: Q2 revenue came in at $15.18B (+9% YoY) with comparable sales up 4%, EPS beat at $1.22 vs $1.19 consensus, and management raised FY26 EPS guide to $5.15-5.20 — a compounder holding trend rather than accelerating hard.
  • The rotation to Ross is the near-term drag: Ross printed comps of +10% and foot traffic +16.4% YoY versus TJX's +4% comps — the market read this as a share-of-wallet shift and pushed TJX to 4% of its 52-week range (down 18% from the highs) even as the underlying business kept compounding, and Jefferies downgraded to Hold on "Marmaxx slowdown."
  • Insider activity is silent: no meaningful open-market insider trades in the sample, which is TJX's usual pattern — the tell here is what's missing, which is either a buyback update stepping up or an insider adding at the 52-week low.

The setup is a real-business compounder that just delivered a clean print and got repriced anyway on relative-share concerns — the November 18 Q3 print is the referee, and the market needs comps re-accelerating above Ross's +10% pace and reiterated $5.15-5.20 EPS guide. A comp acceleration plus a lifted buyback breaks the cooling into a real bid; another sub-Ross comp print keeps TJX stalled near the 52-week low.

Agrees with X sentimentThe contested X read is honest — bulls' Q2 revenue $15.18B (comp +4%), FY EPS guide raised to $5.15-5.20, and the down-18%-from-highs buying opportunity are factually right, while bears' Jefferies downgrade to Hold on Marmaxx slowdown and the Ross +10% comps contrast are also real. The near-term drag is genuinely the relative-share concern, not a TJX-specific business break.

What to watch: The November 18 Q3 earnings — need comps re-accelerating toward Ross's pace, reiterated $5.15-5.20 FY EPS guide, and any lifted buyback authorization. Another sub-Ross comp print keeps TJX stalled near the 52-week low; a comp acceleration plus a lifted buyback breaks cooling into a real bid.

On the calendar: 2026-11-18 — Q3 FY27 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment15 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-30

TJX's thread is split between mean-reversion buyers and structural skeptics. Bulls flag a 52-week low, RSI near 20, an oversold sitting on the lower trendline of the long-term range, and the same beat-and-raise print that Wall Street still punished. Bears cite Jefferies downgrading TJX to Hold on the Marmaxx slowdown, Dan Nathan flagging 'more room to the downside' as his Fast Money final trade, and consumer-discretionary sentiment at maximum negative across DKS, NKE, ROST, ONON and DECK.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $TJX

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  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates TJ Maxx, Marshalls, and HomeGoods off-price stores buying excess inventory at discounts and passing savings to bargain shoppers.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Apparel - Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TJX.

Apparel - Retail · Consumer Cyclical

Consumer discretionary softness and inventory normalization are the near-term headwinds; athleisure demand trends favor performance-focused brands over fashion-driven ones. China sourcing exposure — and tariff pass-through — is the cost-structure risk for the category.

What this means for $TJX

Partial — consumer discretionary / retail performance tracks consumer spending trends; The TJX Companies, Inc.

Industry benchmark

14-name peer basket
+11.5%YTD
+51.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
29.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
22.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
12.4%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
3.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
59.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
31.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 19, 2026$1.22$1.19+2.5%
Q1 2026May 20, 2026$1.19$1.02+16.7%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$1.43$1.39+2.9%
Q3 2025Nov 19, 2025$1.28$1.23+4.1%
Next earningsWed, Nov 18·consensus EPS $1.33

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY27$14.3B+9.2%31.3%11.8%$1.19$457.0M
Q4 FY26$17.7B+8.5%30.9%13.3%$1.58$2.7B
Q3 FY26$15.1B+7.5%33.0%13.0%$1.28$1.0B
Q2 FY26$14.4B+6.9%30.7%11.2%$1.11$1.3B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 15 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$60.0B$59.8B – $60.3B$4.68$4.65 – $4.7111
FY27$64.1B$63.9B – $64.3B$5.23$5.18 – $5.2615
FY28$67.9B$66.9B – $68.3B$5.76$5.60 – $5.8415
FY29$73.3B$71.7B – $77.4B$6.38$6.21 – $6.676
FY30$75.5B$74.5B – $77.5B$6.85$6.73 – $7.093

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.4%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-11.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-12.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.1B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.625-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 11Jackwyn NemerovDirector957 sh$161KSellJun 10Peter BenjaminPresident10.9K sh$1.8MSellJun 9Carol MeyrowitzChair55.6K sh$9.1MSellJun 5John KlingerCFO6.2K sh$1.0MSellJun 5Ernie HerrmanCEO10.0K sh$1.6MSellJun 4Ernie HerrmanCEO28.0K sh$4.4MSellJun 3Kenneth CanestrariPresident31.4K sh$5.0MSellJun 3Ernie HerrmanCEO29.5K sh$4.7M
+ 34 other (14 awards · 12 inkinds · 5 exempts · 2 gifts · 1 small) in window

See when $TJX insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KShareholder voteJun 118-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

The TJX Companies held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 9, 2026. All ten director nominees were elected (For votes ranging from ~845M for the lowest-support director to ~913M); PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP was ratified as auditor for fiscal 2027 (908M For, 83M Against — notable ~8% dissent); and the advisory say-on-pay vote passed (853M For, 66M Against). The PwC ratification dissent (~8%) is above typical levels and may reflect governance concerns, though the proposal carried comfortably. Routine annual governance for a large-cap off-price retailer with no material surprises.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationMay 29S-3ASR
AI summary

The TJX Companies, Inc. filed an automatic shelf registration statement (S-3ASR) on May 29, 2026, covering securities to be offered from time to time after the effective date. As a large accelerated filer, TJX's S-3ASR is effective immediately upon filing, providing flexible capital market access. No specific offering amount or type was stated in the available excerpt. This is a routine shelf renewal for an investment-grade large-cap retailer, typically used for debt or equity issuance as needed rather than an imminent offering signal.

+ 11 other (2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 2 13Gs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Calls of the Day: TJX Companies and the XLUyoutube.com·5d agoTJX Just Dropped 11% in a Month. Is It Time to Sell?247wallst.com·5d agoKohl's Falls 6% Despite Raised Guidance and a $150M Tariff Refund, Ross and TJX Hold Flat247wallst.com·5d agoHere Are Wednesday’s Top Wall Street Analyst Research Calls: Atlassian, Dick’s Sporting Goods, EPAM Systems, GoDaddy, Intuit, Jersey Mike’s Subs, JFrog, Lattice Semiconductor, and More247wallst.com·5d agoBears are Losing Control Over TJX (TJX), Here's Why It's a 'Buy' Nowzacks.com·6d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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