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ARAR

Antero Resources Corporation

Hot onWhy it's trendingX chatter spiked vs its recent normBacked by solid revenue growthBullish-leaning chatter
$AR·$11B·Oil & Gas Exploration & Production·Energy
$37.90-0.1%YTD+4.4%1Y+23.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-17: 24 posts2026-08-18: 25 posts2026-08-19: 20 posts2026-08-20: 25 posts2026-08-21: 47 posts2026-08-22: 88 posts2026-08-23: 30 posts259+31%
Price updated 42m ago·X counts updated 23h ago
ARAR
$ARAntero Resources Corporation
$37.90-0.11%259 posts+31%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $AR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-22

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Antero Resources is the natural-gas-and-NGL play with an under-the-radar cash generation quarter — the winter setup is starting to matter.

Antero Resources is an independent Appalachian natural-gas, NGL and crude producer with one of the deepest Marcellus/Utica inventories in the industry. The equity story here is a cash-generation base coming into winter with the AI-power-and-LNG demand narrative building toward tighter US natural-gas balances.

  • The Q1 print did real operating work: revenue grew 34% YoY to $1.86B at a 40% gross margin and 36% operating margin with $830M in free cash flow — that's the kind of cash generation the equity gets no credit for at 11.4x TTM P/E.
  • The valuation reflects nothing about the demand setup: analysts model $6.66B FY26 revenue rising to $6.67B FY27 with EPS at $4.12/$4.25 — the forward multiple is 9x on a business with a 16% FCF yield already published on TTM.
  • The institutional bid is quiet but present: fresh disclosures from Fielder Capital ($4.6M), Focus Partners, BIP Wealth, and Bank of America growing — none huge, but a broad-based accumulation pattern that says smaller allocators are working the name.

This is a real-business trade coiling in the middle of its 52-week range on a fair-value multiple; a Q3 print (Oct 28) that confirms the FCF trajectory into winter restarts the mean-reversion trade. What extends the coil is a mild-winter forecast or a sharp NGL-price pullback — the specific commodity risks that keep the multiple from expanding despite the operating work.

What to watch: Q3 earnings Oct 28 — FCF generation and NGL-price exposure. A mild-winter forecast or a sharp NGL-price pullback extends the coil; a firm winter demand setup and continued FCF generation restarts the mean-reversion trade.

On the calendar: 2026-10-28 — Q3 earnings

sentiment wrong asset

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment12 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-22

The $AR conversation is a mash-up of Antero Resources nat-gas posts and Arweave crypto commentary, and both leans bullish. On the equity side, posters flag a monthly tweezer bottom at support, a 100% four-hour candle setup and a consolidating nat-gas group as the read. On the crypto side, permanent storage is being pitched as the most underpriced piece of infrastructure with 100x optionality at a $135M valuation, and AR is being lumped with AKT as an AI-crypto rotation trade. Neither side has a real bear.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $AR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Appalachian Basin natural gas and NGL producer concentrated in Marcellus and Utica shale with a large reserve base.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AR.

Oil & Gas Exploration & Production · Energy

No material change from last week — an outcome that compresses the upside price optionality that E&Ps have been pricing.

What this means for $AR

Neutral — Appalachian Basin natural gas and NGL producer concentrated in Marcellus and Utica shale with a large reserve base; limited read-through from oil & gas exploration & production macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Industry benchmark

23-name peer basket
+41.1%YTD
+51.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
11.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
20.9%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
16.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.0Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
12.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
26.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.6Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 29, 2026$0.76$0.83-9.0%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$1.15$1.17-1.7%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$0.42$0.50-16.5%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$0.15$0.22-31.8%
Next earningsWed, Oct 28·consensus EPS $1.08

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.9B+33.8%39.8%35.5%$1.73$829.9M
Q4 FY25$1.3B+11.7%21.1%16.1%$0.63$318.0M
Q3 FY25$1.1B+15.2%15.2%9.2%$0.25$341.1M
Q2 FY25$1.2B+29.7%20.2%14.3%$0.50$283.9M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 7 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$6.7B$6.5B – $7.3B$4.12$3.48 – $5.386
FY27$6.7B$6.4B – $7.3B$4.25$3.17 – $5.327
FY28$7.2B$6.6B – $7.6B$5.43$3.96 – $6.616
FY29$7.7B$7.2B – $8.2B$6.17$5.65 – $6.725
FY30$8.0B$7.4B – $8.5B$5.88$5.39 – $6.413

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.53%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+8.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+5.3%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

β0.345-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 4Yvette K SchultzSee Remarks39.5K sh$1.6MSellMay 4Michael N. KennedySee Remarks185.8K sh$7.3MSellMar 19Benjamin A. HardestyDirector12.0K sh$528KSellMar 10Sheri PearceSee Remarks19.7K sh$750KSellMar 9Yvette K SchultzSee Remarks15.0K sh$590KSellFeb 27Benjamin A. HardestyDirector12.0K sh$432K
+ 35 other (20 awards · 9 inkinds · 6 exempts) in window

See when $AR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJun 238-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Delaware 001-36120 80-0162034 furnished a Reg FD disclosure covering: Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c)) Securities registered pursuant to section 12(b) of the Act: Title of each class Trading Symbol(s) Name of each exchange on which registered Common Stock, par value $0.01 Per Share AR New York Stock Exchange Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in .

8-KMaterial agreementJun 178-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Antero Resources Corporation (NYSE: AR), a Denver-based Appalachian natural gas producer, entered a material definitive agreement and created a new direct financial obligation (Items 1.01 and 2.03) as of June 16, 2026. Items 1.01 and 2.03 filed together typically signal a new or amended credit facility, term loan, or hedging arrangement. The counterparty, dollar amount, and terms of the obligation are in body exhibits not included in the excerpt. Given Antero's balance sheet focus and natural gas price exposure, a new debt facility or hedging agreement would be material to understanding its financial structure and risk profile.

8-KShareholder voteJun 48-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

AR (AR) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on an advisory say-on-pay resolution, ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 128-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Antero Resources Corporation posted an updated investor presentation to its website on May 12, 2026, furnishing it as a Regulation FD disclosure. The content of the presentation is not detailed in the available excerpt. This is a routine investor relations communication update for the Appalachian natural gas producer; updated presentations typically include operational and financial updates.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMar 38-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 11 other (3 13Gs · 3 earnings 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Fielder Capital Group LLC Takes $4.63 Million Position in Antero Resources Corporation $ARdefenseworld.net·8d agoFocus Partners Advisor Solutions LLC Buys New Shares in Antero Resources Corporation $ARdefenseworld.net·8d agoBIP Wealth LLC Takes Position in Antero Resources Corporation $ARdefenseworld.net·10d agoBank of America Corp DE Grows Holdings in Antero Resources Corporation $ARdefenseworld.net·12d agoDiamond Hill Small-Mid Cap Fund Q2 2026 Portfolio Reviewseekingalpha.com·18d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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