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ANANCTF

Alimentation Couche-Tard Inc.

$ANCTF·$61B·Specialty Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$66.24-0.4%YTD+20.7%1Y+32.2%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-08: 0 posts2026-08-09: 0 posts2026-08-10: 0 posts2026-08-11: 0 posts2026-08-12: 0 posts2026-08-13: 0 posts2026-08-14: 0 posts0
Price updated 15h ago·X counts updated 14h ago
ANANCTF
$ANCTFAlimentation Couche-Tard Inc.
$66.24-0.40%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ANCTF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-13

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Alimentation Couche-Tard — global convenience-store operator (Circle K) — YTD +21%, TTM +31%, running at 95% of 52-week range on execution.

Alimentation Couche-Tard (Circle K brand globally) is the world's largest independent convenience-store operator — 14,000+ stores across North America, Europe, and Asia — offering fuel, food, tobacco, and everyday convenience.

  • The stock is at 95% of its 52-week range with strong TTM performance (+31%) — clean institutional accumulation on the store-execution story plus continued strategic M&A optionality (the earlier 7-Eleven Japan takeover talks continue to lurk).
  • The Sept 2 Q1 fiscal 2026 earnings is the next catalyst — Couche-Tard has been a consistent operational executor with same-store sales growth in most markets and margin expansion at the fuel-and-food attach rate.
  • Trades at typical convenience-store premium multiples with $61B market cap and global scale — the moat here is real estate footprint plus fuel-supply relationships that are hard to replicate quickly.

What extends the move: Sept 2 Q1 earnings sustaining same-store sales growth plus any 7-Eleven Japan strategic-transaction commentary. What would invalidate accelerating: a fuel-margin compression signal or an EV-adoption-related shift that hits convenience-store fuel volumes.

What to watch: Sept 2 Q1 fiscal 2026 earnings — same-store sales growth (>2% supportive) and fuel-margin trajectory. Also monitor the 7-Eleven Japan (Seven & i) strategic-transaction talks and peer Casey's General Stores / Murphy USA commentary.

On the calendar: 2026-09-02 — Q1 fiscal 2026 earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ANCTF

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Global convenience store operator running Circle K and Couche-Tard networks with fuel retail and acquisition-driven growth.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Specialty Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ANCTF.

Specialty Retail · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Amazon's $200B AI infrastructure commitment and AI shopping agent deployment shifts purchase decisions from browsing to autonomous fulfillment, bypassing..

What this means for $ANCTF

Neutral — Global convenience store operator running Circle K and Couche-Tard networks with fuel retail and acquisition-driven growth; limited read-through from specialty retail macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
+7.7%YTD
+6.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
27.0How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
9.8%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
6.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
5.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
20.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
18.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 22, 2026$0.73$0.54+36.4%
Q4 2025Mar 17, 2026$0.81$0.82-1.8%
Q3 2025Nov 24, 2025$0.78$0.74+4.7%
Q2 2025Sep 2, 2025$0.82$0.78+5.8%
Next earningsWed, Sep 2·consensus EPS $0.93

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$19.7B+20.9%20.7%6.4%$0.94$1.1B
Q3 FY26$21.8B+4.3%19.4%5.3%$0.82$662.9M
Q2 FY26$17.7B+1.6%16.1%6.1%$0.78$742.9M
Q1 FY26$17.3B-5.1%19.1%6.6%$0.83$848.1M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 16 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$75.4B$74.6B – $76.8B$2.91$2.56 – $3.3016
FY27$84.0B$76.7B – $94.3B$3.31$2.92 – $3.7614
FY28$82.9B$75.0B – $90.1B$3.59$3.16 – $4.0814
FY29$83.7B$76.1B – $92.5B$3.90$3.43 – $4.437
FY30$78.7B$71.5B – $86.9B$4.16$3.67 – $4.7310

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.96%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+4.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+15.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 742.2M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.745-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Alimentation Couche-Tard Calls Żabka Deal Its Largest, Most Transformational Acquisitionmarketbeat.com·15d agoCouche-Tard Plans to Buy Poland's Zabka for About $8.7 Billionwsj.com·15d agoCanada's Couche-Tard aims to buy Polish retailer Zabka for $8.7 billionreuters.com·16d agoALIMENTATION COUCHE-TARD ANNOUNCES AGREEMENT TO ACQUIRE CONTROLLING STAKE IN ŻABKA GROUP AND LAUNCHES VOLUNTARY TENDER OFFERprnewswire.com·16d agoAlimentation Couche-Tard: Inside-Store Growth Can Offset Fuel Normalizationseekingalpha.com·32d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ANCTF on X in the last 7 days.

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