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JDJD

JD.com, Inc.

$JD·$46B·Specialty Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$28.74+0.9%YTD+11.4%1Y-5.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-20: 34 posts2026-08-21: 40 posts2026-08-22: 16 posts242+4%
Price updated 1d ago·X counts updated 7d ago
JDJD
$JDJD.com, Inc.
$28.74+0.88%242 posts+4%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $JD, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-28

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Michael Burry moved his entire BABA position into JD — China e-commerce at 20x PE with the cleanest cost structure vs Alibaba.

JD.com is the second-largest Chinese e-commerce platform after Alibaba and, per Michael Burry's latest disclosure, now the exclusive Chinese e-commerce name in his portfolio — he moved his full BABA position into JD. Coiling near the 50-day at $28.49 into a Nov 12 print.

Where the setup sits:

  • Revenue growth has decelerated but earnings hold: 22.4% YoY in Q2 2025, 14.9% in Q3, 1.5% in Q4, then 4.2% in Q1 2026 with EPS beats of 30% and 8% in the last two quarters — deceleration is real, but earnings quality is holding.
  • The Burry reallocation is a real signal: Burry moved his entire BABA position into JD (BABA has to fall by half before he re-enters), citing JD's cleaner share-issuance discipline. Bulls model SOTP by deconsolidating JD Healthcare/Industrials from Retail EBIT — 20x PE looks cheap.
  • Strategic activity is thickening: JD partnering with Chinese state-owned firms on a HK border mega-project JV, integration of Alibaba's Wan 3.0 AI video model. China ordering entities not to assist the EU JD.com probe is a modest regulatory tailwind.

Round two arrives if Nov 12 Q3 earnings shows revenue growth above 6% AND JD Healthcare/Industrials segment breakouts confirm the SOTP math. Invalidation is any China consumer slowdown (PDD read-through), an EU probe crystallizing into fines, or a fresh capex-related margin compression — the 20x PE has room only if Burry's framing is right.

Agrees with X sentimentX's 'bullish about JD more than PDD + Burry moved his entire BABA into JD + China valuation gap vs SPY too big to pass' framing is directly backed by Burry's disclosed rotation and the SOTP math. Wave-C 42% downside call is the honest counterweight — a fair skeptic view, but marginal to the trade with earnings holding.

What to watch: Nov 12 Q3 earnings — revenue growth above 6% and JD Healthcare/Industrials segment breakouts are the two datapoints. Any China consumer slowdown (PDD read-through), an EU probe crystallizing into fines, or a fresh capex-related margin compression compresses the trade.

On the calendar: 2026-11-12 - Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment10 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-29

JD.com chatter is bullish, largely on the back of Michael Burry rotating his entire BABA stake into JD and saying BABA would need to halve before he looks again. Contributors add technical support at the 50-DMA, a China-basket breakout setup, and a valuation-gap argument. The debate is JD vs peers (BABA, PDD) rather than direction on JD itself.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $JD

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

China's largest direct-inventory e-commerce retailer and supply chain technology platform, competing in logistics and fintech.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Specialty Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $JD.

Specialty Retail · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Amazon's $200B AI infrastructure commitment and AI shopping agent deployment shifts purchase decisions from browsing to autonomous fulfillment, bypassing..

What this means for $JD

Neutral — China's largest direct-inventory e-commerce retailer and supply chain technology platform, competing in logistics and fintech; limited read-through from specialty retail macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
+7.7%YTD
+1.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
19.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-0.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-0.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
6.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
14.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 13, 2026$0.93$0.86+8.1%
Q1 2026May 12, 2026$0.74$0.57+29.8%
Q4 2025Mar 5, 2026$0.08$0.07+14.3%
Q3 2025Nov 13, 2025$0.52$0.46+13.0%
Next earningsThu, Nov 12·consensus EPS $0.96

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$313.8B+4.2%16.7%1.2%$3.72—
Q4 FY25$352.3B+1.5%-3.2%-1.7%$-1.80$14.6B
Q3 FY25$299.1B+14.9%9.5%-0.4%$3.72$-10.6B
Q2 FY25$356.7B+22.4%15.9%-0.2%$4.34$21.4B

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 27 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$1.37T$1.35T – $1.40T$21.93$21.58 – $22.6927
FY27$1.45T$1.44T – $1.46T$28.72$26.45 – $32.4027
FY28$1.53T$1.46T – $1.58T$35.05$24.37 – $44.1925
FY29$1.61T$1.52T – $1.67T$32.97$30.62 – $34.6812

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.34%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-1.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-1.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 1.2B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.365-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 22 other (11 exempts · 6 awards · 5 inkinds) in window

See when $JD insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for JD on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for JD on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for JD on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for JD on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for JD on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for JD on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for JD on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for JD on 2026-03-18, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

+ 17 other (11 6-Ks · 4 3s · 1 13G · 1 20-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Michael Burry Sends Chilling Warning on Alibaba Stockgurufocus.com·6d ago‘Big Short' Michael Burry shares his updated Chinese stock portfoliofinbold.com·6d agoChina state-owned firms, JD.com for JV to invest in Hong Kong border mega projectreuters.com·6d agoChina orders entities not to assist EU's JD.com probereuters.com·11d agoChina AI Earnings: BABA's Qwen Threatens GOOGL & META, Previewing BIDU & JDyoutube.com·13d ago

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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