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ETETSY

Etsy, Inc.

$ETSY·$8.1B·Specialty Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$79.36-0.7%YTD+54.5%1Y+17.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-07: 26 posts2026-08-08: 11 posts2026-08-09: 7 posts2026-08-10: 15 posts2026-08-11: 15 posts2026-08-12: 12 posts2026-08-13: 7 posts94
Price updated 2m ago·X counts updated 4d ago
ETETSY
$ETSYEtsy, Inc.
$79.36-0.68%94 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ETSY, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-08-15

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Etsy is the marketplace turnaround completing — JPM upgrade to OW ($100 PT), Q2 EPS +31%, active buyers reversed, but heavy insider selling.

Etsy operates the marketplace for handcrafted and unique goods (plus Depop for resale) — the equity is a real turnaround story now completing as GMS growth reaccelerates on the AI-personalization vector.

  • Q2 was a big beat: EPS $0.98 vs $0.75 estimate (+31%) with revenue $668M vs $646M — the last four EPS prints have all beat consensus by 30%+ margins, sustaining the turnaround narrative.
  • JPMorgan upgraded to Overweight (from Neutral) with PT to $100 from $85 — that's the specific sell-side capitulation event that typically precedes the multi-quarter re-rate.
  • Q2 metrics validate turnaround: active-buyer growth ticked up 0.4%, take rate expanded 100bps, and GMS grew 7.2% — three specific proof points on the compounding narrative.
  • Insider selling loud: director Silverman $3.42M + $529K on 8/3-4, director Wilson $1.66M on 8/3, CEO Baker mixed grants — cluster is real.
  • Position at 82% of 52w and +28% above 200d MA — accelerating tape. 12% workforce cut supports the margin thesis into 2027.

November 4 is the next print — a fifth consecutive quarter of active-buyer + GMS reacceleration extends the turnaround; any specific consumer-discretionary weakness or take-rate reversal is the invalidator. The real risk on 27x P/E and the $5M+ insider-selling cluster into strength is that the tape has priced in significant of the near-term recovery.

Agrees with X sentimentAgrees with the X bulls on the JPMorgan upgrade to $100, active-buyer + GMS + take-rate specific metrics as real, and 12% workforce reduction as a genuine margin lever. Partial only because the $5M+ insider-selling cluster into strength is a specific caveat the pure turnaround framing under-weights.

What to watch: November 4 Q3 print — active-buyer trajectory and take-rate durability. A fifth consecutive quarter of GMS reacceleration extends the turnaround; consumer-discretionary weakness is the invalidator.

On the calendar: 2026-11-04 — Q3 earnings

insider selling clusterprice missing

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment7 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-13

X users are bullish on Etsy after JPMorgan upgraded the stock to Overweight from Neutral and raised the price target to $100 from $85, framing it as a turnaround story with roughly 20% additional upside. Posters cite Q2 active-buyer growth ticking up 0.4%, take rate expanding 100 basis points, and 7.2% GMS growth. Commentary also notes Etsy is cutting roughly 12% of its workforce as a cost lever.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ETSY

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Online marketplace connecting buyers with independent sellers of handmade, vintage, and custom goods; also operates Depop for secondhand apparel.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Specialty Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ETSY.

Specialty Retail · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Amazon's $200B AI infrastructure commitment and AI shopping agent deployment shifts purchase decisions from browsing to autonomous fulfillment, bypassing..

What this means for $ETSY

Neutral — Online marketplace connecting buyers with independent sellers of handmade, vintage, and custom goods; also operates Depop for secondhand apparel; limited read-through from specialty retail macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
+7.7%YTD
+6.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
26.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
15.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
14.3%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
9.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-25.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
72.0%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
-2.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 5, 2026$0.98$0.75+31.2%
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$0.89$0.62+43.5%
Q4 2025Feb 19, 2026$0.92$0.88+4.5%
Q3 2025Oct 29, 2025$0.63$0.52+21.2%
Next earningsWed, Nov 4·consensus EPS $1.29

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$631.3M+3.1%72.2%19.0%$0.72$70.9M
Q4 FY25$881.6M+3.5%73.1%14.7%$1.13$307.9M
Q3 FY25$678.0M+2.4%71.3%12.2%$0.76$205.1M
Q2 FY25$672.7M+3.8%71.2%11.4%$0.28$88.8M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 21 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.8B$2.7B – $2.9B$3.56$3.26 – $3.8821
FY27$2.9B$2.9B – $3.0B$4.10$3.60 – $4.4321
FY28$3.0B$2.9B – $3.2B$4.79$3.66 – $5.8017
FY29$3.2B$3.1B – $3.4B$5.78$5.60 – $6.1114
FY30$3.4B$3.3B – $3.5B$6.63$6.42 – $7.008

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.7×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.82%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+2.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+28.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 93.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.825-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 10Colburn Richard Edward IiiChief Product & Tech Officer8.3K sh$677KSellAug 4Charles BakerCFO1.6K sh$134KSellAug 4Josh SilvermanChair6.3K sh$529KSellAug 3Frederick R WilsonDirector20.0K sh$1.7MSellAug 3Josh SilvermanChair41.1K sh$3.4MSellJul 15Melissa ReiffDirector3.9K sh$328KSellJul 15Josh SilvermanChair22.9K sh$1.9MSellJul 10Josh SilvermanChair39.2K sh$3.1MSellJul 6Merilee BuckleyCHIEF ACCOUNTING OFFICER881 sh$66KSellJul 1Josh SilvermanChair92.4K sh$6.9M
1–10 of 19
+ 46 other (28 exempts · 9 inkinds · 9 awards) in window

See when $ETSY insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KRestructuring / exit costsAug 58-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 2.05: Restructuring / exit costs · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Etsy, Inc. filed an 8-K on August 5, 2026 reporting Q2 2026 earnings via a shareholder letter and disclosing a material restructuring plan. On August 3, 2026, Etsy's Audit Committee approved a plan to cut approximately 220 employees — roughly 12% of the workforce — bringing headcount to approximately 1,600, with the goal of simplifying organizational structure. Estimated charges are approximately $35 million (largely cash: severance, benefits, and related costs), expected to be fully recognized by end of Q3 2026. This restructuring is highly material — it signals Etsy is rightsizing its cost base in response to continued marketplace GMV pressures and represents a significant strategic reorganization.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 308-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.01: Acquisition completed · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Etsy Inc entered into the Second Amendment to its Amended and Restated 2023 Credit Agreement on July 30, 2026, with JPMorgan Chase Bank N.A. as administrative agent, amending the facility to permit certain asset dispositions. Item 2.01 is also triggered, indicating Etsy simultaneously completed a sale or disposition of a business or significant assets. The 2023 Credit Agreement was previously amended in June 2025. This is a material event — the combination of a credit amendment permitting a disposition and an Item 2.01 trigger signals Etsy completed a strategic divestiture (likely of a marketplace subsidiary), representing a meaningful portfolio simplification whose financial terms are in the attached exhibits.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 168-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

Etsy and eBay executed a Second Amendment to their Purchase Agreement on July 12, 2026 for eBay's acquisition of Depop (Etsy's wholly-owned subsidiary). The UK Competition and Markets Authority cleared the transaction on July 15, 2026, fixing the closing date at July 30, 2026. The amendment updates the closing condition assessment window to events occurring on or after July 1, 2026 only. CMA clearance removes the primary regulatory hurdle; this deal is now on track to close within two weeks.

8-KShareholder voteJun 128-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Etsy held its 2026 Annual Meeting on June 9, 2026. Class II directors M. Michele Burns, Josh Silverman, and Fred Wilson were elected (Wilson received significantly lower support: 46.4M for vs. 21.4M withheld). Shareholders approved named executive officer compensation and ratified PricewaterhouseCoopers as auditor. Proposal 4 to amend the 2024 Equity Incentive Plan to increase authorized shares was also voted on (outcome not visible in excerpt). Wilson's contested vote reflects ongoing shareholder scrutiny of board composition.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 288-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

Etsy, Inc. filed an 8-K under Item 1.01 (Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement) for an event dated May 21, 2026. The body excerpt does not include the agreement details — only standard SEC boilerplate and registrant information are visible. The nature of the material agreement (e.g., credit facility, partnership, licensing deal) and the counterparty are in the exhibits or the full filing body not captured in the available excerpt.

8-KMaterial agreementFeb 188-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 13 other (4 13Gs · 3 proxys · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Is Etsy (ETSY) Stock Outpacing Its Retail-Wholesale Peers This Year?zacks.com·3d agoThese 2 Retail and Wholesale Stocks Could Beat Earnings: Why They Should Be on Your Radarzacks.com·4d agoRetail ETFs: Following the Selective Consumeretftrends.com·4d agoEtsy, Inc. (ETSY) Presents at Canaccord Genuity's 46th Annual Growth Conference Transcriptseekingalpha.com·5d agoCritical Review: Etsy (NYSE:ETSY) versus Ryohin Keikaku (OTCMKTS:RYKKY)defenseworld.net·6d ago

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