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AMAMZN

Amazon.com, Inc.

$AMZN·$2.6T·Specialty Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$247.23-1.1%YTD+6.9%1Y+10.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-11: 1,635 posts2026-07-12: 3,269 posts2026-07-13: 5,890 posts2026-07-14: 2,742 posts2026-07-15: 2,338 posts2026-07-16: 2,403 posts2026-07-17: 1,283 posts19,789+14%
Price updated 4h ago·X counts updated 4h ago
AMAMZN
$AMZNAmazon.com, Inc.
$247.23-1.06%20k posts+14%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $AMZN, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

The biggest capex cycle in Amazon's history running through a value-priced multiple — timing hinges on AWS.

Amazon is running the biggest simultaneous investment cycle of any hyperscaler — AWS capacity, Alexa AI hardware, agentic advertising — funded partly by a record $25B bond raise. The stock is at a mid-range consolidation while the market weighs whether the buildout pays off.

How the picture reads:

  • The capital-markets vote is loud: the $25B bond raise drew $62B of demand, meaning fixed-income buyers will happily fund the buildout at investment-grade spreads — Amazon has the balance sheet to spend through skepticism.
  • The core business runs on real economics: 51% gross margin, 12% operating margin, and 23% ROE — retail and AWS are both funding the AI investment, so no single quarter has to be right for the story to hold.
  • The valuation resets the base case: 29x TTM P/E is close to a decade low for Amazon on this metric, which is why Bill Ackman's $2.4B stake reads as a value bet, not a narrative one.
  • The check is capex intensity: free cash flow yield is essentially zero as the spend cycle peaks, so any quarter where AWS growth disappoints hits the multiple hard because FCF is currently pinned by the capex commitments.

This is a value-priced quality name in the middle of its investment cycle, so the tape cools in weeks when hyperscaler capex worries flare and grinds higher when AWS reaccelerates. The upcoming print is what times the next leg — until then the range holds.

Agrees with X sentimentX is bullish on the AWS spend and the Ackman position, and the fundamentals genuinely back it — 29x P/E is near a decade low with real operating leverage underneath. The TD Cowen target cut the crowd is dismissing is a fair reminder that FCF is pinned until capex normalizes.

What to watch: The next Q print — AWS growth staying above 20% restarts the move; a slip below that plus a capex guide raise puts real pressure on the multiple.

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment40 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-17

Amazon is being framed as a mega-cap value setup back on offense into July 30 earnings. Posts repeatedly note the stock is trading at a near-decade-low forward valuation, has defended the 200-day moving average, is back outperforming the S&P 500 year-to-date, and is showing a rounding-bottom pattern with a $250 breakout in view. Bulls emphasize AWS's designation as a critical UK financial-sector third party, the compute-leasing tailwind from Kimi K3 and other model releases, and Bezos comments framing spending, not taxes, as the real fiscal problem. There is little meaningful bear thread in the sample beyond generic macro caution.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $AMZN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Operates e-commerce marketplace, AWS cloud platform, and digital advertising, anchored by Prime subscription ecosystem.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Specialty Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AMZN.

Specialty Retail · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Amazon's $200B AI infrastructure commitment and AI shopping agent deployment shifts purchase decisions from browsing to autonomous fulfillment, bypassing..

What this means for $AMZN

Partial — Operates e-commerce marketplace, AWS cloud platform, and digital advertising, anchored by Prime subscription ecosystem; exposure exists but is diluted by diverse end markets and revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
+4.3%YTD
+12.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
29.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
9.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
11.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-0.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
3.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
23.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
50.6%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 29, 2026$2.78$1.63+70.6%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$1.95$1.97-1.0%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$1.95$1.57+24.2%
Q2 2025Jul 31, 2025$1.68$1.31+28.2%
Next earningsThu, Jul 30·consensus EPS $1.82

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$181.5B+16.6%51.8%13.1%$2.82$-18.2B
Q4 FY25$213.4B+13.6%48.5%11.7%$1.98$14.9B
Q3 FY25$180.2B+13.4%50.8%9.7%$1.98$430.0M
Q2 FY25$167.7B+13.3%51.8%11.4%$1.71$332.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 46 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$824.3B$810.4B – $836.8B$8.82$7.61 – $9.4645
FY27$933.1B$893.7B – $990.5B$10.08$8.46 – $11.3046
FY28$1.07T$1.06T – $1.07T$13.02$9.93 – $15.4032
FY29$1.19T$1.14T – $1.23T$15.59$14.77 – $16.3531
FY30$1.34T$1.29T – $1.39T$19.48$18.46 – $20.4316

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.62%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-1.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+5.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 9.8B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.465-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 1Douglas J HerringtonCEO1.0K sh$240KSellMay 22David ZapolskyPresident9.3K sh$2.5MSellMay 21David ZapolskyPresident6.2K sh$1.6MSellMay 21Andrew R JassyCEO20.0K sh$5.3MSellMay 21Douglas J HerringtonCEO6.4K sh$1.7MSellMay 21Matthew S GarmanCEO15.5K sh$4.1MSellMay 21Shelley ReynoldsPresident2.4K sh$620KSellMay 15Douglas J HerringtonCEO3.7K sh$983KSellMay 15Matthew S GarmanCEO11.5K sh$3.0MSellMay 4Andrew R JassyCEO31.4K sh$8.6M
1–10 of 22
+ 21 other (14 exempts · 5 awards · 2 gifts) in window

See when $AMZN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 8424B5
AI summary

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) issued $25 billion of senior unsecured notes in 8 tranches: $750M floating rate (SOFR+0.58%) due 2029; $3.5B at 4.600% due 2029; $4.25B at 4.800% due 2031; $3.0B at 5.100% due 2033; $4.5B at 5.300% due 2036; $2.75B at 6.000% due 2046; $4.0B at 6.100% due 2056; $2.25B at 6.250% due 2066. Notes are senior unsecured, not equity dilutive; no specific use of proceeds stated in the excerpt. A very large routine investment-grade debt financing by Amazon — non-dilutive to equity, consistent with Amazon's practice of long-duration debt capital markets access.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jul 7424B5
AI summary

Amazon.com, Inc. filed a preliminary 424B5 on July 7, 2026 for a multi-tranche debt offering: one floating rate note series (SOFR-linked) plus seven fixed-rate series at various maturities (specific amounts and coupons left blank in the preliminary). This is a large-scale unsecured debt offering off Amazon's existing S-3 shelf (No. 333-293246) — typical for Amazon's periodic large investment-grade bond issuances used for general corporate purposes, capital expenditures, and debt refinancing. The preliminary status means amounts and coupons are subject to final market pricing.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 10424B5
AI summary

Amazon.com, Inc. issued five tranches of Canadian-dollar senior unsecured notes totaling C$14 billion (~USD ~$10B): C$1.25B (3.400% due 2029), C$2.5B (3.700% due 2031), C$2.0B (4.000% due 2033), C$3.5B (4.350% due 2036), and C$4.75B (5.000% due 2056), settling June 12, 2026. Notes rank equally with Amazon's existing senior unsecured debt and are not exchange-listed. This is a very large Canadian-dollar debt capital markets transaction — non-dilutive to equity; scale and multi-tranche structure suggest proceeds fund Canadian operations or major capital projects.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 108-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Amazon.com, Inc. entered into a $17.5 billion senior unsecured delayed draw term loan credit facility (DDTL) with Citibank N.A. as administrative agent on June 8, 2026, with commitments expiring September 30, 2026. Any drawn amounts mature three years from the draw date and bear SOFR- or base-rate-based interest. This is one of the largest DDTL facilities on record — the short commitment window suggests proceeds are earmarked for a specific near-term use such as a large acquisition or capital project.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 8424B5
AI summary

CDS Clearing and Depository Services Inc. (AMZN) filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement for an offering of senior notes. Proceeds are intended for general corporate purposes, which may include debt repayment, capital expenditures, or working capital. The 424B5 is a prospectus supplement filed under an existing shelf registration, allowing the company to offer securities on an accelerated timeline without a standalone registration statement.

8-KShareholder voteMay 228-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) filed an 8-K on May 20, 2026 disclosing annual shareholder meeting vote results (Item 5.07). Amazon is a Seattle-based e-commerce and cloud computing company listed on Nasdaq. Annual meeting vote results for a mega-cap company are routine governance disclosures and are not expected to be material to operations.

3New insider — initial holdingsApr 243
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for AMZN on 2026-04-24, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 148-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

AMZN filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-04-14. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

+ 29 other (4 routine 8-Ks · 4 424B5s · 3 proxys · 3 13Gs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Billionaire Investor Bill Ackman’s Top 5 Bets: Buy, Hold, or Steer Clear?247wallst.com·10h agoMeet TMGN, the 0.88% Fee ETF Betting on Tech Giants and Options Income247wallst.com·11h ago5 Solid Stocks to Boost Your Portfolio as Retail Sales Continue to Surgezacks.com·12h agoThe Race to Beat Nvidia: Does Google or Amazon Have the Better In-House Silicon247wallst.com·12h agoHow To Profit From Amazon Stock Facing Big Price Swings With Earnings On Deckinvestors.com·13h ago

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Voices on X · top 15 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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