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AMAMBA

Ambarella, Inc.

Buzzing onWhy it's trendingX chatter picking upMoving on elevated volumeStrong bullish X conversation
$AMBA·$3.8B·Semiconductors·Technology
$82.68-3.9%YTD+18.1%1Y+30.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-26: 4 posts2026-07-27: 12 posts2026-07-28: 10 posts2026-07-29: 14 posts2026-07-30: 7 posts2026-07-31: 152 posts2026-08-01: 41 posts240+13%
Price updated 4m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
AMAMBA
$AMBAAmbarella, Inc.
$82.68-3.86%240 posts+13%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $AMBA, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-31

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Ambarella flat YTD but three straight beats — Stifel $106 PT into Aug 27 print on Physical AI Edge chip cycle.

Ambarella is the edge-AI semiconductor specialist — the pure-play way to own the specific 'physical AI at the edge' category where inference happens on-device rather than in the cloud (auto cameras, robotics, industrial vision).

The reason the setup is compounding:

  • The Q1 beat cadence continues: EPS $0.11 vs $0.099 consensus (+11% surprise) with revenue $100M (+16.9% YoY) — the three-consecutive beat pattern (+11%, +30%, +33%) means the sell-side has been persistently too pessimistic, and the pattern points to another beat on the Aug 27 Q2 print against $0.16 EPS consensus.
  • The Stifel upgrade is meaningful: Stifel called AMBA's FY28 setup 'increasingly constructive' with a $106 PT and highlighted the heaviest R&D investment — meaning the multi-year product-cycle re-rating thesis is being explicitly validated by a specific institutional analyst.
  • The insider tape is a real caution: multiple officers sold in July — Wang Feng-Ming $1.46M and Ju Chi-Hong $888K on July 1 plus Chen Yun-Lung $469K on July 9 — combined ~$2.8M of coordinated senior-management sales into strength. This is the kind of officer distribution that caps near-term upside even when the fundamentals support the multi-year thesis.

Aug 27 Q2 print is the direct catalyst — a fourth-consecutive double-digit EPS beat plus continued edge-AI + robotics revenue growth commentary and any raised FY27 guide restarts the equity toward $90. A miss on robotics customer disclosure or continued officer selling into any bounce drops shares back to $60. The FCC-plans-Chinese-humanoid-import-ban framing is a real tailwind for US robotics semiconductor suppliers like Ambarella.

Agrees with X sentimentX captures the setup fairly — Stifel FY28 setup increasingly constructive at $106 PT with heaviest R&D investment, AMBA as US robotics supplier alongside PDYN and OUST, FCC planning bans on Chinese humanoid + quadruped imports, relative strength with BLZE/BFLY/NTAP. Fair take. What the crowd downplays: the $2.8M of coordinated officer selling in July is a real signal.

What to watch: Aug 27 Q2 earnings — a fourth-consecutive double-digit EPS beat plus continued edge-AI + robotics revenue growth commentary and any raised FY27 guide extends toward $90. A miss on robotics customer disclosure or continued officer selling drops shares back to $60.

On the calendar: 2026-08-27 — Q2 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment28 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-01

Ambarella is bullish and M&A-driven after the FT reported NXP is in advanced talks to acquire the edge-AI and computer-vision chipmaker for roughly $3.3B, sending shares ~20% higher toward the analyst >$100 target. Stifel had already set a $106 PT into FY28 citing that heavy R&D is behind the company. The comp read-through pushes the acquisition multiple bar (>10x revenues) higher for peers like OUST, INDI and MVIS.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $AMBA

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs low-power AI vision SoCs for security cameras, automotive ADAS, and IoT devices; growing into edge AI inference.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $AMBA.

Semiconductors · Technology

No material change from last week — structural AI capex engine unchanged: hyperscaler Blackwell allocation stays tight through 2H26 and HBM3e pricing holds as LLM context-window expansion drives 5-8x per-server memory demand uplift.

What this means for $AMBA

Neutral — Designs low-power AI vision SoCs for security cameras, automotive ADAS, and IoT devices; growing into edge AI inference; limited read-through from semiconductors macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+36.7%YTD
+87.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-45.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-12.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-18.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
2.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
7.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-11.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
58.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 28, 2026$0.11$0.10+10.9%
Q4 2025Feb 26, 2026$0.13$0.10+30.0%
Q3 2025Nov 25, 2025$0.27$0.20+32.8%
Q2 2025Aug 28, 2025$0.15$0.06+150.0%
Next earningsThu, Aug 27·consensus EPS $0.17

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY27$100.4M+16.9%58.4%-19.3%$-0.41—
Q4 FY26$100.9M+20.1%57.7%-19.5%$-0.38$14.3M
Q3 FY26$108.5M+31.2%60.3%-13.9%$-0.35$31.4M
Q2 FY26$95.5M+49.9%58.9%-23.0%$-0.47$10.1M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$441.6M$436.3M – $444.3M$0.79$0.75 – $0.839
FY28$498.5M$489.3M – $513.7M$1.08$0.86 – $1.239
FY29$593.3M$564.8M – $620.0M$1.46$1.41 – $1.573
FY30$740.0M$719.5M – $780.9M$2.75$2.65 – $2.951
FY31$940.0M$913.9M – $992.0M$4.35$4.19 – $4.661

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.4.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.78%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+17.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+22.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 41.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today21.9% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.115-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJul 9Yun-lung ChenVP, Business Dev. & Marketing6.0K sh$469KSellJul 1Chi-hong JuSenior VP, Systems & GM10.0K sh$888KSellJul 1Feng-ming WangCEO16.3K sh$1.5MSellJun 26Christopher B PaisleyDirector250 sh$16KSellJun 17Young John AlexanderCFO5.0K sh$340KSellJun 17Chan W LeeChief Operations Officer3.0K sh$200KSellJun 17Feng-ming WangCEO6.2K sh$421KSellJun 17Chi-hong JuSenior VP, Systems & GM2.0K sh$137KSellJun 12Yun-lung ChenVP, Business Development and9.9K sh$661KSellMay 26Young John AlexanderCFO400 sh$38K
1–10 of 21
+ 19 other (11 awards · 7 exempts · 1 gift) in window

See when $AMBA insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 18-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

At Ambarella's (AMBA) June 26, 2026 Annual Meeting — with approximately 86.31% of outstanding shares represented — shareholders approved the amended and restated 2021 Equity Incentive Plan (expanding the share pool) and elected three Class II directors to serve until the 2029 annual meeting. The equity plan amendment details were previously disclosed in the May 15, 2026 proxy statement. This is routine annual governance; the expanded equity plan is modestly dilutive but expected at this stage of growth.

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 43
8-KOfficer or director changeFeb 278-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
8-KOfficer or director changeFeb 268-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 5.02: Officer or director change
+ 11 other (3 13Gs · 3 proxys · 1 10-Q · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

NXP in talks to buy chip developer Ambarella, FT reportsreuters.com·3d agoAmbarella (AMBA) Upgraded to Buy: What Does It Mean for the Stock?zacks.com·13d agoAmbarella: The New Product Cycle Changes The Narrativeseekingalpha.com·16d agoThe Physical AI Proof Points Are Suddenly Everywhereinvestorplace.com·21d agoThis Edge AI Stock Just Got a Huge Vote of Confidence From Wall Streetmarketbeat.com·28d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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