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ALALMU

Aeluma, Inc.

$ALMU·$335M·Semiconductors·Technology
$13.08-0.5%YTD-6.3%1Y-38.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 2 posts2026-08-22: 0 posts2026-08-23: 0 posts17-15%
Price updated 13m ago·X counts updated 8d ago
ALALMU
$ALMUAeluma, Inc.
$13.08-0.46%17 posts-15%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ALMU, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Hinges on a big eventWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-30

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Aeluma $330M — DOC CHIPS $30M LOI July 29 for InP/InGaAs photonic wafers plus China optical-tech ban, SIVE-thesis normalization.

Aeluma is a $330M small-cap photonic-chip semiconductor company. Riding the US-government-backing-plus-China-ban thesis — DOC CHIPS $30M LOI is the specific catalyst.

How it reads:

  • Growth is flat off small base: Q1 revenue -2.6% YoY to $1M, Q4 was +371% (base-effect) — the revenue base is tiny.
  • Margins reflect burn: -305% operating margin, -0.7% FCF yield, -16.5% ROIC — pre-scale burn.
  • Valuation is optionality-priced: -65.3x PE (near-zero base), 61.6x sales, -48x EV/EBITDA — every multiple prices the platform outcome, not P&L.
  • Position is weak: 17th percentile 52w, 20.3% below 50-day, 21.6% below 200-day on baseline volume — tape is punishing despite the setup.
  • The July 29 Aeluma-Department of Commerce CHIPS R&D Office Letter of Intent for up to $30M to accelerate US leadership in AI and Advanced Photonics — the specific catalyst.
  • 'US government backing InP/InGaAs photonic-chip wafers while simultaneously banning Chinese optical tech' framing captures the setup.
  • SIVE-thesis normalization EV/Sales analysis implies 120%+ upside for peer names — the specific comp framing.
  • Insider signal is small distribution: $684K S-Sale (Denbaars $346K + Klamkin $335K) plus G-Gift — the small officer sales during weakness.

The Sep 8 print is the test — a specific CHIPS-LOI progress plus reiterated FY27 wafer-production ramp extends the setup; another sub-$2M revenue quarter plus continued distribution drops to $10 support.

Agrees with X sentimentAgree — the bullish anchors (US government backing InP/InGaAs photonic-chip wafers with $30M package while banning Chinese optical tech as 'clearing the field', ALMU tied to SIVE thesis with normalization EV/Sales analysis implying 120%+ upside for peer names, recent LOI reinforces) map to real signals; the sample's own honest note that the road to commercialize at scale is long with execution risks is the fair caveat.

What to watch: Sep 8 earnings — a specific CHIPS-LOI progress plus reiterated FY27 wafer-production ramp extends the setup; another sub-$2M revenue quarter plus continued distribution drops to $10 support.

On the calendar: 2026-09-08 — Q4 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-07

Aeluma posters describe the US government backing InP/InGaAs photonic-chip wafers with a $30M package while simultaneously banning Chinese optical tech — described as 'clearing the field.' Bulls tie ALMU to the SIVE thesis with normalization EV/Sales analysis implying 120%+ upside for peer names. Skeptics note the road to commercialize at scale is long with execution risks. A recent LOI reinforces the bull case per posters.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ALMU

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes compound semiconductor optoelectronic sensors on silicon wafers for sensing and communications applications.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Semiconductors sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ALMU.

Semiconductors · Technology

Hyperscaler AI capex keeps Blackwell allocation tight and HBM3e pricing firm; NVDA's data-center backlog and AVGO's networking wins confirm the cycle is not peaking. LLM context-window expansion — the structural demand pull — extends through at least 2H26.

What this means for $ALMU

Partial — semiconductor exposure exists but product mix may not fully align with the AI capex driver; Aeluma, Inc.

Top industry ETF

$SMHVanEck Semiconductor ETF
+56.0%YTD
+85.1%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-65.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-16.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-131%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-0.7%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
61.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-17.2%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
41.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 13, 2026$-0.04$-0.04-14.3%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$-0.04$-0.05+20.0%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$-0.03$-0.03-20.0%
Q2 2025Sep 9, 2025$-0.01$-0.01+33.3%
Next earningsTue, Sep 8·consensus EPS $-0.07

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$1.2M-2.6%31.6%-174%$-0.10$-775K
Q2 FY26$1.3M-21.1%27.8%-164%$-0.10$-282K
Q1 FY26$1.4M+187.9%49.4%-116%$-0.09$-1.0M
Q4 FY25$1.3M+371.5%56.6%-73.6%$-0.05$-141K

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 3 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$4.5M$4.4M – $4.5M-$0.18-$0.19 – -$0.182
FY27$7.1M$6.9M – $7.3M-$0.30-$0.35 – -$0.262
FY28$20.4M$19.8M – $21.0M-$0.30-$0.32 – -$0.293
FY29$79.2M$76.9M – $81.5M$1.34$1.29 – $1.391

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.0×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.17%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-20.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-21.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 13.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.8% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β-0.075-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellAug 27Steven DenbaarsDirector12.5K sh$173KSellAug 26Steven DenbaarsDirector12.5K sh$173KSellAug 3Jonathan KlamkinCEO20.0K sh$335KSellJul 1Jonathan KlamkinCEO20.0K sh$422KSellMay 20Steven DenbaarsDirector12.5K sh$256KSellMay 19Steven DenbaarsDirector12.5K sh$250KSellMay 1Jonathan KlamkinCEO20.0K sh$499KSellApr 1Jonathan KlamkinCEO20.0K sh$262KSellMar 4Jonathan KlamkinCEO50.0K sh$903K
+ 5 other (5 gifts) in window

See when $ALMU insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDJul 308-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Aeluma, Inc (ALMU) furnished Reg FD materials under Item 7.01 (Reg FD), filed 2026-07-30. On July 29, 2026, Aeluma, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its entry into a CHIPS and Science Act Letter of Intent with the U.S. Department of Commerce. The text of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Reg FD disclosures are furnished (not filed) — commonly investor slides, strategy updates, or guidance. Review the exhibit for material new information about business outlook.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 198-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Aeluma, Inc. (ALMU) filed an 8-K on May 19, 2026 under Item 7.01 (Regulation FD Disclosure). Aeluma is a Goleta, California-based developer of high-performance photodetector arrays for LiDAR and sensing applications listed on Nasdaq. Reg FD disclosures for a small-cap sensor technology company may contain material updates on customer engagements, product milestones, or funding.

8-KMaterial agreementMar 208-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

ALMU entered into a material definitive agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-03-20). Counterparty: Roth Capital Partners, LLC. Size: approximately $50.0 million. Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Mar 20424B5
AI summary

ALMU filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement dated 2026-03-20, representing an active capital markets transaction. Priced at $0.0001 per share. This represents immediate dilution to existing shareholders.

+ 5 other (3 13Gs · 1 10-Q · 1 earnings 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Aeluma Names Jason Taylor Senior Director of Program and Project Managementglobenewswire.com·27d agoAeluma (NASDAQ:ALMU) Trading Up 2.9% – Time to Buy?defenseworld.net·28d agoAeluma and Department of Commerce Sign CHIPS Research & Development Office (CRDO) Letter of Intent for up to $30 Million to Accelerate U.S. Leadership in AI and Advanced Computingglobenewswire.com·33d agoAeluma CEO to Chair Optica Advanced Photonics Congress Industry Program on AI and Quantumglobenewswire.com·55d agoAeluma: The Transition Investors May Be Missingseekingalpha.com·56d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI Photonics & Co-Packaged Optics

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Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

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Voices on X · top 2 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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