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ADADYEY

Adyen N.V.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 42% YoY at strong marginsQuiet on X (9 mentions/wk)
$ADYEY·$39B·Software - Infrastructure·Technology
$12.09-3.7%1Y-25.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-22: 0 posts2026-08-23: 0 posts2026-08-24: 2 posts90%
Price updated 13h ago·X counts updated 8d ago
ADADYEY
$ADYEYAdyen N.V.
$12.09-3.74%9 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ADYEY, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-21

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

European payment-processing leader growing 42% — the multiple has compressed hard and the tape is only just starting to work.

Adyen is the Dutch payment-processing platform serving global enterprises — a picks-and-shovels play on e-commerce and in-person payments with a genuine technology lead over legacy peers (Stripe is private, so Adyen is the pure public read on the category).

  • Q2 revenue grew 42% year-on-year to €1.31B — real re-acceleration after 2023-24's growth wobble, and the 67% operating margin is the specific data point that reminds you why the multiple was once 100x.
  • Q2 EPS came in at $0.20 vs $0.191 consensus (4% beat) — modest, and the last four beats averaged just 2%; guidance has been set close to reality, which is why growth acceleration matters more than beats here.
  • Trades at ~30x trailing earnings and 11.6x TTM sales — significantly de-rated from historical peaks; the multiple now prices growth deceleration rather than continued acceleration.
  • Stock is -27% over 12 months but 22% above the 50-day trend — the tape has bottomed and is starting to work; the 36th percentile of the 52-week range is where the recovery has room to keep running.

What restarts the move upward is Feb 10 (2027) full-year results confirming the H2 growth trajectory alongside continued in-person volume expansion. What sustains the cooling is any specific enterprise customer defection or European regulatory-fee cap; the multiple is only cheap if the growth persists at 40%+.

What to watch: Feb 10 2027 full-year results — H2 organic revenue growth trajectory and in-person volume growth. Watch European interchange-fee regulation and enterprise-customer churn commentary.

On the calendar: 2027-02-10 — Full-year 2026 results

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ADYEY

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Global payment platform combining acquiring, gateway, and risk management into one integrated API, dominant with enterprise merchants like Spotify and eBay.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Infrastructure sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ADYEY.

Software - Infrastructure · Technology

SaaS multiples remain compressed as rate-sensitive valuations weigh on pure-play software; customers are lengthening deal cycles outside of AI-native workloads. AI co-pilot upsell is the only clear near-term catalyst — companies without it are treading water.

What this means for $ADYEY

Partial — software subscription economics provide some insulation from macro cycles; AI integration is the growth catalyst for this segment; Adyen N.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-4.2%YTD
+2.5%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
29.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.2%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
41.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-5.1%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
11.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
20.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
78.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 12, 2026$0.20$0.19+3.8%
Q4 2025Feb 11, 2026$0.22$0.21+3.9%
Q2 2025Aug 14, 2025$0.18$0.18-3.3%
Q4 2024Feb 11, 2025$0.17$0.16+7.0%
Next earningsWed, Feb 10·consensus EPS $0.25

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$1.3B+41.7%67.1%67.1%$0.17$0
Q4 FY25$1.4B+59.2%78.8%44.1%$0.19$-1.5B
Q2 FY25$1.1B+29.0%65.8%65.8%$0.15$2.6B
Q4 FY24$1.3B-73.9%108%22.7%$0.17$1.1B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.8B$2.8B – $2.8B$0.44$0.43 – $0.469
FY27$3.4B$3.3B – $3.4B$0.54$0.51 – $0.5611
FY28$4.0B$4.0B – $4.1B$0.67$0.65 – $0.674
FY29$4.8B$4.7B – $4.9B$0.81$0.79 – $0.825
FY30$5.7B$5.7B – $5.8B$0.94$0.92 – $0.955

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.34%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+15.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-0.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 2.8B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.865-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Adyen: Fairly Valued On FCF, But Don't Ignore The Cashseekingalpha.com·5d agoVTEX or ADYEY: Which Is the Better Value Stock Right Now?zacks.com·6d agoAdyen: A 20% Compounder Is Finally Cheap Enoughseekingalpha.com·8d agoDividing Our Idea Funnel: Four Moves That Are Nicely Spreadseekingalpha.com·13d agoAdyen N.V. (ADYEY) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·19d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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