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ABABSI

Absci Corporation

$ABSI·$1.4B·Biotechnology·Healthcare
$8.25-7.1%YTD+132.4%1Y+69.4%
Price updated 3d ago·X counts updated 8d ago
ABABSI
$ABSIAbsci Corporation
$8.25-7.09%168 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $ABSI on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

168X posts · last 7 days
Oct 1Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $ABSI's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-28

Absci gets thin but uniformly positive attention as an AI-plus-biotech basket name and a direct competitor to AbCellera. The dominant post lays out a Wave 5 setup with a $13-15 target zone off the $3.99 200-WMA, and it appears repeatedly in short lists of AI-biotech and hair-loss-market picks. There is no bearish counterpoint in the sample, but the small volume means the read is more 'watchlist candidate' than 'consensus long.'

Read what X is saying about $ABSI

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $ABSI — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Driven by hypeAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-10-03

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Absci up 212% YTD on the AI-biotech narrative — revenue is a rounding error, so the whole bet is Phase 2 data.

Absci is an AI-biotech company using generative AI to design novel antibodies — competing with AbCellera and Recursion for the "AI drug discovery" basket. The stock has 3x'd YTD as the AI-biotech narrative compounded, with revenue still a rounding error.

  • Revenue is tiny and declining: Q1 2026 of $215K was -82% YoY after -2.3% and -78% in prior quarters — this is a pre-commercial company whose valuation is 100% narrative-driven, with 543x price-to-sales reflecting that.
  • The P&L is deeply red: operating margin of -143% means every dollar burned is $1.43 above revenue — classic R&D-stage biotech, with the market cap of $1.9B saying the market believes the AI-design engine will convert.
  • The Phase 2 STORYLINE trial of ABS-201 for endometriosis is the specific near-term catalyst — AI-designed antibody for a large market, with the preliminary details released Sep 24.

A Phase 2 STORYLINE data readout showing clinical efficacy re-rates sharply higher; a safety signal or a failed primary endpoint and the 212% YTD unwinds fast. The next earnings print (Nov 16) is cash-runway secondary to the clinical catalyst.

Agrees with X sentimentX correctly flags the AI-biotech basket and direct-competitor framing to AbCellera, with the Wave 5 setup targeting $13-15 off the $3.99 200-WMA. The crowd correctly identifies this as a watchlist candidate rather than consensus long given the thin volume.

What to watch: Phase 2 STORYLINE readout for ABS-201 (endometriosis) data in 2027, Nov 16 Q3 earnings for cash runway, and any additional AI-designed candidate advancing to clinical trials. A clean Phase 2 clinical signal re-rates it; a safety signal or primary-endpoint failure unwinds the YTD gains fast.

On the calendar: 2026-11-16 — Q3 2026 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $ABSI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

AI-driven biologic drug discovery platform unifying target identification and cell-line development for pharma partners.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Biotechnology sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ABSI.

Biotechnology · Healthcare

No material change from last week — mRNA oncology platform remains the structural driver.

What this means for $ABSI

Partial — AI-driven biologic drug discovery platform unifying target identification and cell-line development for pharma partners.

Top industry ETF

$IBBiShares Biotechnology ETF
+17.9%YTD
+31.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-8.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-72.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-70.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-9.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
543.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-63.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-13.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 11, 2026$-0.18$-0.19+5.8%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-0.19$-0.20+5.0%
Q4 2025Mar 24, 2026$-0.23$-0.16-43.8%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$-0.20$-0.19-5.3%
Next earningsThu, Nov 12·consensus EPS $-0.19

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$215K-81.8%-1169%-14347%$-0.19$-26.3M
Q4 FY25$650K-2.3%-335%-5560%$-0.20$-29.1M
Q3 FY25$378K-77.8%100%-7977%$-0.20$-26.0M
Q2 FY25$593K-53.3%-3350%-5294%$-0.24$-17.1M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$3.9M$916K – $11.3M-$0.80-$0.90 – -$0.758
FY27$16.0M$1.0M – $52.1M-$0.72-$1.09 – -$0.348
FY28$35.1M$3.5M – $121.6M-$0.57-$0.91 – $0.257
FY29$42.1M$4.2M – $145.9M-$0.44-$1.84 – $0.073
FY30$103.9M$10.5M – $360.0M-$0.02-$0.07 – $0.005

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.61%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-11.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+33.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 148.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.285-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJun 30Mary T SzelaDirector12.9K sh$149KBuyMay 13Menelas N PangalosDirector37.5K sh$201K
+ 14 other (8 awards · 6 inkinds) in window

See when $ABSI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 73
AI summary

Ransi Somaratne Mudalinayake filed a late initial Form 3 as Chief Medical Officer and Head of R&D of Absci Corp; the triggering event date was March 3, 2026, but the form was submitted August 7, 2026 — approximately five months late. No securities are beneficially owned; both the direct and derivative security tables are empty. The form was signed by authorized representative Shelby Walker. This is a routine insider registration disclosure, delayed but administratively immaterial.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 248-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Absci Corporation entered into an underwriting agreement with Jefferies, J.P. Morgan, TD Securities, and Guggenheim to sell 13,495,277 shares of common stock at $7.41 per share. Net proceeds are estimated at ~$93.5 million after underwriting discounts and offering expenses, with closing expected June 25, 2026. Proceeds will fund advancement of ABS-201, Absci's AI-designed anti-PRLR antibody targeting androgenetic alopecia and endometriosis, plus general working capital. This is a material equity raise that dilutes existing shareholders but provides meaningful clinical-stage runway.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 24424B5
AI summary

Absci Corporation is offering 13,495,277 shares of common stock at $7.41 per share under its existing shelf registration, raising ~$100 million gross (~$94 million net before expenses). Notably, Eli Lilly and Company is purchasing 5,398,111 shares (~$40 million) of the offering, with underwriters taking the remainder. Shares expected to deliver on or about June 25, 2026. The Lilly participation is strategically significant — a major pharma buyer at $40M validates Absci's AI drug design platform, even as the offering is dilutive to existing holders.

8-KShareholder voteJun 58-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

ABSI (ABSI) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

+ 8 other (2 10-Qs · 2 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 1 routine 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Absci to Report Business Updates and Third Quarter 2026 Financial and Operating Results on November 12, 2026globenewswire.com·6d agoCritical Contrast: Absci (NASDAQ:ABSI) and Black Diamond Therapeutics (NASDAQ:BDTX)defenseworld.net·11d agoAbsci Announces Preliminary Details for Phase 2 STORYLINE™ Trial of AI-Designed Antibody ABS-201™ for Endometriosisglobenewswire.com·25d agoAbsci (NASDAQ:ABSI) vs. Silence Therapeutics (NASDAQ:SLN) Head to Head Contrastdefenseworld.net·28d agoContrasting Absci (NASDAQ:ABSI) & Valneva (NASDAQ:VALN)defenseworld.net·28d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ABSI on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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