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ABABSI

Absci Corporation

$ABSI·$1.5B·Biotechnology·Healthcare
$8.70-1.2%YTD+166.5%1Y+276.1%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-27: 28 posts2026-08-28: 5 posts2026-08-29: 5 posts2026-08-30: 3 posts2026-08-31: 8 posts2026-09-01: 7 posts2026-09-02: 26 posts83
Price updated 3m ago·X counts updated 1d ago
ABABSI
$ABSIAbsci Corporation
$8.70-1.19%83 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ABSI, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-09-03

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Absci is +166% YTD, +276% TTM — an AI-biotech direct competitor to AbCellera with a $13-15 chart target.

Absci is an AI-plus-biotech company using generative AI for antibody drug discovery, positioned as a direct competitor to AbCellera. The stock is up 166% YTD and 276% over the trailing year, at the 67th percentile of range — accelerating on the AI-drug-discovery narrative.

  • The core is still pre-scale: Q1 revenue $215K (-82% YoY), Q4 $650K, gross margin -13%, operating margin -70% — this is essentially a pre-commercial biotech burning cash aggressively, and the -$0.19 Q1 EPS reflects severe operating loss burden against a $1.5B market cap.
  • The AI-biotech basket framing is real: Absci appears repeatedly in short lists of AI-biotech and hair-loss-market picks alongside RXRX and TEM, and the Wave 5 setup with $13-15 target zone off the $3.99 200-WMA is a specific technical framing bulls are running with.
  • The strategic build-out is progressing: new CMO/Head of R&D Ransi Somaratne Mudalinayake filed a late initial Form 3 (triggering event March 3, filed August 7) — standard corporate scaffolding of a biotech scaling to commercial-planning, and multiple investor-conference participations signal active outreach.

What sustains the acceleration is a specific pharma-partnership with a named counterparty and revenue/milestone payments, or a Phase 1/2 readout confirming the AI-drug-discovery platform value. What flips accelerating to cooling is an AI-biotech-cohort rotation, or a dilutive raise given cash-burn pace.

Agrees with X sentimentX sentiment is uniformly positive but 'thin' — the Wave 5 setup with $13-15 target zone is a specific technical framing, and the AI-biotech direct-competitor-to-AbCellera positioning is real. 'Watchlist candidate' framing is honest for the volume level. The AI-biotech basket inclusion alongside RXRX and TEM captures a real thematic setup.

What to watch: Any specific pharma-partnership announcement with a named counterparty and revenue/milestone payments, or a Phase 1/2 clinical readout confirming the AI-drug-discovery platform value. Also broader AI-biotech-cohort rotation direction, and any dilutive raise given the cash-burn pace.

On the calendar: 2026-11-16 — Q3 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-28

Absci gets thin but uniformly positive attention as an AI-plus-biotech basket name and a direct competitor to AbCellera. The dominant post lays out a Wave 5 setup with a $13-15 target zone off the $3.99 200-WMA, and it appears repeatedly in short lists of AI-biotech and hair-loss-market picks. There is no bearish counterpoint in the sample, but the small volume means the read is more 'watchlist candidate' than 'consensus long.'

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ABSI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

AI-driven biologic drug discovery platform unifying target identification and cell-line development for pharma partners.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Biotechnology sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ABSI.

Biotechnology · Healthcare

GLP-1 oral formulation competition — emerging clinical data from pipeline challengers — is the central bifurcation: platform holders (LLY, NVO) defend on efficacy breadth while precision oncology names decouple entirely. FDA catalyst cadence over the next 60 days sets the near-term tone.

What this means for $ABSI

Partial — branded pharmaceutical revenue is exposed to patent cliff dynamics and GLP-1 category cannibalization; Absci Corporation operates as a biopharmaceutical company primarily focused on d.

Top industry ETF

$IBBiShares Biotechnology ETF
+12.1%YTD
+52.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-8.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-72.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-70.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-9.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
543.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-63.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-13.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 11, 2026$-0.18$-0.19+5.8%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-0.19$-0.20+5.0%
Q4 2025Mar 24, 2026$-0.23$-0.16-43.8%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$-0.20$-0.19-5.3%
Next earningsMon, Nov 16·consensus EPS $-0.15

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$215K-81.8%-1169%-14347%$-0.19$-26.3M
Q4 FY25$650K-2.3%-335%-5560%$-0.20$-29.1M
Q3 FY25$378K-77.8%100%-7977%$-0.20$-26.0M
Q2 FY25$593K-53.3%-3350%-5294%$-0.24$-17.1M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.7M$1.6M – $18.2M-$0.75-$0.85 – -$0.678
FY27$17.7M$1.6M – $56.4M-$0.70-$1.00 – -$0.358
FY28$40.6M$5.1M – $129.4M-$0.44-$0.83 – $0.266
FY29$42.1M$5.3M – $134.2M-$0.37-$1.43 – $0.055
FY30$85.3M$10.8M – $272.3M$0.00-$0.00 – $0.013

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.1×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.67%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-5.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+68.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 146.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.425-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJun 30Mary T SzelaDirector12.9K sh$149KBuyMay 13Menelas N PangalosDirector37.5K sh$201KBuyMar 12Andreas BuschChief Innovation Officer100.0K sh$229K
+ 10 other (8 awards · 2 inkinds) in window

See when $ABSI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 73
AI summary

Ransi Somaratne Mudalinayake filed a late initial Form 3 as Chief Medical Officer and Head of R&D of Absci Corp; the triggering event date was March 3, 2026, but the form was submitted August 7, 2026 — approximately five months late. No securities are beneficially owned; both the direct and derivative security tables are empty. The form was signed by authorized representative Shelby Walker. This is a routine insider registration disclosure, delayed but administratively immaterial.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 248-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Absci Corporation entered into an underwriting agreement with Jefferies, J.P. Morgan, TD Securities, and Guggenheim to sell 13,495,277 shares of common stock at $7.41 per share. Net proceeds are estimated at ~$93.5 million after underwriting discounts and offering expenses, with closing expected June 25, 2026. Proceeds will fund advancement of ABS-201, Absci's AI-designed anti-PRLR antibody targeting androgenetic alopecia and endometriosis, plus general working capital. This is a material equity raise that dilutes existing shareholders but provides meaningful clinical-stage runway.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 24424B5
AI summary

Absci Corporation is offering 13,495,277 shares of common stock at $7.41 per share under its existing shelf registration, raising ~$100 million gross (~$94 million net before expenses). Notably, Eli Lilly and Company is purchasing 5,398,111 shares (~$40 million) of the offering, with underwriters taking the remainder. Shares expected to deliver on or about June 25, 2026. The Lilly participation is strategically significant — a major pharma buyer at $40M validates Absci's AI drug design platform, even as the offering is dilutive to existing holders.

8-KShareholder voteJun 58-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

ABSI (ABSI) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentApr 14SC 13D/A
AI summary

With filed Amendment No. 4 to Schedule 13D disclosing updated beneficial ownership in ABSI (ABSI). The filing covers approximately 7,607,449 shares of ABSI. The position is held for potential M&A activity. Schedule 13D amendments are required when a 5%-or-greater holder's ownership, intent, or plans change materially, providing transparency into concentrated positions that could influence corporate governance or trigger M&A activity.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMar 26SC 13D/A
+ 12 other (3 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 proxys · 1 routine 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Absci to Participate in Upcoming Investor Conferencesglobenewswire.com·2d agoAMD's $1.3 Billion Portfolio Reveals Its Biggest Investments and Where AI Demand Lands Next247wallst.com·16d ago4 AI-Powered Drug Discovery Stocks to Watch as AI Reshapes Pharmazacks.com·17d agoAbsci Corporation (ABSI) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·23d agoAbsci Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·23d ago

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Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

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Voices on X · last 7 days

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