TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$ABSI
ABABSI

Absci Corporation

$ABSI·$1.4B·Biotechnology·Healthcare
$8.29+0.8%YTD+133.7%1Y+188.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 106 posts2026-07-11: 62 posts2026-07-12: 118 posts2026-07-13: 82 posts2026-07-14: 53 posts2026-07-15: 118 posts2026-07-16: 105 posts660-3%
Price updated 21h ago·X counts updated 2d ago
ABABSI
$ABSIAbsci Corporation
$8.30+0.79%660 posts-3%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ABSI, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Hinges on a big eventCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-17

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

AI-antibody biotech up 200% t12m diluted 20% at $7.41 into positive Phase 1 hair-loss data.

Absci is an AI-native antibody-discovery biotech — designing therapeutic candidates in silico using generative models plus experimental validation. Its lead assets include ABS-101 (endometriosis), ABS-201 (androgenetic alopecia), and a growing partnership pipeline.

Where the setup nets out:

  • Zero commercial revenue: quarterly revenue $0-1M against a $1.8B market cap — the equity is entirely priced on future clinical outcomes.
  • Q1 revenue collapsed on a partnership-timing effect: -82% YoY — this is milestone accounting noise, not a demand signal.
  • The offering just landed: 13.5M shares at $7.41 raised ~$100M — real dilution but funds the pivotal-timing programs.
  • The Phase 1 HEADLINE data on ABS-201 (June 24) was positive — the first real clinical validation of the AI-antibody-design platform.
  • Insider action was constructive: director Mary Szela bought 12,900 shares for $149K on July 6 at $11.54 — a real open-market buy signal from a director.
  • Position confirms the enthusiasm: YTD +132%, t12m +200% — the run is priced for continued positive readouts.

The forward view: the August 11 Q2 print is the referee for cash runway and pipeline update. What restarts the accelerating leg: a specific big-pharma partnership disclosure that validates the AI-design platform, or ABS-101 endometriosis Phase 2 data. What keeps it cooling: another cash-burn quarter without new partnership news. What breaks it lower: a soft ABS-201 or ABS-101 readout, or another dilutive raise.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X read on the Szela open-market buy despite the run is directionally right — that's a specific director-level confidence signal. Our take agrees the setup is coiled with pipeline data as the near-term decider.

What to watch: August 11 Q2 earnings for cash runway; a new big-pharma partnership or ABS-101 endometriosis Phase 2 data would restart the accelerating leg.

On the calendar: 2026-08-11 — Q2 2026 earnings

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-13

Absci Corp Director Szela Mary T. purchased 12,900 shares worth roughly $148,866 at $11.54 despite a 300% run over the past three months, described as a meaningful signal for a clinical-stage biotech. The company has an AI-native antibody lab candidate farthest along in Phase 2 for endometriosis, which has no cure and is very common.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $ABSI

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

AI-driven biologic drug discovery platform unifying target identification and cell-line development for pharma partners.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Biotechnology sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ABSI.

Biotechnology · Healthcare

No material change from last week — ADA conference oral formulation competition is bifurcating biotech multiples between GLP-1 platform holders and precision oncology innovators.

What this means for $ABSI

Neutral — AI-driven biologic drug discovery platform unifying target identification and cell-line development for pharma partners; this business's revenue is largely decoupled from the GLP-1 pipeline bifurcation and ADA oral formulation competition.

Top industry ETF

$IBBiShares Biotechnology ETF
+11.9%YTD
+44.0%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-8.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-72.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-70.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-9.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
543.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-63.6%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-13.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-0.19$-0.20+5.0%
Q4 2025Mar 24, 2026$-0.23$-0.16-43.8%
Q3 2025Nov 12, 2025$-0.20$-0.19-5.3%
Q2 2025Aug 12, 2025$-0.24$-0.19-26.3%
Next earningsTue, Aug 11·consensus EPS $-0.15

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$215K-81.8%-1169%-14347%$-0.19$-26.3M
Q4 FY25$650K-2.3%-335%-5560%$-0.20$-29.1M
Q3 FY25$378K-77.8%100%-7977%$-0.20$-26.0M
Q2 FY25$593K-53.3%-3350%-5294%$-0.24$-17.1M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$5.7M$1.6M – $18.4M-$0.75-$0.85 – -$0.678
FY27$17.8M$1.6M – $56.9M-$0.70-$1.00 – -$0.358
FY28$41.1M$5.2M – $131.0M-$0.44-$0.64 – $0.087
FY29$42.1M$5.3M – $134.2M-$0.37-$1.43 – $0.053
FY30$85.3M$10.8M – $272.3M$0.00-$0.00 – $0.016

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.62%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+8.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+87.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 144.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.6% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.335-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyJun 30Mary T SzelaDirector12.9K sh$149KBuyMay 13Menelas N PangalosDirector37.5K sh$201KBuyMar 12Andreas BuschChief Innovation Officer100.0K sh$229KBuyFeb 27Menelas N PangalosDirector75.1K sh$206KSellFeb 2Zachariah JonassonCFO17.5K sh$52KSellFeb 2Sean McclainCEO26.8K sh$80K
+ 26 other (13 awards · 12 inkinds · 1 exempt) in window

See when $ABSI insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementJun 248-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Absci Corporation entered into an underwriting agreement with Jefferies, J.P. Morgan, TD Securities, and Guggenheim to sell 13,495,277 shares of common stock at $7.41 per share. Net proceeds are estimated at ~$93.5 million after underwriting discounts and offering expenses, with closing expected June 25, 2026. Proceeds will fund advancement of ABS-201, Absci's AI-designed anti-PRLR antibody targeting androgenetic alopecia and endometriosis, plus general working capital. This is a material equity raise that dilutes existing shareholders but provides meaningful clinical-stage runway.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Jun 24424B5
AI summary

Absci Corporation is offering 13,495,277 shares of common stock at $7.41 per share under its existing shelf registration, raising ~$100 million gross (~$94 million net before expenses). Notably, Eli Lilly and Company is purchasing 5,398,111 shares (~$40 million) of the offering, with underwriters taking the remainder. Shares expected to deliver on or about June 25, 2026. The Lilly participation is strategically significant — a major pharma buyer at $40M validates Absci's AI drug design platform, even as the offering is dilutive to existing holders.

8-KShareholder voteJun 58-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

ABSI (ABSI) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentApr 14SC 13D/A
AI summary

With filed Amendment No. 4 to Schedule 13D disclosing updated beneficial ownership in ABSI (ABSI). The filing covers approximately 7,607,449 shares of ABSI. The position is held for potential M&A activity. Schedule 13D amendments are required when a 5%-or-greater holder's ownership, intent, or plans change materially, providing transparency into concentrated positions that could influence corporate governance or trigger M&A activity.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMar 26SC 13D/A
8-KMaterial agreementMar 68-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
+ 11 other (2 8-Ks · 2 proxys · 2 13Gs · 1 routine 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Absci to Report Business Updates and Second Quarter 2026 Financial and Operating Results on August 11, 2026globenewswire.com·4d agoWall Street Analysts Predict a 28.3% Upside in ABSCI CORP (ABSI): Here's What You Should Knowzacks.com·5d agoHere's Why Absci Corporation (ABSI) is a Great Momentum Stock to Buyzacks.com·16d agoABSI Soars 36% on Positive Interim Update From Phase I Hair Loss Studyzacks.com·23d agoABSCI CORP (ABSI) Soars 36.0%: Is Further Upside Left in the Stock?zacks.com·24d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Trending on X

More in Biotechnology

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$SEER$QTTB$AGEN$REGN$MRNA$AURA$SLS$RXRX
Voices on X · top 1 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport