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ZKZKH

ZKH Group Limited

$ZKH·$436M·Specialty Retail·Consumer Cyclical
$2.77+9.1%YTD-33.0%1Y-19.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-02: 0 posts2026-07-03: 0 posts2026-07-04: 0 posts2026-07-05: 0 posts2026-07-06: 1 posts2026-07-07: 0 posts2026-07-08: 0 posts10%
Price updated 8m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
ZKZKH
$ZKHZKH Group Limited
$2.77+9.06%1 posts0%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $ZKH, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-09

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

ZKH Group Chinese MRO -29% YTD but +24% today with Q1 revenue +9% YoY — Aug 21 print is the tell.

ZKH Group Limited is a Chinese online marketplace/service platform for MRO products (industrial spare parts, maintenance materials for Chinese enterprise customers). Its 2026 tape (-29% YTD, -15% 12m, +24% today) coils on a fresh recent-tape breakout despite persistent revenue-growth deceleration.

Why the setup is coiling on real recent tape action:

  • Today's +24% pop is exceptional — tape at $2.69 with volume mult 0.61x signals real institutional breakout, 3% below 50-day but 13% below 200-day means coil is real, 39% of 52-week range shows meaningful upside if breakout holds.
  • Q1 execution shows the real business — Q1 revenue $2.11B CNY +9% YoY, Q4 $2.56B CNY mixed, Q1 gross margin 17% supports MRO-marketplace base, Q1 op margin -1% nearly breakeven, Q1 EPS -¥0.063, prior surprise pattern mixed, FY26 modeled revenue $9.72B CNY with EPS ¥0.49.
  • Counter-signals — 34% of 52-week range with -29% YTD and -15% 12m persistent damage before breakout, PE -35 loss-distortion, ROIC -4.6%, ROE -2.8%, FCF yield 0% breakeven cash, 0.14x debt-to-equity supports discipline, no insider trading, Aug 21 print has no EPS estimate populated.

The August 21 Q2 print is the whole trade. Continued revenue-growth acceleration with commentary on MRO-marketplace transaction economics keeps the +24% today extending toward the 34%-of-range recovery; a return to Q1-style -1% op margin with no MRO-marketplace commentary and the -29% YTD extends on the persistent revenue-deceleration base.

What to watch: August 21 Q2 earnings, revenue-growth acceleration continuity, MRO-marketplace transaction economics commentary, and any additional Chinese-industrial-demand detail — revenue-growth plus MRO commentary keeps extending; a return to Q1-style op margin and the -29% YTD extends.

On the calendar: 2026-08-21 — Q2 earnings

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

China's B2B MRO marketplace supplying industrial spare parts, chemicals, and consumables to enterprises with integrated procurement and logistics services.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Specialty Retail sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ZKH.

Specialty Retail · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Amazon's $200B AI infrastructure commitment and AI shopping agent deployment shifts purchase decisions from browsing to autonomous fulfillment, bypassing..

Top industry ETF

$XRTSPDR S&P Retail ETF
+1.4%YTD
+8.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-35.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-4.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-1.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
0.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-2.8%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
16.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 21, 2026$-0.01——
Q4 2025Mar 19, 2026$0.01$0.05-81.6%
Q3 2025Nov 20, 2025$-0.01$0.03-137.5%
Q2 2025Aug 22, 2025$-0.03$0.19-115.8%
Next earningsFri, Aug 21

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$2.1B+9.2%16.7%-1.1%$-0.06—
Q4 FY25$2.6B+7.9%15.5%-1.1%$0.03—
Q3 FY25$2.3B+2.1%16.8%-1.4%$-0.15—
Q2 FY25$2.2B-3.7%16.5%-3.3%$-0.33$0

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$9.7B$9.6B – $9.8B$0.49$0.39 – $0.592
FY27$10.4B$9.5B – $11.6B$1.19$0.94 – $1.414
FY28$11.4B$10.9B – $12.2B$1.39$1.30 – $1.512

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.31%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-7.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-17.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 60.1M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.545-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 273
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 273
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 273
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 273
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 273
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 273
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 273
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 263
+ 6 other (3 6-Ks · 2 13Gs · 1 20-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

ZKH Group Limited (ZKH) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·50d agoZKH Group Q1 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·50d agoZKH Group Limited Announces First Quarter 2026 Unaudited Financial Resultsprnewswire.com·51d agoZKH Group Limited to Announce First Quarter 2026 Financial Results on Thursday, May 21, 2026prnewswire.com·65d agoZKH Group Limited Files Its 2025 Annual Report on Form 20-Fprnewswire.com·78d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

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