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VNVNCE

Vince Holding Corp.

$VNCE·$137M·Apparel - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$11.38+2.2%YTD+167.1%1Y+237.6%
Price updated 4m ago·X counts updated 12d ago
VNVNCE
$VNCEVince Holding Corp.
$11.39+2.20%51 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $VNCE on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

51X posts · last 7 days
Sep 7Sep 13

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $VNCE — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Driven by hypeAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-09-24

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Vince Holding is up 272% over the year on the OVO acquisition and momentum-scan inclusion — a tiny-cap apparel name where the tape ran ahead of a first Analyst Day.

VNCE is a micro-cap ($140M) apparel operator experiencing a step-change on the OVO brand acquisition (a new-business-model test) and consecutive earnings surprises — Q1 revenue $56M grew 10.5% YoY with EPS -$0.16, and huge quarterly beats (+285%, -23%, +1900%, +91%) reflect the tiny-denominator dynamic.

  • Fundamentals reflect operational restart: PE 9.8, PS 0.29 (extremely cheap), EV/EBITDA 11.8, ROE 18%, D/E 2.69 (elevated), FCF yield 1.9% — cheap on revenue with balance-sheet caveat.
  • Structural: position 91% of 52-week range (extended), volume multiplier 1.63 (elevated flow), beta 1.38 — momentum-driven with tiny float amplifying.
  • Sept 18 dual bull notes ('Core Growth Supports the Valuation with OVO as Optional Upside' + 'OVO Is More Than an Acquisition, It's a Test of a New Business Model') — the fundamental thesis being articulated.
  • Momentum-scan inclusion (Sept 22 'Best Momentum Stocks to Buy') — the systemic-flag reinforces the tape.
  • Consensus fiscal Jan 2026 EPS $0.24 puts forward PE ~46× on the small denominator.

Dec 8 Q3 print at $0.36 EPS is the setup — beat with OVO acquisition-contribution commentary and core Vince brand growth is the multi-quarter thesis tell.

What to watch: Dec 8 Q3 print at $0.36 EPS — OVO acquisition revenue contribution and core Vince brand comparable-store growth are the operational tells; any commentary on the OVO business-model test (new customer acquisition, digital vs wholesale mix) is the multi-quarter thesis-defining detail. Watch for continued momentum-scan flagging and any tiny-float squeeze dynamics.

On the calendar: 2026-12-08

Read the AI verdict on $VNCE

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs and distributes premium contemporary apparel under the Vince brand via wholesale partnerships and direct-to-consumer channels.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Apparel - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $VNCE.

Apparel - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — mid-income consumer squeeze continues to pressure branded apparel; VFC cut dividend 82% signaling deep restructuring of Vans/Timberland portfolio. LEVI lifestyle expansion and PVH named a growth stock offer pockets of resilience. ETF -7.6% t12m.

What this means for $VNCE

Partial — luxury contemporary positioning provides some insulation from mid-income squeeze; small scale limits wholesale leverage but DTC direct margin structure is a relative buffer.

Industry benchmark

5-name peer basket
-8.2%YTD
-10.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
9.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
5.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
3.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
18.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
49.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Sep 10, 2026$1.02$0.27+284.9%
Q1 2026Jun 16, 2026$-0.16$-0.13-23.1%
Q1 2026Apr 15, 2026$0.18$-0.01+1900.0%
Q3 2025Dec 9, 2025$0.21$0.11+90.9%
Next earningsTue, Dec 8·consensus EPS $0.36

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$64.0M+10.5%50.6%-4.1%$-0.16$-8.9M
Q4 FY25$83.7M+4.7%49.1%-3.5%$-0.28$14.2M
Q3 FY25$85.1M+6.2%49.2%6.6%$0.21$-5.7M
Q2 FY25$73.2M-1.3%50.4%14.9%$0.93$2.1M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$299.7M$298.9M – $300.4M$0.24$0.24 – $0.242
FY27$321.5M$321.3M – $321.7M$0.59$0.57 – $0.612
FY28$337.3M$334.5M – $340.0M$0.71$0.70 – $0.722

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.2×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.92%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+60.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+140.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatTiny float · 2.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today19.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.385-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementAug 278-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Vince Holding Corp.'s subsidiary OWL Opco, LLC entered into a multi-party Asset and Equity Purchase Agreement to acquire October's Very Own (OVO), the fashion brand co-founded by Drake (Aubrey Drake Graham). In the transaction, Authentic Brands Group (ABG) acquires OVO's intellectual property while Vince acquires the equity of the three OVO operating companies (Canadian, US, and UK), with OVO's existing debt to be repaid at closing. This is a transformative acquisition for Vince, bringing a high-profile celebrity brand into its portfolio, though terms were not disclosed in the excerpt.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 88-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) reported officer/director changes (Item 5.02) and annual meeting vote results (Item 5.07) in an 8-K filed June 8, 2026. Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before the specific personnel change details and vote tallies are disclosed.

+ 9 other (3 earnings 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 1 S-8 · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Best Momentum Stocks to Buy for September 22ndzacks.com·3d agoVince Holding: Core Growth Supports The Valuation, With OVO As Optional Upsideseekingalpha.com·7d agoVince Holding: OVO Is More Than An Acquisition, It's A Test Of A New Business Modelseekingalpha.com·8d ago3 Stocks to Buy on Broker Rating Upgrades as Fed Tightens Policyzacks.com·8d ago5 Stocks With Recent Price Strength Amid a Volatile Septemberzacks.com·8d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $VNCE on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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