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VNVNCE

Vince Holding Corp.

$VNCE·$81M·Apparel - Manufacturers·Consumer Cyclical
$6.72+0.9%YTD+61.5%1Y+325.3%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-29: 0 posts2026-07-30: 0 posts2026-07-31: 0 posts2026-08-01: 0 posts2026-08-02: 2 posts2026-08-03: 4 posts2026-08-04: 3 posts9
Price updated 4h ago·X counts updated 3h ago
VNVNCE
$VNCEVince Holding Corp.
$6.72+0.90%9 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $VNCE, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptEvent coming upAI verdict · as of 2026-08-03

A known event soon (earnings, a ruling, etc.) will likely decide the next move.

Vince Holding is the luxury-apparel micro-cap turnaround franchise at 73%-of-range up 314% t12m — Sep 9 Q2 print plus Q1 guidance-lift plus tiny 2.5M float is the substance.

Vince Holding Corp. is a specific US-listed luxury-apparel franchise — Vince Wholesale and Vince Direct-to-Consumer segments. Up 3% today, up 43% year to date, and up 314% over 12 months, sitting at the 73rd percentile of the 52-week range on a Sep-9-earnings tape.

Where it stands:

  • The business is executing on scale but with mixed EPS: reported quarters at $64M-$85M revenue with -1% to +11% YoY change, gross margin holding at 49-51%, operating margin -4% to +15%, and EPS printing $0.93, $0.21, -$0.28, -$0.16 — the specific pattern of a franchise where seasonal-plus-execution mix drives quarterly cadence.
  • The valuation is undemanding: TTM P/E of 10, forward P/E of 27 on FY26 EPS estimates of $0.24 rising to FY27 $0.59 and FY28 $0.71 (n=1-2 analysts). Price-to-sales of 0.29, EV/EBITDA of 11.8, ROE 18.1% describe a specific value-plus-turnaround setup on the $81M market cap. D/E 2.69 is elevated.
  • The 4-quarter earnings-surprise cadence is dramatically mixed: EPS -$0.16 vs -$0.13 (-23%), $0.18 vs -$0.01 (+1900%), $0.21 vs $0.11 (+91%), $0.38 vs -$0.08 (+575%) — consensus chronically low.
  • The specific catalyst is dated: Vince Holding Q1 Earnings Call Lifts Outlook on Broad-Based Momentum 6/17 plus Vince Holding shares surge on Q1 earnings beat raised guidance 6/16 plus Vince Holding Corp Turnaround Story Continues Cautious Buy (Seeking Alpha 7/4).
  • The structural signal is a specific tiny-float setup: 2.5M share tiny float plus 1.81% of float traded plus 73%-of-range positioning describes a coiled setup.

Sep 9 Q2 earnings needs continued Vince-Wholesale-plus-DTC revenue growth plus dated commentary on the FY26 guidance-lift execution and margin trajectory to trigger the event-ahead tape; a specific luxury-consumer walk-back or a margin-compression disclosure would take the stock back toward the 200-day base.

What to watch: Sep 9 Q2 earnings — good = continued Vince-Wholesale-plus-DTC revenue growth with dated commentary on the FY26 guidance-lift execution and margin trajectory; bad = a specific luxury-consumer walk-back or a margin-compression disclosure, which takes the stock back toward the 200-day base.

On the calendar: 2026-09-09 — Q2 earnings

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $VNCE

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Designs and distributes premium contemporary apparel under the Vince brand via wholesale partnerships and direct-to-consumer channels.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Apparel - Manufacturers sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $VNCE.

Apparel - Manufacturers · Consumer Cyclical

No material change from last week — Ralph Lauren's China demand recovery and disciplined pricing power drive analyst upgrades while PVH's Calvin Klein and Tommy Hilfiger navigate a mixed global..

What this means for $VNCE

Neutral — Designs and distributes premium contemporary apparel under the Vince brand via wholesale partnerships and direct-to-consumer channels; limited read-through from apparel - manufacturers macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Industry benchmark

5-name peer basket
+16.6%YTD
+27.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
9.8How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
5.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
3.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
18.1%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
49.8%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
2.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Jun 16, 2026$-0.16$-0.13-23.1%
Q1 2026Apr 15, 2026$0.18$-0.01+1900.0%
Q3 2025Dec 9, 2025$0.21$0.11+90.9%
Q2 2025Sep 10, 2025$0.38$-0.08+575.0%
Next earningsWed, Sep 9·consensus EPS $0.27

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$64.0M+10.5%50.6%-4.1%$-0.16$-8.9M
Q4 FY25$83.7M+4.7%49.1%-3.5%$-0.28$14.2M
Q3 FY25$85.1M+6.2%49.2%6.6%$0.21$-5.7M
Q2 FY25$73.2M-1.3%50.4%14.9%$0.93$2.1M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$299.7M$298.9M – $300.4M$0.24$0.24 – $0.242
FY27$321.5M$321.3M – $321.7M$0.59$0.57 – $0.612
FY28$337.3M$334.5M – $340.0M$0.71$0.70 – $0.722

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.78%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+12.9%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+74.0%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatTiny float · 2.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today3.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.305-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 1 other (1 inkind) in window

See when $VNCE insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 88-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Vince Holding Corp. (VNCE) reported officer/director changes (Item 5.02) and annual meeting vote results (Item 5.07) in an 8-K filed June 8, 2026. Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before the specific personnel change details and vote tallies are disclosed.

8-KMaterial agreementMar 198-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
+ 7 other (2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 10-Q · 1 S-8 · 1 SD) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

OpenAI appoints two new members to board of directorscnbc.com·14d agoVince Holding Corp.: Turnaround Story Continues - Cautious Buyseekingalpha.com·32d agoVince Holding Q1 Earnings Call Lifts Outlook on Broad-Based Momentumzacks.com·49d agoVince Holding shares surge on Q1 earnings beat, raised guidanceproactiveinvestors.com·50d agoVince Holding Corp. (VNCE) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·50d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $VNCE on X in the last 7 days.

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