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VEVELO

Velo3D, Inc.

$VELO·$334M·Industrial - Machinery·Industrials
$6.79-9.0%YTD+683.0%1Y+17.4%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
VEVELO
$VELOVelo3D, Inc.
$6.80-9.04%374 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $VELO on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

374X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $VELO's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 52% of tracked names.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data11 posts analyzed · as of 2026-10-02

The Velo Protocol crowd is confidently bullish — $VELO is testing the 50-DMA from below with a daily/weekly close approaching, holders call it a Darvas breakout at $237 with a 275% Wave 3 target, and the setup is being pitched as a six-month higher-low that leads to new ATHs. The dominant frame is "the current market is oversaturated, smart money positions pre-move." No bearish voice in the sample.

Read what X is saying about $VELO

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $VELO — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Driven by hypeWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Metal 3D printer up 683% YTD on defense narrative — the P&L has not caught up with the chart.

Velo3D makes metal 3D printers for aerospace, defense, and energy — printers that build titanium and nickel-superalloy parts for jet engines, rockets, and heat exchangers. The stock is up 683% YTD on specific government-defense narrative extension, now consolidating below the 50-day moving average.

  • The P&L is still deeply impaired: revenue grew 48% YoY to $13.8M last quarter at a -99% operating margin AND NEGATIVE 11% gross margin — the business loses money on every printer it sells, and the FY26 EPS estimate of -$0.26 implies the operating losses are structural.
  • The GIDEP (Government-Industry Data Exchange Program) membership is a specific defense-industry credential — Velo3D now has the quality and supply-chain-vetting status needed to sell at scale to US defense primes.
  • The leadership strengthening at Velo3D (announced technology and operations) is pro-execution — but the operating-margin and gross-margin picture is what needs to turn, not just defense credentialing.

Coiling resolves higher if Nov 9 earnings announce a signed US defense-prime production contract with specific dollar amounts, or if gross margin crosses above 0%. It resolves lower if gross margin stays negative, or if another dilutive raise lands before an operational inflection — this is a defense-pipeline-conversion trade, not a fundamentals-driven thesis.

Agrees with X sentimentX bulls on the Darvas-breakout framing and the "ignored → scarce → repriced" tag are reading the chart extension correctly — but the gross-margin reality (-11%) means the business economics haven't caught up with the narrative, which is the honest counter-tell.

What to watch: Nov 9 earnings — gross margin trajectory (needs to clear 0%), any signed defense-prime production contract, revenue above $18M, and cash runway. More dilution or widening gross-margin loss is what breaks the coil lower.

On the calendar: 2026-11-09 — Q3 FY26 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $VELO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes metal 3D printers capable of producing complex aerospace and industrial parts with steep overhangs without support structures.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial - Machinery sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $VELO.

Industrial - Machinery · Industrials

No material change from last week — GE Vernova gas turbines remain a gating input for hyperscaler power procurement as data-center buildout accelerates.

What this means for $VELO

Neutral — Makes metal 3D printers capable of producing complex aerospace and industrial parts with steep overhangs without support structures.

Industry benchmark

32-name peer basket
-4.5%YTD
-12.4%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-0.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-70.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-99.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-11.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
6.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-150%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-11.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 11, 2026$-0.30$-0.27-12.1%
Q1 2026May 12, 2026$-0.20$-0.48+58.3%
Q4 2025Mar 24, 2026$-1.03$-0.56-82.3%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$-0.54$-0.52-3.8%
Next earningsMon, Nov 9·consensus EPS $-0.26

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$13.8M+48.2%17.2%-50.3%$-0.28$-18.9M
Q4 FY25$9.4M-25.2%-73.6%-215%$-1.03$-8.3M
Q3 FY25$13.6M+65.4%3.2%-77.9%$-0.69$-6.3M
Q2 FY25$13.6M+31.2%-11.7%-89.1%$-0.98$-3.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$72.9M$70.0M – $74.8M-$1.05-$1.17 – -$0.954
FY27$92.1M$85.5M – $102.2M-$0.67-$0.75 – -$0.615
FY28$122.3M$107.2M – $137.4M-$0.38-$0.42 – -$0.342
FY29$111.0M$102.7M – $120.6M$0.00$0.00 – $0.001
FY30$127.0M$117.5M – $138.0M$0.00$0.00 – $0.001

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.11%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-40.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-51.4%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 14.9M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today12.5% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.585-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 14 other (10 exempts · 4 awards) in window

See when $VELO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KPress release / Reg FDOct 98-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
3New insider — initial holdingsOct 73
8-KMaterial agreementOct 28-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 5.02: Officer or director change
8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 118-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Velo3D (VELO), a metal additive manufacturing company based in Fremont, California, reported financial results for Q2 2026 (three and six months ended June 30, 2026) via an 8-K under Items 2.02 and 7.01. The company issued a press release and published earnings presentation slides for use in investor discussions, holding a conference call at 2:00 p.m. Pacific Time on August 11, 2026. CFO James Suva signed the filing. Velo3D has faced significant restructuring and financial pressures in recent periods, making this earnings update a closely watched indicator of whether its business stabilization efforts are gaining traction.

8-KMaterial agreementJul 148-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

Velo3D, Inc. entered registration rights agreements on July 13, 2026, with Arrayed Notes Acquisition Corp. and Thieneman Construction, Inc., committing Velo3D to register for resale 394,517 shares held by Arrayed and 1,145,830 shares held by Thieneman — shares issued in March 2026 upon conversion of a M and 0M senior secured convertible promissory note, respectively. The total 1.54 million conversion shares will create near-term market overhang once registration is effective, dilutive relative to Velo3D's capital base.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 18-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Velo3D, Inc. (VELO) disclosed that on June 29, 2026, the Compensation Committee granted CEO Arun Jeldi a performance-based stock option award covering 964,474 shares of common stock. Specific performance metrics, exercise price, and vesting schedule are not included in the excerpt. This is a standard executive compensation disclosure; the performance-based structure aligns CEO incentives with operational milestones, and dilution occurs only if options vest and are exercised.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 163
AI summary

Velocity Financial, Inc. (VELO) filed a Form 3 on June 16, 2026 reporting initial beneficial ownership of a new insider (director, officer, or 10%+ holder). Body unavailable — excerpt contains only the SEC cover-page header without the reporting person's name or share count.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 158-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Velocity Financial, Inc. (VELO) reported officer/director changes (Item 5.02) and annual meeting vote results (Item 5.07) in an 8-K filed June 15, 2026. Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before the specific personnel change details and vote tallies are disclosed.

+ 23 other (5 13Gs · 4 8-Ks · 2 10-Qs · 2 424B5s) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Velo3D Stock Drops: What's Going On?benzinga.com·2d agoVelo3D Announces Preliminary Third Quarter 2026 Revenue of Approximately $19.5 Million to $20.5 Million, Representing Year-over-Year Growth of Approximately 43% to 51%prnewswire.com·2d agoCould Velo3D Be the Next Defense Buyout Target?marketbeat.com·10d agoVELO3D AND MEARS EXPAND CAPABILITIES WITH DEDICATED U.S. CU-NI PRODUCTIONprnewswire.com·11d agoA Look at Velo3D Inc (VELO) After 7.0% Gain -- GF Value $1.25 vs Price $11.20gurufocus.com·14d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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