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VEVELO

Velo3D, Inc.

$VELO·$257M·Industrial - Machinery·Industrials
$10.59+2.4%YTD+655.9%1Y+38.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-11: 38 posts2026-07-12: 71 posts2026-07-13: 55 posts2026-07-14: 69 posts2026-07-15: 50 posts2026-07-16: 96 posts2026-07-17: 83 posts462+18%
Price updated 8h ago·X counts updated 7h ago
VEVELO
$VELOVelo3D, Inc.
$10.59+2.37%462 posts+18%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $VELO, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

Velo3D is up 700% year-to-date with tripled production capacity for defense and aerospace and just added to the Russell 3000.

Velo3D makes support-free metal additive 3D printers used for space rockets, jet engines, and defense components, $257M market cap, with Q2 2026 earnings due 2026-08-05.

  • Q1 revenue was $13.8M, up 48% year-over-year and 46% sequentially — the first meaningful acceleration since the recapitalization, and EPS surprise came in at positive 58% (loss of $0.20 versus consensus loss of $0.48).
  • On June 30, Velo3D announced production capacity was tripled to meet strong defense and aerospace demand, and the same day the stock was added to the Russell 3000 and Russell Microcap indices — a mechanical inclusion-driven buying pulse.
  • On June 29, the Compensation Committee awarded new CEO Arun Jeldi a performance-based stock option covering 964,474 shares at a strike of $18.40 — the strike above the current $11.21 aligns his upside with a meaningful re-rating.
  • Gross margin remains negative (-11.3% trailing) and operating margin -98.9%, so the operating economics have not turned — the recapitalization created the runway, not the earnings, and analysts model 2026 EPS -$1.17 improving to -$0.31 by 2028.
  • Float is only 5.18M shares (tiny) with 62% traded in 30 days — whipsaws are structural, and beta 2.52 amplifies market moves.

The setup is a small-float defense-additive story with a fresh Cantor Fitzgerald Overweight $17 price target (52% above spot), operating losses still large, and the multiple entirely dependent on the ramp toward the $90M 2027 revenue estimate.

Agrees with X sentimentX posters cite Cantor Fitzgerald's Overweight initiation and $17 price target and frame Velo3D as recapitalized and under new leadership positioned to benefit from aerospace and defense demand — that matches the June 30 capacity-triple announcement and the Russell inclusion. Some chatter conflates the equity with $VELO the Solana token, which is a naming collision; the ticker_collision flag is set.

What to watch: August 5 Q2 earnings — revenue growth versus the 48% Q1 pace and gross-margin path to positive (Q1 was 17% versus negative 11% trailing), plus commentary on the tripled production capacity utilization and defense-customer contract flow. Cash-runway math after the recapitalization is a separate structural read.

On the calendar: 2026-08-05 Q2 2026 earnings; revenue growth and gross-margin trajectory are the two variables that matter.

ticker collision

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment14 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-17

VELO chatter is split between Velo3D (the 3D printing/CoAspire equity) and Velo Protocol (the crypto token). On the equity side, the fresh bullish catalyst is CoAspire signing a Framework Agreement with the US Department of War for affordable air-launched cruise missiles, with CoAspire's FAMM cruise missile flagged. Bulls emphasize the 200SMA daily/weekly support and are selling $10-$12.50 puts plus buying shares on dips. The bear side is loud: the stock fell from $30 to $11 in less than a month with no news, an ATM issuance fully tapped, and dilution fears around the CoAspire ramp. On the crypto side, Wyckoff spring signals and closed-loop-exchange narratives dominate, with skepticism about @lobstr custody. Sentiment is genuinely two-sided.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $VELO

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Makes metal 3D printers capable of producing complex aerospace and industrial parts with steep overhangs without support structures.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Industrial - Machinery sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $VELO.

Industrial - Machinery · Industrials

No material change from last week — electrical infrastructure for AI power density and robotic warehouse/manufacturing automation are pulling order books in different directions.

What this means for $VELO

Neutral — Makes metal 3D printers capable of producing complex aerospace and industrial parts with steep overhangs without support structures; limited exposure means the AI power density capex and robotic warehouse automation demand is not a near-term catalyst or headwind.

Industry benchmark

23-name peer basket
+0.2%YTD
+60.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-0.1How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-70.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-99.0%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-11.9%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
6.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-150%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
-11.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 12, 2026$-0.20$-0.48+58.3%
Q4 2025Mar 24, 2026$-0.54$-0.56+4.4%
Q3 2025Nov 10, 2025$-0.54$-0.52-3.8%
Next earningsWed, Aug 5·consensus EPS $-0.27

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$13.8M+48.2%17.2%-50.3%$-0.28$-18.9M
Q4 FY25$9.4M-25.2%-73.6%-215%$-1.03$-8.3M
Q3 FY25$13.6M+65.4%3.2%-77.9%$-0.69$-6.3M
Q2 FY25$13.6M+31.2%-11.7%-89.1%$-0.98$-3.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 2 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$64.4M$63.2M – $65.0M-$1.17-$1.24 – -$1.052
FY27$90.9M$80.3M – $97.2M-$0.66-$0.69 – -$0.592
FY28$96.4M$89.1M – $100.7M-$0.31-$0.33 – -$0.281
FY29$111.0M$102.6M – $115.9M$0.00$0.00 – $0.001
FY30$127.0M$117.3M – $132.7M$0.00$0.00 – $0.001

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.4×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.27%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-43.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-15.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatTiny float · 5.2M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today37.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.525-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyMar 4Arun JeldiCEO5.0M sh$81.9M
+ 18 other (11 exempts · 5 awards · 2 conversions) in window

See when $VELO insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementJul 148-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

Velo3D, Inc. entered registration rights agreements on July 13, 2026, with Arrayed Notes Acquisition Corp. and Thieneman Construction, Inc., committing Velo3D to register for resale 394,517 shares held by Arrayed and 1,145,830 shares held by Thieneman — shares issued in March 2026 upon conversion of a M and 0M senior secured convertible promissory note, respectively. The total 1.54 million conversion shares will create near-term market overhang once registration is effective, dilutive relative to Velo3D's capital base.

8-KOfficer or director changeJul 18-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Velo3D, Inc. (VELO) disclosed that on June 29, 2026, the Compensation Committee granted CEO Arun Jeldi a performance-based stock option award covering 964,474 shares of common stock. Specific performance metrics, exercise price, and vesting schedule are not included in the excerpt. This is a standard executive compensation disclosure; the performance-based structure aligns CEO incentives with operational milestones, and dilution occurs only if options vest and are exercised.

3New insider — initial holdingsJun 163
AI summary

Velocity Financial, Inc. (VELO) filed a Form 3 on June 16, 2026 reporting initial beneficial ownership of a new insider (director, officer, or 10%+ holder). Body unavailable — excerpt contains only the SEC cover-page header without the reporting person's name or share count.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 158-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Velocity Financial, Inc. (VELO) reported officer/director changes (Item 5.02) and annual meeting vote results (Item 5.07) in an 8-K filed June 15, 2026. Body unavailable — excerpt cuts off before the specific personnel change details and vote tallies are disclosed.

8-KAgreement terminatedMay 158-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 1.02: Agreement terminated
AI summary

VELO entered into a material definitive agreement (8-K Item 1.01, dated 2026-05-15). Counterparty: Needham & Company, LLC. Size: approximately $100,000,000. Material definitive agreement — investors should review the full exhibit for covenants, conditions, and use of proceeds.

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)May 15424B5
AI summary

VELO filed a 424B5 prospectus supplement dated 2026-05-15, representing an active capital markets transaction. Offering size: approximately $100 million. Priced at $0.00001 per share. This represents immediate dilution to existing shareholders.

S-3Shelf registrationMay 14S-3
AI summary

VELO filed a S-3 shelf registration statement dated 2026-05-14. The shelf provides capacity to issue equity or debt as market conditions allow. No immediate capital raise is triggered; watch for prospectus supplements disclosing actual transactions.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 128-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

VELO reported period ending 2026-05-12 financial results (8-K Item 2.02). Investors should review the full earnings press release and any management guidance for forward outlook.

+ 33 other (6 13Gs · 6 8-Ks · 4 EFFECTs · 2 S-8s) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Progress Report: How Our Top Stock Picks of 2026 Are Faringschaeffersresearch.com·11d agoVelo3D Triples Production Capacity to Meet Strong Defense and Aerospace Demandprnewswire.com·18d agoVelo3D Added to Membership of Russell 3000 Index and Russell Microcap Indexgurufocus.com·19d agoVelo3D Added to Membership of Russell 3000 Index and Russell Microcap Indexprnewswire.com·19d agoWhat's Going On With The Jump In Velo3D Stock Today?benzinga.com·32d ago

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