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UWUWMC

UWM Holdings Corporation

$UWMC·$1.9B·Financial - Mortgages·Financial Services
$1.05-8.7%YTD-71.7%1Y-80.1%
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 5d ago
UWUWMC
$UWMCUWM Holdings Corporation
$1.05-8.70%96 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $UWMC on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

96X posts · last 7 days
Sep 29Oct 11
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $UWMC's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 73% of tracked names.

Bearish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-18

Chatter is very bearish on UWM Holdings after CEO Mat Ishbia disclosed a ~$27.5B interest-rate bet that failed. UWMC suspended its dividend and signed an emergency rescue with Oaktree's distressed-situations desk after taking a reported $600M loss on interest-rate hedges. The stock is described down 40% on the reveal. Voices frame the outcome as one of the worst capital-allocation stories of the year with sarcastic sports-team comparisons and framings that no one is ever getting a mortgage again. LDI is called out as an adjacent read.

Read what X is saying about $UWMC

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $UWMC — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-10-02

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

UWM Holdings at $1.20 — CEO's $27.5B interest-rate hedge failed, $600M loss, Oaktree emergency rescue, dividend suspended.

UWM Holdings Corporation is the largest US wholesale mortgage lender — originating loans through independent mortgage brokers. The stock is down 72% YTD and 81% TTM, at 5% of its 52-week range on specific operational distress.

  • The P&L looks reasonable until you dig in: revenue grew 458% YoY to $901.4M last quarter at a 39.7% operating margin — the YoY optics are distorted by hedge accounting, and the underlying business is in distress.
  • The specific operational distress is tangible: CEO Mat Ishbia disclosed a ~$27.5B interest-rate bet that failed, took a reported $600M loss on interest-rate hedges, suspended the dividend, and signed an emergency rescue with Oaktree's distressed-situations desk — stock down 40% on the reveal.
  • Multiple securities class actions filed (Kaplan Fox, Bronstein Gewirtz Grossman); no insider buying to counter — this is a one-of-the-worst-capital-allocation-stories setup.

Breaking-down holds unless Nov 5 earnings reveal the full scope of the hedge loss, specific Oaktree rescue terms, and a credible operational-reset plan. Another hedge-related writedown, or any specific commentary on broker-network attrition, is what seals the de-rating; a specific CEO transition announcement or a signed major strategic partnership is what could restart the move — but structural setup is severely impaired.

Agrees with X sentimentX bears on CEO Mat Ishbia's ~$27.5B interest-rate bet failing, $600M hedge loss, suspended dividend, Oaktree emergency rescue, and -40% on reveal have the specific operational distress right — one-of-the-worst capital-allocation stories framing is directionally correct.

What to watch: Nov 5 earnings — full hedge-loss disclosure, Oaktree rescue terms, broker-network attrition commentary, FY27 operational outlook. Another hedge-related writedown or broker-network attrition is what seals the breaking-down.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — Q3 FY26 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $UWMC

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Nation's largest wholesale mortgage lender, originating loans exclusively through independent mortgage brokers rather than direct-to-consumer.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Mortgages sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $UWMC.

Financial - Mortgages · Financial Services

Mortgage origination volumes remain compressed as 7%+ mortgage rates keep both purchase and refinance activity near multi-decade lows; servicers benefit from high balance MSR valuations while originators are consolidating. Any Fed rate cut path that brings the 30Y mortgage below 6% is the primary positive catalyst; until then, volume recovery is limited.

What this means for $UWMC

Partial — Nation's largest wholesale mortgage lender, originating loans exclusively through independent mortgage brokers rather than direct-to-consumer.

Top industry ETF

$XLFFinancial Select Sector SPDR
-0.5%YTD
+7.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
11.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
39.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-141%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
33.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
82.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
70.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$-0.23$0.07-414.7%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$0.09$0.06+50.0%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$0.08$0.09-11.1%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$0.01$0.08-86.9%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $0.04

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$901.4M+457.8%85.3%36.7%$0.09$-2.2B
Q4 FY25$945.2M+97.5%86.4%59.2%$0.08$82.0M
Q3 FY25$470.7M+2.5%70.8%2.7%$-0.01$-3.1B
Q2 FY25$784.6M+74.7%81.7%42.0%$0.11$-290.1M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.8B$2.6B – $3.1B$0.33$0.29 – $0.385
FY27$3.2B$2.8B – $3.8B$0.45$0.39 – $0.515
FY28$3.7B$3.5B – $3.9B$0.59$0.43 – $0.704

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.9×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.2%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-20.3%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-64.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 132.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today8.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.875-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 8Ishbia MatCEO1.0M sh$3.4MSellMay 7Ishbia MatCEO1.0M sh$3.4MSellMay 6Ishbia MatCEO1.0M sh$3.7MSellMay 5Ishbia MatCEO1.0M sh$3.5MSellMay 4Ishbia MatCEO1.0M sh$3.6MSellMay 1Ishbia MatCEO1.0M sh$3.6MSellApr 30Ishbia MatCEO934.1K sh$3.3MSellApr 29Ishbia MatCEO1.0M sh$3.5MSellApr 28Ishbia MatCEO986.6K sh$3.6MSellApr 27Ishbia MatCEO1.0M sh$3.8M
1–10 of 15
+ 14 other (5 inkinds · 4 exempts · 3 conversions · 2 awards) in window

See when $UWMC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

424B5Prospectus supplement (offering)Sep 29424B5
AI summary

UWMC (UWMC) filed a prospectus supplement (Form 424B5) on 2026-09-29, representing an active equity offering of undisclosed size. Prospectus supplements are immediate dilutive events — shares are being sold now — making this significant for shareholders tracking float and dilution risk.

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 123
AI summary

Nicholas Daniel Basso filed an initial Form 3 disclosing his appointment as a Director of UWM Holdings Corp., the parent of United Wholesale Mortgage, effective August 5, 2026. No securities are currently beneficially owned by Basso per the filing. UWM is the largest wholesale mortgage lender in the US. The filing represents a routine Section 16 disclosure required within 10 days of joining the board.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentAug 10SC 13D/A
AI summary

Mat Ishbia, CEO of UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC), and his affiliated entities SFS Holding Corp. and SFS Capital Group, LLC filed Amendment No. 16 to their Schedule 13D, updating their beneficial ownership disclosures. As of August 5, 2026, Ishbia personally controls approximately 1,297,097,115 shares (79.4% of the class), with SFS Holding Corp. separately holding 1,261,862,603 shares (78.7%) and SFS Capital Group holding 30,000,000 shares (8.1%) via shared dispositive power. This dominant insider control structure means public float is highly limited and Ishbia effectively controls all major corporate decisions. Investors in UWMC's minority Class A shares should be aware that this concentration significantly constrains shareholder influence on governance matters.

8-KMaterial agreementAug 68-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC), parent of United Wholesale Mortgage, entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement on August 5, 2026, with Oaktree Capital Management and the Ishbia family entities in a significant capital raise. Under the agreement, UWMC will issue 1,500,000 shares of Series A-1 Preferred Stock to Oaktree purchasers, 150,000 shares of Series A-2 Preferred Stock to Ishbia entities, and Class A Warrants plus Class B Warrants each to purchase 165,000,000 shares of Class A common stock. The filing also triggered disclosures under multiple 8-K items including share reductions (3.02), executive changes (5.02), and charter/bylaw amendments (5.03), indicating a broad corporate restructuring event. This is a material transaction for UWMC investors as preferred stock issuance and warrants for up to 330 million Class A shares represent significant potential dilution, with Oaktree gaining a substantial new economic interest in the mortgage originator.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationAug 5S-3ASR
AI summary

UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC), the Pontiac, Michigan-based wholesale mortgage originator, filed an automatic shelf registration statement (S-3ASR) on August 5, 2026, registering an unspecified amount of Class A common stock, preferred stock, depositary shares, warrants, and subscription rights for future issuance. As a large accelerated filer, the shelf becomes effective immediately upon filing. The registration also covers potential resale by selling stockholders to be named in future prospectus supplements. No specific offering size, price, or use of proceeds was disclosed at this stage, as terms will be determined at the time of each offering.

8-KShareholder voteJun 38-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

UWMC (UWMC) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on the election of directors, an advisory say-on-pay resolution, ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 138-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

UWMC filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-05-13. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 128-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

UWMC filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-05-12. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

+ 32 other (11 DFAN14As · 5 13Gs · 4 proxys · 4 8-Ks) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

UWMC DEADLINE ALERT: ROSEN, NATIONAL TRIAL COUNSEL, Encourages UWM Holdings Corporation Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important October 13 Deadline in Securities Class Action – UWMCglobenewswire.com·3d agoUWMC DEADLINE TODAY: ROSEN, A LEADING LAW FIRM, Encourages UWM Holdings Corporation Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important October 13 Deadline in Securities Class Action - UWMCnewsfilecorp.com·3d agoCLASS ACTION DEADLINE TONIGHT: Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP Reminds UWM Holdings (UWMC) Investors of Securities Class Action Lawsuit Deadline on October 13, 2026businesswire.com·4d agoUWMC DEADLINE: ROSEN, TRUSTED INVESTOR COUNSEL, Encourages UWM Holdings Corporation Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important October 13 Deadline in Securities Class Action - UWMCnewsfilecorp.com·4d agoDeadline Alert: UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC) Shareholders Who Lost Money Urged To Contact Glancy Prongay Wolke & Rotter LLP About Securities Fraud Lawsuitglobenewswire.com·4d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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