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UWUWMC

UWM Holdings Corporation

$UWMC·$2.8B·Financial - Mortgages·Financial Services
$1.45-2.7%YTD-55.8%1Y-74.0%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-21: 3 posts2026-08-22: 2 posts49+4%
Price updated 2h ago·X counts updated 9d ago
UWUWMC
$UWMCUWM Holdings Corporation
$1.45-2.68%49 posts+4%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $UWMC, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storySelling offAI verdict · as of 2026-08-25

Falling on heavy selling — points lower unless it turns around.

Down 75% in twelve months on a failed $27.5B interest-rate bet — securities-fraud class action deadline is October 12, and lawyers are lining up.

UWM Holdings is the parent of United Wholesale Mortgage, the largest US wholesale mortgage lender. The stock is down 75% over the trailing year and 56% YTD at $1.42, at just 8% of its 52-week range — a full-fledged capital-structure crisis.

  • Rate-hedge collapse: CEO Mat Ishbia disclosed a ~$27.5B rate bet that failed, resulting in a reported $600M loss on interest-rate hedges — triggering dividend suspension and an emergency capital raise from Oaktree's distressed-situations desk
  • On August 5 the company issued 1.5M Series A-1 Preferred to Oaktree, 150K Series A-2 to Ishbia entities, plus Class A/B Warrants for 330M shares — distressed refinancing with meaningful dilution
  • Q2 2026 EPS was -$0.23 versus +$0.07 expected (-415%) on revenue $162M versus $727M expected — operational blowup, not just mark-to-market
  • Today (August 24) at least four law firms issued shareholder-action press releases (Faruqi, Rosen, Robbins Geller, Kaplan Fox) with October 12 lead-plaintiff deadline for the securities-fraud class action
  • CEO Ishbia awarded 30M shares on August 5 — the founder consolidating control at 79.4% ownership as public shareholders take the impairment
  • Analyst 2026 revenue estimate is $2.8B on $0.33 EPS, growing to $3.2B / $0.45 in 2027 — recovery modeled from a low base
  • Free cash flow yield of -141% reflects capital burn — balance sheet depends on Oaktree access; beta 1.85 makes it ultra-volatile

The combination of $600M hedge loss, dilutive Oaktree rescue, four class-action law firms, dividend suspension, and 79% CEO control makes this a distressed-equity situation, not a mortgage-cycle recovery.

Agrees with X sentimentX is very bearish framing this as one of the worst capital-allocation stories of the year. Fair — the $600M hedge loss is the specific trigger, and the class-action filings today confirm the litigation risk is now real.

What to watch: The October 12 class-action lead-plaintiff deadline and any Q3 progress on integrating the Oaktree financing — until this is resolved, the equity is priced for further downside.

On the calendar: 2026-10-12 — securities class action deadline

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bearish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-18

Chatter is very bearish on UWM Holdings after CEO Mat Ishbia disclosed a ~$27.5B interest-rate bet that failed. UWMC suspended its dividend and signed an emergency rescue with Oaktree's distressed-situations desk after taking a reported $600M loss on interest-rate hedges. The stock is described down 40% on the reveal. Voices frame the outcome as one of the worst capital-allocation stories of the year with sarcastic sports-team comparisons and framings that no one is ever getting a mortgage again. LDI is called out as an adjacent read.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $UWMC

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Nation's largest wholesale mortgage lender, originating loans exclusively through independent mortgage brokers rather than direct-to-consumer.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Financial - Mortgages sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $UWMC.

Financial - Mortgages · Financial Services

Mortgage origination volume is directly rate-sensitive; refi activity is minimal at current rates while purchase originations depend on housing turnover. A rate cut cycle would be the most significant catalyst for volume recovery.

What this means for $UWMC

Partial — consumer discretionary / retail performance tracks consumer spending trends; UWM Holdings Corporation is a U.

Top industry ETF

$XLFFinancial Select Sector SPDR
+5.6%YTD
+7.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
11.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
6.1%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
39.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-141%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
1.3Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
33.9%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
82.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
70.7Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$-0.23$0.07-414.7%
Q1 2026May 6, 2026$0.09$0.06+50.0%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$0.08$0.09-11.1%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$0.01$0.08-86.9%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $0.08

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$901.4M+457.8%85.3%36.7%$0.09$-2.2B
Q4 FY25$945.2M+97.5%86.4%59.2%$0.08$82.0M
Q3 FY25$470.7M+2.5%70.8%2.7%$-0.01$-3.1B
Q2 FY25$784.6M+74.7%81.7%42.0%$0.11$-290.1M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 5 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$2.8B$2.6B – $3.1B$0.33$0.29 – $0.385
FY27$3.2B$2.8B – $3.8B$0.45$0.39 – $0.515
FY28$3.7B$3.5B – $3.9B$0.59$0.43 – $0.704

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.9%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-18.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-59.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 132.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today9.3% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.855-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 8Ishbia MatCEO1.0M sh$3.4MSellMay 7Ishbia MatCEO1.0M sh$3.4MSellMay 6Ishbia MatCEO1.0M sh$3.7MSellMay 5Ishbia MatCEO1.0M sh$3.5MSellMay 4Ishbia MatCEO1.0M sh$3.6MSellMay 1Ishbia MatCEO1.0M sh$3.6MSellApr 30Ishbia MatCEO934.1K sh$3.3MSellApr 29Ishbia MatCEO1.0M sh$3.5MSellApr 28Ishbia MatCEO986.6K sh$3.6MSellApr 27Ishbia MatCEO1.0M sh$3.8M
1–10 of 40
+ 13 other (6 conversions · 3 inkinds · 2 awards · 2 exempts) in window

See when $UWMC insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 123
AI summary

Nicholas Daniel Basso filed an initial Form 3 disclosing his appointment as a Director of UWM Holdings Corp., the parent of United Wholesale Mortgage, effective August 5, 2026. No securities are currently beneficially owned by Basso per the filing. UWM is the largest wholesale mortgage lender in the US. The filing represents a routine Section 16 disclosure required within 10 days of joining the board.

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentAug 10SC 13D/A
AI summary

Mat Ishbia, CEO of UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC), and his affiliated entities SFS Holding Corp. and SFS Capital Group, LLC filed Amendment No. 16 to their Schedule 13D, updating their beneficial ownership disclosures. As of August 5, 2026, Ishbia personally controls approximately 1,297,097,115 shares (79.4% of the class), with SFS Holding Corp. separately holding 1,261,862,603 shares (78.7%) and SFS Capital Group holding 30,000,000 shares (8.1%) via shared dispositive power. This dominant insider control structure means public float is highly limited and Ishbia effectively controls all major corporate decisions. Investors in UWMC's minority Class A shares should be aware that this concentration significantly constrains shareholder influence on governance matters.

8-KMaterial agreementAug 68-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 3.02: Unregistered equity sale · Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC), parent of United Wholesale Mortgage, entered into a Securities Purchase Agreement on August 5, 2026, with Oaktree Capital Management and the Ishbia family entities in a significant capital raise. Under the agreement, UWMC will issue 1,500,000 shares of Series A-1 Preferred Stock to Oaktree purchasers, 150,000 shares of Series A-2 Preferred Stock to Ishbia entities, and Class A Warrants plus Class B Warrants each to purchase 165,000,000 shares of Class A common stock. The filing also triggered disclosures under multiple 8-K items including share reductions (3.02), executive changes (5.02), and charter/bylaw amendments (5.03), indicating a broad corporate restructuring event. This is a material transaction for UWMC investors as preferred stock issuance and warrants for up to 330 million Class A shares represent significant potential dilution, with Oaktree gaining a substantial new economic interest in the mortgage originator.

S-3ASRAuto-shelf registrationAug 5S-3ASR
AI summary

UWM Holdings Corporation (UWMC), the Pontiac, Michigan-based wholesale mortgage originator, filed an automatic shelf registration statement (S-3ASR) on August 5, 2026, registering an unspecified amount of Class A common stock, preferred stock, depositary shares, warrants, and subscription rights for future issuance. As a large accelerated filer, the shelf becomes effective immediately upon filing. The registration also covers potential resale by selling stockholders to be named in future prospectus supplements. No specific offering size, price, or use of proceeds was disclosed at this stage, as terms will be determined at the time of each offering.

8-KShareholder voteJun 38-K — Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

UWMC (UWMC) disclosed the results of its annual meeting of shareholders in an 8-K filing under Item 5.07. Shareholders voted on the election of directors, an advisory say-on-pay resolution, ratification of the independent auditor. All management-sponsored proposals were approved by majority shareholder vote. Annual meeting results are a routine disclosure that confirms shareholder ratification of the board's composition and compensation practices.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 138-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

UWMC filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-05-13. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 128-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

UWMC filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-05-12. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 118-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

UWMC filed an 8-K Item 7.01 (Reg FD) disclosure dated 2026-05-11. Reg FD disclosures make material information simultaneously available to all investors; content may include guidance updates, strategic plans, or preliminary results.

+ 33 other (11 DFAN14As · 5 13Gs · 5 8-Ks · 3 proxys) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

UWMC CLASS ACTION NOTICE: Faruqi & Faruqi, LLP Reminds UWM Holdings (UWMC) Investors of Securities Class Action Lawsuit Deadline on October 12, 2026newsfilecorp.com·1d agoROSEN, NATIONAL INVESTOR COUNSEL, Encourages UWM Holdings Corporation Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securities Class Action - UWMCglobenewswire.com·1d agoROSEN, A GLOBAL AND LEADING LAW FIRM, Encourages UWM Holdings Corporation Investors to Secure Counsel Before Important Deadline in Securities Class Action - UWMCnewsfilecorp.com·1d agoUWMC Investors Have Opportunity to Lead UWM Holdings Corporation Securities Fraud Lawsuitgurufocus.com·2d agoUWMC Investors Have Opportunity to Lead UWM Holdings Corporation Securities Fraud Lawsuitprnewswire.com·2d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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