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TETEAM

Atlassian Corporation

$TEAM·$23B·Software - Application·Technology
$92.51+0.2%YTD-43.0%1Y-51.5%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 197 posts2026-07-11: 58 posts2026-07-12: 98 posts2026-07-13: 239 posts2026-07-14: 180 posts2026-07-15: 215 posts2026-07-16: 152 posts1,163+24%
Price updated 3m ago·X counts updated 16h ago
TETEAM
$TEAMAtlassian Corporation
$92.51+0.16%1.2k posts+24%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TEAM, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Broken storyWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Atlassian down 51% in a year on AI-replacement fears — but Q3 revenue growth accelerated to 32%.

Atlassian makes Jira, Confluence, and Bitbucket — the workflow and collaboration software developer teams use to plan, track, and ship code. The stock is down 51% over the past year on AI-agent-replacement fears, but the underlying business is actually growing faster: Q3 revenue was up 32% YoY.

  • Revenue grew 32% YoY last quarter — the acceleration is real; this is one of the higher growth rates in enterprise SaaS, and it's happening while AI-fear is depressing the multiple.
  • Trades at 4.2x TTM sales with a 4.6% free cash flow yield — comparable enterprise-software peers still trade at 6-8x sales, so the discount reflects the AI-replacement premium coming out of the multiple.
  • The July 15 announcement of AI-native Jira software development is exactly the response the market wants — building AI features into the workflow rather than being replaced by them; execution here decides whether the drawdown reverses.
  • Zero material insider selling in the last 30 days despite the drawdown — clean absence of distributing signal even at these lower prices, which is meaningful for a founder-and-family-heavy cap table.
  • Position vs 200-day MA -18% and 52-week 24th percentile — the tape has done real damage; a fresh crossing of $100 with real volume is what confirms the base.

August 6 Q4 earnings is where the AI-native narrative gets translated into forward guidance: revenue growth held above 25% plus specific AI-product uptake commentary is what turns coiling into a base; a Q1 guide reflecting slowing enterprise renewal cycles is where the drawdown extends toward $80. Real growth business at a real discount — the AI-replacement fear coming out is the entire opportunity.

Agrees with X sentimentThe two-sided X read captures the setup honestly: the AI-replacement risk is real, and so is the buy-zone entry at deep support. The 'first SaaS I'm worried about' bear framing needs the Q4 print to either validate or reject; the rotation into memory/semi-cap names is a real capital-allocation call the crowd is making.

What to watch: Aug 6 Q4 earnings — need revenue growth held above 25% and specific AI-product uptake commentary. A Q1 guide reflecting slowing enterprise renewals is where the drawdown extends toward $80.

On the calendar: 2026-08-06 — Q4 earnings

float missing

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Mixed sentiment⚠9 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-15 · top-engagement diverged

Atlassian chatter is split. Bulls see TEAM sitting at high-conviction entry after correction into strong support with enterprises still investing in workflow/productivity tools. Buy zone $54.64-103.47. Chart looks beaten down but bulls frame it as youth-company deep correction. Bears warn TEAM is 'the first SaaS company I've come across that I am worried about' - collection of apps most at risk of AI-replacement. Some traders rotated profits from TEAM into memory (SNDK/MU) and semi-cap (ASML/LRCX/AVGO). Sentiment cautiously two-sided.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $TEAM

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Sells Jira, Confluence, and Trello for project tracking and team collaboration to enterprises via cloud subscription.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Application sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TEAM.

Software - Application · Technology

No material change from last week — platforms where agents expand contract value (ServiceNow, Snowflake) are re-rated upward, while tools where agents substitute human users (Adobe Creative..

What this means for $TEAM

Partial — Sells Jira, Confluence, and Trello for project tracking and team collaboration to enterprises via cloud subscription; the AI agent bifurcation — contract expansion vs. user substitution is a secondary rather than primary near-term earnings catalyst.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-12.0%YTD
-14.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-119.7How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-9.7%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-3.7%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
4.6%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
4.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-16.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
83.9%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026Apr 30, 2026$1.75$1.33+31.6%
Q4 2025Feb 5, 2026$1.22$1.15+6.1%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$1.04$0.84+24.0%
Q2 2025Aug 7, 2025$0.98$0.83+17.5%
Next earningsThu, Aug 6·consensus EPS $1.50

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q3 FY26$1.8B+31.7%84.9%-3.1%$-0.38$561.3M
Q2 FY26$1.6B+23.3%85.0%-3.1%$-0.16$168.5M
Q1 FY26$1.4B+20.6%82.0%-6.7%$-0.20$114.6M
Q4 FY25$1.4B+22.3%83.1%-2.1%$-0.09$360.3M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 23 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$6.5B$6.1B – $6.5B$5.48$5.31 – $5.5522
FY27$7.4B$7.0B – $7.6B$6.18$5.61 – $6.7222
FY28$8.6B$8.6B – $8.6B$7.38$4.39 – $13.3323
FY29$10.0B$9.4B – $10.3B$8.46$7.83 – $8.8211
FY30$11.3B$10.7B – $11.7B$10.55$9.77 – $11.0111

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.24%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+3.6%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-17.6%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 257.8M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.115-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellJun 12Brian DuffyChief Revenue Officer3.0K sh$269KSellJun 11Brian DuffyChief Revenue Officer1.4K sh$127KSellJun 10Brian DuffyChief Revenue Officer1.8K sh$168KSellJun 9Brian DuffyChief Revenue Officer1.5K sh$139KSellJun 8Brian DuffyChief Revenue Officer1.5K sh$142KSellMay 19James ChuongCFO8.8K sh$776KSellMay 19Gene LiuChief Accounting Officer67 sh$6KSellMay 19Brian DuffyChief Revenue Officer2.0K sh$174KSellMay 14Brian DuffyChief Revenue Officer7.0K sh$567KSellMay 14Gene LiuChief Accounting Officer803 sh$65K
1–10 of 17
+ 2 other (2 awards) in window

See when $TEAM insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
Free, forever. No credit card.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsMar 313
AI summary

Form filed by More than One Reporting Person Table I - Non-De filed a Form 3 (initial ownership statement) for TEAM on 2026-03-31, initiating required Section 16 reporting. Role: of Reporting Person. Form 3 is a mandatory administrative filing upon first becoming an insider or 10%+ holder; it does not reflect a purchase or sale event.

8-KRestructuring / exit costsMar 118-K — Item 2.05: Restructuring / exit costs · Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KOfficer or director changeFeb 188-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
3New insider — initial holdingsFeb 23
+ 15 other (10 13Gs · 2 10-Qs · 2 earnings 8-Ks · 1 S-8) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Atlassian Announces System for AI-native Software Development in Jirabusinesswire.com·2d agoTEAM's Service Collection Tops $1B: Is Growth Set to Accelerate?zacks.com·2d agoAtlassian Announces Date for Fourth Quarter and Fiscal Year 2026 Financial Resultsbusinesswire.com·2d agoSmartBear Expands AI-Powered Testing Across Developer Ecosystems with Integrations in Anthropic's Claude, Atlassian, GitHub, and Kirobusinesswire.com·2d agoServiceNow vs. Atlassian: Which Cloud Software Stock Has an Edge?zacks.com·4d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Agentic AI & Enterprise Software

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Voices on X · top 4 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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