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TDTDWRF

Tidewater Renewables Ltd.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 63% YoY at strong marginsCoiling in a constructive baseQuiet on X (0 mentions/wk)
$TDWRF·$370M·Chemicals - Specialty·Basic Materials
$13.81+1.2%1Y+575.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-26: 0 posts2026-08-27: 0 posts2026-08-28: 0 posts2026-08-29: 0 posts2026-08-30: 0 posts2026-08-31: 0 posts2026-09-01: 0 posts0
Price updated 1h ago·X counts updated 3h ago
TDTDWRF
$TDWRFTidewater Renewables Ltd.
$13.81+1.17%0 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $TDWRF, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-01

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Renewable diesel producer up 574% over twelve months but the latest EPS came in 70% below consensus.

Tidewater Renewables produces renewable diesel and low-carbon fuels in Canada, and the share price recovery has run far ahead of a still-volatile earnings line.

  • Q1 revenue is C$93.84M with year-over-year growth of +62.7%, reversing declines of -28.5%, -32.3%, and -50.0% in the three prior quarters — a decisive turn.
  • The most recent EPS printed $0.0915 versus a $0.312 estimate — a 71% shortfall, breaking a pattern where the prior quarter had beaten narrowly.
  • Consensus 2026 revenue is C$387.5M with EPS C$1.55, then declining to C$367.1M and C$1.53 in 2027 and C$327.2M and C$0.88 in 2028 — the model expects the recovery to fade.
  • The stock is +574.3% over twelve months at a $370M market cap on a 12.6M-share float with volume at 0.15x the norm — an extreme move on a very thin listing.

The Q3 print on November 12 needs the earnings line to catch up with the revenue recovery — low-carbon fuel standard credit pricing drives this business, and that is what the miss most likely reflects.

What to watch: British Columbia low-carbon fuel standard credit pricing, renewable diesel production volumes and utilization, and debt levels after the recovery.

On the calendar: 2026-11-12 Q3 2026 earnings

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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Canadian renewable energy company producing low-carbon fuels including renewable diesel, green hydrogen, and renewable natural gas.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Chemicals - Specialty sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $TDWRF.

Chemicals - Specialty · Basic Materials

Specialty chemical demand is tied to downstream industrial cycles — semiconductor materials (photoresists, CMP slurries) are growing while agricultural/construction-linked volumes soften. AI fab expansion is the structural growth pocket within specialty chemicals.

What this means for $TDWRF

Partial — freight volumes and pricing follow trade and industrial activity; Tidewater Renewables Ltd.

Industry benchmark

14-name peer basket
+32.3%YTD
+21.9%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
86.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
7.9%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
10.6%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
1.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.5Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
5.0%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
14.4%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.2Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 13, 2026$0.09$0.31-70.7%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$0.19$0.19+2.5%
Q4 2025Mar 23, 2026$-0.28$-0.10-171.4%
Q3 2025Nov 13, 2025$-0.02$-0.00-349.7%
Next earningsThu, Nov 12·consensus EPS $0.35

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$93.8M+62.7%24.3%21.7%$0.28$500K
Q4 FY25$54.7M-28.5%-5.5%-7.5%$-0.38$-7.3M
Q3 FY25$62.0M-32.3%20.3%8.9%$-0.02$3.2M
Q2 FY25$73.6M-50.0%19.4%11.6%$0.36$15.8M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 3 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$387.5M$351.0M – $411.5M$1.55$1.45 – $1.623
FY27$367.1M$364.7M – $369.6M$1.53$1.43 – $1.602
FY28$327.2M$310.7M – $338.5M$0.88$0.82 – $0.921

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.4.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.86%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+24.1%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+118.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatLow float · 12.6M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.0% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.745-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Tidewater Renewables Q2 Earnings Call Highlightsmarketbeat.com·20d agoTidewater Renewables Ltd. (LCFS:CA) Q2 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·20d ago

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $TDWRF on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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