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SQSQM

Sociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 70% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesConsistent chatter on X (1.1K/wk), no spike
$SQM·$21B·Chemicals - Specialty·Basic Materials
$71.94-1.7%YTD+2.6%1Y+89.7%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-04: 8 posts2026-07-05: 50 posts2026-07-06: 142 posts2026-07-07: 155 posts2026-07-08: 229 posts2026-07-09: 247 posts2026-07-10: 242 posts1,078
Price updated 6h ago·X counts updated 3d ago
SQSQM
$SQMSociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A.
$71.94-1.71%1.1k posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SQM, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-12

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

The world's number-two lithium miner, with the Codelco joint venture legally moving forward — the lithium bear market is turning.

SQM is the world's number-two lithium producer, sitting on Chile's Salar de Atacama. It also supplies specialty potassium and iodine. The lithium bear market that halved most of the group is finally rolling over, and SQM's fundamentals are inflecting first.

  • Revenue is genuinely accelerating again: $1.76B last quarter grew 70% YoY (versus roughly -19% two quarters earlier), and consensus models $8.08B in revenue this year — the lithium price recovery is showing through, not stalling.
  • The Codelco joint venture is the structural story: the $3B partnership with Chile's state-owned copper miner to operate the Salar de Atacama through 2060 is progressing legally, and it locks SQM into government-partnered production terms — a real moat versus greenfield competitors.
  • The technology roadmap is under-appreciated: SQM's direct-lithium-extraction (DLE) plans, launching later this decade with brine reinjection to preserve hydrology, are the answer to the environmental and permitting overhangs that block most new lithium supply.
  • Valuation is not stretched: 13.6x EV/EBITDA and 7.4% ROIC leave room if lithium prices continue the recent bottoming pattern — most peers trade at a premium with less durable resource positions.

The August 18 earnings print is the check on whether the Q1 revenue acceleration is holding or was a spot-price flare. A beat with any Codelco JV milestone update extends the rerate; a soft print or a lithium-price stall pushes the tape back toward the year-ago range. Note: the sample of tweets in the sentiment tab is thin and dated (early June).

Agrees with X sentimentX sample is thin (6 posts, dated June 3) but consistent — bullish on the $3B SQM-Codelco JV, tight lithium supply-demand, and DLE. The mechanics support it (70% revenue growth accelerating, Codelco JV progressing). I'd note the sample is not fresh, so treat the alignment as directional rather than event-driven.

What to watch: August 18 Q2 earnings — a beat with any Codelco JV milestone update extends the rerate. A soft revenue print, or a stall in the recent lithium spot-price recovery, pushes the tape back toward the year-ago range.

On the calendar: 2026-08-18 — Q2 earnings

lithium cyclecodelco jvresource moat

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-06-03

Posters highlight the $3B SQM-Codelco Chilean lithium joint venture moving forward, the CEO citing continued tight supply-demand balance and a positive pricing trend, and details of the company's DLE direct-lithium-extraction technology launching late in the decade with brine reinjection to preserve hydrology. SQM is also noted as beating EBITDA estimates despite an earnings miss. The thin sample is constructive on both the structural lithium thesis and execution updates.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $SQM

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Chilean miner with leading global lithium (Atacama brine) and iodine positions, a key EV battery supply chain name.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Chemicals - Specialty sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SQM.

Chemicals - Specialty · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — lithium price recovery as EV battery demand growth slowly rebalances Atacama supply gluts, and US government rare earth/critical mineral investment ($725M..

What this means for $SQM

Partial — Chilean miner with leading global lithium (Atacama brine) and iodine positions, a key EV battery supply chain name; the EV battery lithium price recovery and Atacama supply rebalancing creates tailwinds for one product line, not the full operation.

Industry benchmark

6-name peer basket
+33.7%YTD
+80.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
26.3How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
7.4%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
29.8%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
5.0%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
4.1Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
14.7%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
34.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.9Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 26, 2026$1.28$1.65-22.4%
Q4 2025Feb 27, 2026$0.64$0.75-14.7%
Q3 2025Nov 19, 2025$0.63$0.69-9.4%
Q2 2025Aug 20, 2025$0.31$0.52-40.4%
Next earningsTue, Aug 18·consensus EPS $1.89

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$1.8B+69.8%44.2%41.5%$1.28$679.4M
Q4 FY25$1.3B+24.4%34.1%29.8%$0.65$316.6M
Q3 FY25$1.2B+8.9%29.5%24.7%$0.62$187.9M
Q2 FY25$1.0B-19.4%24.3%15.9%$0.31$-104.9M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 13 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$8.1B$7.5B – $9.3B$6.80$5.67 – $7.9013
FY27$7.9B$6.7B – $10.6B$6.77$5.21 – $10.4113
FY28$8.2B$8.1B – $8.4B$7.31$4.84 – $10.8312
FY29$9.3B$7.4B – $12.1B$4.91$3.56 – $6.8411
FY30$7.9B$6.2B – $10.3B$6.41$4.65 – $8.926

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.6×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.58%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-11.2%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+1.5%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 104.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.995-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

No material 8-K / SC 13D / S-3 / 424B5 filings in the last 180 days.

+ 10 other (9 6-Ks · 1 20-F) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Jackson Named InvestmentNews 2026 Annuities Provider of the Yeargurufocus.com·15d agoALB vs. SQM: Which Lithium Stock Should You Bet on Now?zacks.com·15d agoBatteries Beat the S&P 500: BATT Is Up 25% While SPY Hugs 11%247wallst.com·32d agoSociedad Química y Minera de Chile S.A. (SQM) Q1 2026 Earnings Call Transcriptseekingalpha.com·47d agoSociedad Química y Minera de Chile: Q1 Results, Fundamentals Justify Sharp Upgradeseekingalpha.com·47d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Critical Minerals & Rare Earths

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $SQM on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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