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LYLYB

LyondellBasell Industries N.V.

Strong FundamentalsStrong FundamentalsRevenue growing 20% YoY at strong marginsStreet coverage with positive forward estimatesQuiet on X (44 mentions/wk)
$LYB·$19B·Chemicals - Specialty·Basic Materials
$63.76+2.2%1Y+19.6%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-07: 9 posts2026-08-08: 1 posts2026-08-09: 1 posts2026-08-10: 7 posts2026-08-11: 13 posts2026-08-12: 7 posts2026-08-13: 6 posts44+6%
Price updated 8h ago·X counts updated 1d ago
LYLYB
$LYBLyondellBasell Industries N.V.
$63.76+2.18%44 posts+6%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $LYB, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-13

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

LyondellBasell delivered a big Q2 beat off a soft chemicals base — the Q2 print is not the same as the cycle turning

LyondellBasell is a US-Europe polyolefins and refining chemicals major whose end-market cycle bottomed in 2024-25 and where Q2 was the first meaningful earnings-power test.

  • Q2 revenue $9.18B (+20% YoY, +27.5% QoQ) with EPS $4.30 vs $3.44 estimate — a 25% beat that reset the tape.
  • Trailing four surprises: 24.5%, -333%, 74.6%, 25% — cyclical whipsaw is real; Q4 2025 was a big loss quarter.
  • 2026 consensus EPS $8.72 dropping to $6.52 in 2027 — Street models Q2-Q3 as a peak, not the start of a sustained upcycle.
  • Trades at 0.62x sales, 16.3x EV/EBITDA, 20.8% FCF yield — cheap on sales/FCF, priced ahead on EBITDA multiples given cycle framing.
  • Q3 earnings call flagged a prolonged supply reset — management still cautious on the recovery arc.

Upside is any capacity rationalization in ethane cracker economics tightening polyolefins margins; downside is Chinese and Middle East capacity additions keeping the cycle compressed longer.

What to watch: Q3 print (Oct 30) — sustained margin expansion vs a Q2-was-peak reversal, and any commentary on Middle East supply additions.

On the calendar: 2026-10-30

no x sample

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-13

X users are bullish on LyondellBasell after the chemicals sector recovered from tariff-related PTSD. Posters cite the stock breaking higher out of a triangle base with targets around $80 this year. Bulls need to see a clear break above $65 to unlock a bigger move. LYB is described as solid post-earnings while peers like OLN and HUN sold off.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $LYB

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Global polyolefin chemical manufacturer producing polypropylene, polyethylene, and compounds used in packaging, automotive, and consumer goods.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Chemicals - Specialty sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $LYB.

Chemicals - Specialty · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — lithium price recovery as EV battery demand growth slowly rebalances Atacama supply gluts, and US government rare earth/critical mineral investment ($725M..

Industry benchmark

14-name peer basket
+32.3%YTD
+66.2%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-53.2How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
3.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
3.2%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
20.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.6Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-3.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
13.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.3Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Jul 31, 2026$4.30$3.44+25.0%
Q1 2026May 1, 2026$0.49$0.28+74.6%
Q4 2025Jan 30, 2026$-0.26$0.11-333.6%
Q3 2025Oct 31, 2025$1.01$0.81+24.5%
Next earningsFri, Oct 30·consensus EPS $2.81

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$9.2B+19.8%22.2%16.8%$1.72$1.0B
Q1 FY26$7.2B-6.3%9.7%3.3%$0.38$-538.0M
Q4 FY25$7.1B-25.3%6.5%-0.6%$-0.45$2.9B
Q3 FY25$7.7B-10.2%11.7%-9.5%$-2.77$577.0M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 11 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$34.0B$32.1B – $37.2B$8.72$7.19 – $12.0110
FY27$32.1B$28.5B – $35.9B$6.52$4.08 – $10.4011
FY28$32.3B$30.4B – $36.1B$6.91$4.37 – $9.2311

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.52%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+6.8%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+8.1%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 257.3M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.7% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β0.355-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellMay 13Jeffrey A KaplanEVP, Chief PC, Leg & Corp Ofc10.0K sh$742KSellMar 9Ai Investments Holdings Llc10% owner385.4K sh$26.3M
+ 40 other (20 inkinds · 19 awards · 1 gift) in window

See when $LYB insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementMay 298-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
8-KOfficer or director changeMay 228-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote · Item 8.01: Other event
+ 14 other (3 13Gs · 3 proxys · 2 10-Qs · 1 earnings 8-K) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

LyondellBasell announces quarterly dividendglobenewswire.com·22h agoA Look at LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) After 3.0% Decline -- GF Value $72.71 vs Price $59.59gurufocus.com·7d agoEmpowered Funds LLC Boosts Stock Holdings in LyondellBasell Industries N.V. $LYBdefenseworld.net·9d agoIs LyondellBasell Industries NV (LYB) a Bargain After 3.4% Drop? GF Value Says Undervaluedgurufocus.com·9d agoLYB Q2 Earnings Call Points to a Prolonged Supply Resetzacks.com·12d ago

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TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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