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ASASPN

Aspen Aerogels, Inc.

$ASPN·$433M·Chemicals - Specialty·Basic Materials
$5.14-0.5%YTD+80.8%1Y-27.0%
Price updated 12m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
ASASPN
$ASPNAspen Aerogels, Inc.
$5.15-0.48%72 posts0.9×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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On X

The complete picture of $ASPN on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

72X posts · last 7 days
Sep 11Sep 27
Chatter Meter
0.9×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $ASPN's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level.

Bullish sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data6 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-13

Aspen Aerogels chatter is small but pointedly bullish. Q2 revenue rebounded sharply to $49.8M (+32% QoQ) with a massive thermal-barrier ramp, and the stock is +172% YTD — called out as 'one of the best performing stocks in the market this year.' The tone is 'told you so' toward doubters, framing the print as validation of the EV-trough recovery. The lone caution is one poster's July 2 bearish signal that took the stock -15% in 30 days; the recovery has since overwhelmed that.

Read what X is saying about $ASPN

  • Bullish vs bearish call — with the AI summary of the day's posts
  • Divergence flag when the top-engagement posts argue the other side
  • How loud the conversation is versus this ticker's own normal
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AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $ASPN — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-09-29

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Aspen Aerogels up 81% YTD as EV-thermal-barrier recovery lands — Koch fully exited its 12.28M-share stake for $58M.

Aspen Aerogels makes silica-aerogel-based thermal barriers used in EV batteries. The stock is up 81% year-to-date on the EV-trough-recovery narrative, but Koch just fully exited its position.

  • The Q2 print showed real sequential recovery: revenue $49.8M up 32% quarter-on-quarter (though -36% year-on-year) with 7% gross margin — the QoQ pattern reflects EV-attach recovery, but the YoY decline shows the base was materially higher.
  • The beat pattern is negative: last three EPS surprises of -23%, -3.7% and -226% — analyst consensus has been consistently above the print, which typically reflects a business still in reset.
  • The Koch full exit is the specific headwind: Wood River Capital (Koch subsidiary) sold 12,280,426 shares for $58M on 9-24, filed SC 13D/A Amendment 6 showing 0% holdings — this is a strategic partner completely leaving after previously being a major shareholder, and it's the honest tension with the +172% run.

The 11-5 print is where either a second consecutive sequential-recovery quarter plus updated EV customer commentary breaks the coil higher or the Koch exit reveals continued operational challenges. Watch thermal-barrier customer mix, gross-margin recovery, and any EV-customer signing.

Agrees with X sentimentX's bullish framing (Q2 rebound to $49.8M +32% QoQ with thermal-barrier ramp, +172% YTD, one of the best-performing stocks this year, EV-trough recovery validation) captures the fundamental setup. The Koch full exit is the honest counter the crowd is under-weighting.

What to watch: 11-5 earnings — thermal-barrier customer mix, gross-margin recovery, and any EV-customer signing. A second consecutive sequential-recovery quarter extends the leg; a decline post the Koch exit signal is the reset risk.

On the calendar: 2026-11-05 — Q3 earnings

Read the AI verdict on $ASPN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Manufacturer of aerogel insulation products serving energy infrastructure and EV battery thermal management markets globally.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Chemicals - Specialty sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $ASPN.

Chemicals - Specialty · Basic Materials

No material change from last week — PFAS litigation resolution at Chemours remains the balance-sheet de-risking event.

What this means for $ASPN

Neutral — Manufacturer of aerogel insulation products serving energy infrastructure and EV battery thermal management markets globally.

Industry benchmark

16-name peer basket
+25.2%YTD
+18.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-4.5How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
62.3%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
101%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
12.3%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2.8Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-53.3%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
2.7%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.4Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$-0.28$-0.23-23.1%
Q1 2026May 7, 2026$-0.28$-0.27-3.7%
Q4 2025Feb 25, 2026$-0.88$-0.27-225.9%
Q3 2025Nov 6, 2025$-0.06$-0.04-40.1%
Next earningsThu, Nov 5·consensus EPS $-0.09

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q2 FY26$49.8M-36.1%6.5%-57.7%$-0.28$17.9M
Q1 FY26$37.9M-51.9%11.3%-53.9%$-0.29$32.8M
Q4 FY25$41.3M-66.4%-55.5%620%$-0.88$13.7M
Q3 FY25$73.0M-37.8%28.5%-4.6%$-0.08$5.9M

Forward consensus

4-year forecast · up to 4 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$220.9M$211.1M – $225.1M-$0.75-$0.80 – -$0.674
FY27$269.2M$248.0M – $322.6M-$0.18-$0.35 – -$0.054
FY28$421.0M$400.0M – $461.7M$0.45$0.42 – $0.511
FY29$549.4M$521.9M – $602.6M$1.22$1.14 – $1.371

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.41%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-0.5%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+17.7%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMid float · 76.7M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today1.4% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β2.975-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

SellSep 23Wood River Capital, LlcFormer 10% Owner12.3M sh$58.1M
+ 6 other (5 awards · 1 exempt) in window

See when $ASPN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentSep 24SC 13D/A
AI summary

Koch, Inc. and its affiliate Wood River Capital, LLC filed SC 13D Amendment No. 6 disclosing they now hold 0% of Aspen Aerogels, Inc. (ASPN) common stock, with 0.00 shares of both voting and dispositive power across all reporting entities. This updates an initial filing from April 2022 (amended and restated in August 2024), triggered by an event on September 23, 2026. Koch has fully exited its previously disclosed stake in Aspen Aerogels, a significant change signaling the end of Koch's involvement in this position.

8-KPress release / Reg FDSep 158-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Aspen Aerogels (ASPN) posted an updated investor presentation on its IR website on September 15, 2026, to be used in presentations to investors and analysts, furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and not deemed filed. Routine Reg FD disclosure with no material new financial data in the filing body.

8-KPress release / Reg FDAug 68-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

ASPN filed an 8-K (Item 2.02) reporting its financial results for the second quarter of 2026, which ended June 30, 2026, and also discussed business d, filed 2026-08-06. The actual financial figures are in the attached press release (Exhibit 99.1), not reproduced in the body excerpt. This is a material disclosure; investors should review the press release for beat/miss details and guidance.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 188-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 78-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
8-KPress release / Reg FDApr 218-K — Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD · Item 8.01: Other event
+ 3 other (2 10-Qs · 1 13G) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Aspen Aerogels (NYSE:ASPN) Stock: Insider Wood River Capital, Llc Sells 12,280,426 Sharesdefenseworld.net·4d agoBlackRock Inc. Buys Shares of 5,277,148 Aspen Aerogels, Inc. $ASPNdefenseworld.net·28d agoAspen Aerogels, Inc. $ASPN Shares Sold by Dimensional Fund Advisors LPdefenseworld.net·48d agoAspen Aerogels: Green Shoots Fail To Truly Impress Investorsseekingalpha.com·50d agoAspen Aerogels Reminds Us Materials Science Can Be Cool, Especially If EVs Are Hotseekingalpha.com·50d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

EVs & Autonomous Vehicles

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $ASPN on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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