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SWSWMR

Swarmer, Inc Common Stock

$SWMR·$456M·Software - Application·Technology
$35.76-5.1%1Y+15.4%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-07-10: 10 posts2026-07-11: 6 posts2026-07-12: 11 posts2026-07-13: 15 posts2026-07-14: 22 posts2026-07-15: 17 posts2026-07-16: 14 posts95+39%
Price updated 9h ago·X counts updated 9h ago
SWSWMR
$SWMRSwarmer, Inc Common Stock
$35.76-5.10%95 posts+39%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SWMR, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Driven by hypeCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-16

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

Swarmer down 9% today — autonomous-drone-swarm play with real Ukraine-conflict tailwind and Prince chairmanship.

Swarmer is a recently-public autonomous drone-swarm software company — the Estonian-headquartered platform building coordinated multi-drone systems for defense and civilian applications, chaired by Erik Prince. The stock has been volatile with today's -9% move.

  • Revenue is nominal but growing — this is an early-stage defense-tech company; the equity value depends on continued commercial-partnership execution and specific contract wins.
  • Trades at 2,033x TTM sales on nominal revenue — meaningless multiple math; the $456M market cap reflects specific defense-tech optionality.
  • The June 30 Master Supplier Agreement with Meta Bureau LLC through Estonian subsidiary Swarmer Estonia OÜ is real strategic-partnership signal — the specific Ukraine-conflict adjacency drives near-term demand.
  • CEO Serhii Kupriienko's and COO Alexander Fink's base salary increases from $250K to $375K (retroactive to April 1, 2026) with 100% target annual bonus signals continued executive alignment.
  • The June 10 Common Stock Purchase Agreement with Lucid Capital Markets (right to sell up to 3.0M shares) is real capital-raising optionality but also potential dilution supply.

August 12 Q2 earnings is where the autonomous-drone-swarm story either extends or contracts: specific SkyKnight contract expansion plus Meta Bureau ramp commentary is what confirms the setup; a modest print or lucid ATM utilization is where the today's -9% extends further. Real autonomous-drone-swarm exposure with real Ukraine-conflict tailwind — the setup rewards continued execution and specific contract-win disclosure.

Agrees with X sentimentThe bullish X take on Swarmer +25% into the 21-day at $51.88 responding to Barron's drone cover story, the Swarmer/Tekmara/FIU coastal-restoration collaboration, and the drone-theme-as-early-game framing is analytically fair. The Erik Prince chairmanship adds real strategic weight.

What to watch: Aug 12 Q2 earnings — need specific SkyKnight contract expansion and Meta Bureau ramp commentary. A modest print or Lucid ATM utilization is where today's -9% extends further.

On the calendar: 2026-08-12 — Q2 earnings

ytd missingposition missing

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-07-06

Swarmer is trading up 25% into the 21-day at $51.88 responding to Barron's cover story on drones. Contributors flag the Swarmer/Tekmara/FIU collaboration on drone swarms for environmental use cases. Tone is bullish alongside OUST +20% and describing the drone theme as early game.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $SWMR

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Develops AI-powered autonomous drone swarm systems and simulation software for defense and commercial surveillance applications.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Software - Application sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SWMR.

Software - Application · Technology

No material change from last week — platforms where agents expand contract value (ServiceNow, Snowflake) are re-rated upward, while tools where agents substitute human users (Adobe Creative..

What this means for $SWMR

Neutral — Develops AI-powered autonomous drone swarm systems and simulation software for defense and commercial surveillance applications; the AI agent bifurcation — contract expansion vs. user substitution does not materially affect this business's near-term earnings.

Top industry ETF

$IGViShares Expanded Tech-Software Sector ETF
-12.0%YTD
-14.7%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-81.4How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-55.5%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-16.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-0.8%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
2033.2Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-244%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
41.2%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
0.0Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 13, 2026$-0.28$-0.11-154.5%
Next earningsWed, Aug 12·consensus EPS $-0.12

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$20K—-96.4%-22192%$-0.28$-4.4M

Forward consensus

3-year forecast · up to 1 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$9.0M$9.0M – $9.0M-$0.43-$0.43 – -$0.431
FY27$25.0M$25.0M – $25.0M$0.27$0.27 – $0.271
FY28$40.0M$40.0M – $40.0M$0.70$0.70 – $0.701

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.—Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-17.7%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.—Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FilingActive offeringA shelf registration (S-3 / S-3ASR / S-1) or prospectus supplement (424B*) was filed in the last 90 days — the company is registered to (or actively) issuing new shares. Dilution risk.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

No open-market buys or sells in the last 180 days.

+ 4 other (2 awards · 2 conversions) in window

See when $SWMR insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

8-KMaterial agreementJun 308-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

Swarmer, Inc. (SWMR), through its Estonian subsidiary Swarmer Estonia OÜ, entered into or supplemented a Master Supplier Agreement with Meta Bureau LLC to supply its proprietary software for use in Meta Bureau's quadcopter bomber unmanned aerial systems. The agreement expands on a May 11, 2026 initial disclosure; financial terms and contract duration are not disclosed. For a small defense-tech company, this is a potentially material commercial win in the fast-growing autonomous unmanned systems sector.

8-KOfficer or director changeJun 298-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change
AI summary

Swarmer Inc. increased CEO Serhii Kupriienko's and COO Alexander Fink's annual base salaries from $250,000 to $375,000 each, retroactive to April 1, 2026, with a 100% target annual bonus established for each officer. The 50% salary increase represents a significant but modest absolute dollar change for this small-cap company; performance bonuses align incentives with company outcomes.

8-KMaterial agreementJun 108-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement
AI summary

Swarmer, Inc. entered into a Common Stock Purchase Agreement with Lucid Capital Markets, LLC on June 10, 2026, granting Swarmer the right (but not the obligation) to sell up to 3,000,000 shares of common stock (or a lower Exchange Cap amount) to Lucid from time to time during the agreement's term. Sales timing and amounts are solely at Swarmer's discretion; Lucid bears no obligation to purchase absent a company-initiated notice. This is a committed equity facility (CEF) that provides financing optionality without immediate dilution but creates potential for staged dilution as the company draws against the line to fund operations.

S-1Initial registrationJun 10S-1
SC 13DActivist position (5%+)Mar 23SC 13D
AI summary

Alexander Fink filed an new Schedule 13D on SWMR disclosing beneficial ownership (1,483,551.00 shares) as of 2026-03-23. The filer's stated intent is passive investment with no plan to influence control of the company.

SC 13DActivist position (5%+)Mar 23SC 13D
AI summary

Philip Wagenheim filed an new Schedule 13D on SWMR disclosing beneficial ownership (1,124,981.00 shares) as of 2026-03-23. The filer's stated intent is passive investment with no plan to influence control of the company.

SC 13DActivist position (5%+)Mar 23SC 13D
AI summary

Serhii Kupriienko filed an new Schedule 13D on SWMR disclosing beneficial ownership (3,807,595.00 shares) as of 2026-03-23. The filer's stated intent is passive investment with no plan to influence control of the company.

8-KOfficer or director changeMar 188-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

SWMR disclosed a personnel change (8-K Item 5.02, dated 2026-03-18). An executive departure and a new appointment are both reported. Personnel changes are generally administrative; materiality depends on seniority and circumstances.

+ 23 other (10 3s · 2 EFFECTs · 2 13Gs · 1 10-Q) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Swarmer, Tekmara and Florida International University Explore Autonomous Drone Swarms for Coastal Restoration and Environmental Monitoringglobenewswire.com·15d agoSwarmer Adds Additional $1M in Revenue From SkyKnight Contract Update That Expands Swarming Software To Czech Republicglobenewswire.com·18d agoSwarmer and Molfar Partner to Integrate Verified Intelligence Data for Autonomous Systemsglobenewswire.com·32d agoSwarmer Publishes Letter From Its Chairman, Erik Prince, Outlining Strategyglobenewswire.com·36d agoSwarmer Stock Stumbles After The Close: Here's Whybenzinga.com·37d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

Defense & Drones

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Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $SWMR on X in the last 7 days.

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