TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$SFTBY
SFSFTBY

SoftBank Group Corp.

$SFTBY·$225B·Telecommunications Services·Communication Services
$20.50+6.7%YTD+34.9%1Y+18.9%
Price updated 57m ago·X counts updated 2d ago
SFSFTBY
$SFTBYSoftBank Group Corp.
$20.50+6.66%47 posts1×
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

On X

Top X posts

The complete picture of $SFTBY on X — how loud the conversation is right now, how it has trended over the last two weeks, and which way the crowd is leaning.

47X posts · last 7 days
Sep 11Sep 27
Chatter Meter
1×
QuietNormal · 1×Loud

How loud $SFTBY's conversation on X is versus its own normal — 1× is typical, higher means busier. Right now it's about its usual level, louder than 55% of tracked names.

AI verdictAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

TickerTalks' own read on what's driving $SFTBY — fundamentals, momentum, or an event — and whether it agrees with the X crowd.

Proven numbersAcceleratingAI verdict · as of 2026-09-28

The move is getting stronger, with heavier trading behind it.

SoftBank issued $11.1B in bonds to fund the OpenAI bet; +37% YTD and +21% t12m.

SoftBank is the OpenAI-leveraged bet turned into a public-market vehicle — the balance sheet is being restructured to support it.

  • $11.1B in bonds issued to fund OpenAI investment push (per news window).
  • Tape: +37.3% YTD, +21.7% t12m; 50% of 52w range, +10.6% vs 50-day, +20.3% vs 200-day.
  • ASI/SoftBank JV to advance autonomous construction at scale — Vision Fund tangential deal flow.
  • Growing bets on AI and semiconductor assets highlighted.
  • 6.9x P/E on TTM (odd biscuits given holding-company mark-to-market volatility), FCF yield -7.2%.
  • FY27 est EPS ¥90.35 → decaying by FY30 est ¥27.28 — GAAP EPS is meaningless here.
  • D/E 1.48, ROE 34.5%.
  • No X sentiment sample; SoftBank stock jumped 7% then gave it back on OpenAI rally fade.

Watch 11/10 print for Vision Fund NAV, OpenAI-position mark, and any additional bond issuance.

What to watch: 11/10 earnings, Vision Fund NAV, OpenAI-position mark, Arm holdings performance, and any additional bond issuance for AI-related capex.

On the calendar: 2026-11-10

sentiment missingfloat missingbeta missing

Read the AI verdict on $SFTBY

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • Whether TickerTalks' read agrees with or diverges from the X crowd
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Japanese conglomerate combining a domestic mobile carrier, majority ownership of chip designer Arm, and the SoftBank Vision Fund tech investment vehicles.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Telecommunications Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SFTBY.

Telecommunications Services · Communication Services

No material change from last week — ASTS securities fraud class action adds litigation overhang to the satellite-direct-to-cellular thesis.

What this means for $SFTBY

Neutral — Japanese conglomerate combining a domestic mobile carrier, majority ownership of chip designer Arm, and the SoftBank Vision Fund tech investment vehicles.

Industry benchmark

18-name peer basket
+3.1%YTD
+19.8%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
6.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-0.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-0.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-7.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
4.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
34.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
51.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 6, 2026$0.19$0.07+175.6%
Q1 2026May 13, 2026$1.01$0.16+546.2%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$0.14$0.10+35.7%
Q3 2025Nov 11, 2025$1.48$0.14+968.6%
Next earningsTue, Nov 10·consensus EPS $-0.07

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$2.12T+9.1%49.6%-20.4%$162.98$-602.1B
Q3 FY26$2.02T+10.1%51.7%3.8%$21.96$-931.3B
Q2 FY26$1.95T+10.3%52.5%7.7%$223.00$-422.7B
Q1 FY26$1.82T+7.0%52.4%10.8%$36.46$-487.8B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$8.53T$8.10T – $8.91T$90.35-$93.01 – $273.718
FY28$9.15T$8.69T – $9.56T$69.53$64.96 – $73.638
FY29$9.94T$9.43T – $10.39T$47.52$44.40 – $50.324
FY30$12.04T$11.43T – $12.58T$27.28$25.48 – $28.884
FY31$15.11T$14.34T – $15.79T$83.93$78.41 – $88.873

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.0.8×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.47%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.+7.4%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+16.9%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMay 29SC 13D/A
AI summary

SoftBank Group Corp. (SFTBY) and affiliated entities — including SB Global Advisers Limited and various SoftBank fund vehicles — filed Amendment No. 4 to their Schedule 13D on Symbotic Inc. (SYM) as of May 27, 2026. SB Global Advisers Limited discloses shared dispositive power over at least 20,000,000 Symbotic shares; certain sub-entities report zero current holdings. The aggregate SoftBank group position and any change in investment intent are not fully visible in the excerpt. SoftBank is both a major investor and a key customer/partner in the Symbotic ecosystem.

+ 6 other (2 13Fs · 2 13Gs · 1 N-PX · 1 F-6EF) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

ASI and SoftBank Group Form Joint Venture to Advance Autonomous Construction at Scalebusinesswire.com·5d agoSoftBank's growing bets on AI and semiconductor assetsreuters.com·6d agoSoftBank stock jumped 7% then gave it back: why the OpenAI rally fadedinvezz.com·6d agoSoftBank shares jump over 7% after $11.1 billion bond issuance to fund OpenAI betcnbc.com·6d agoSoftBank issues $11.1 billion in bonds in OpenAI financing pushreuters.com·6d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI Infrastructure

More in Telecommunications Services

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$ASTS$AD$T$CABO$VZ$FNGR$CMCSA$TMUS
Voices on X · top 1 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport