TickerTalks
Browse all tickers →
TickerTalks›$SFTBY
SFSFTBY

SoftBank Group Corp.

$SFTBY·$202B·Telecommunications Services·Communication Services
$18.45+4.2%1Y+92.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-06-25: 5 posts2026-06-26: 21 posts2026-06-27: 30 posts2026-06-28: 13 posts2026-06-29: 3 posts2026-06-30: 3 posts2026-07-01: 8 posts83
Price updated 36m ago·X counts updated 23h ago
SFSFTBY
$SFTBYSoftBank Group Corp.
$18.45+4.18%83 posts
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
Loading…

AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $SFTBY, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Proven numbersCooling offAI verdict · as of 2026-07-02

Catching its breath after a run — could pick back up or fade from here.

SoftBank at 45% of the 52-week range on the Asia tech rout — the OpenAI listing timing plus $10B loan renewal is the specific catalyst tension.

SoftBank Group is the specific Japanese conglomerate with the Vision Fund plus direct stakes in Arm, OpenAI, and other AI leaders. It's the specific Japan-listed AI-portfolio proxy, and today's Asia tech rout reflects the specific concentration risk.

  • The Asia tech rout is a specific pressure: SoftBank shedding 12% alongside SK Hynix and Samsung plunging 8% is the specific sector-flow signal that hits SoftBank's NAV-adjusted position — Asia tech drawdowns amplify against SoftBank's leverage.
  • The OpenAI listing timing is the specific catalyst: articles noting "Why OpenAI's Listing Timeline Matters For SoftBank Stock" is the specific narrative-driver that supports SoftBank's multi-year mark-to-market NAV — the OpenAI stake is one of the largest hidden asset values.
  • The $10B loan renewal is a specific structural signal: SoftBank renewing talks for a $10B loan against its OpenAI stake, adding concessions, is exactly the specific credit-facility signal that shows SoftBank actively managing its liquidity around the AI portfolio.
  • The base fundamentals are complex: Q1 revenue of $2.1T Japanese Yen grew 9.1% with a slightly negative operating margin (reflecting specific investment-fair-value accounting) — the reported financials are dominated by mark-to-market swings rather than operational metrics.

The trajectory is cooling with a -5.95% day at 45% of the 52-week range. What restarts the accelerating call is a specific OpenAI listing-timeline announcement plus a specific $10B loan closure with favorable terms; what confirms cooling into breaking-down is another Asia tech drawdown, a specific OpenAI setback disclosure, or a specific $10B loan collapse.

What to watch: August 6 Q1 fiscal earnings — Vision Fund NAV update, OpenAI stake mark-to-market, and any specific $10B loan commentary. A NAV beat plus specific loan closure restarts the accelerating call; an OpenAI setback or loan collapse confirms cooling.

On the calendar: 2026-08-06 — Q1 fiscal earnings

no sentiment

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $SFTBY

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
Free, forever. No credit card.

What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

SoftBank Group Corp. operates as a global telecommunications provider, delivering its services both within Japan and across international markets. Its diverse operations are structured into five key divisions: Investment Business of Holding Companies, SoftBank Vision Funds, SoftBank, Arm, and Latin America Funds. The company offers a comprehensive suite of communication solutions, including mobile, broadband, and fixed-line services, in addition to retailing mobile devices. Beyond its core telecom activities, SoftBank is involved in various digital and technological endeavors. These span internet advertising (covering marketing and distribution), e-book distribution, the development and management of fashion e-commerce platforms, direct-to-consumer sales of stationery, and the conceptualization and engineering of mobile robotic systems. Furthermore, SoftBank Group specializes in the design of microprocessor intellectual property (IP) and related technologies, markets software tools, and participates in the renewable energy sector through the generation, supply, and sale of electricity, along with offering associated services. Its extensive portfolio also includes alternative investment management, mobile payment systems, platforms for PC software downloads, and banking services. The firm provides solutions and support for online businesses, distributes digital content such encompassing video, voice, and data, and engages in the manufacturing, distribution, and sale of IT-related products and services, alongside managing investment funds. Uniquely, SoftBank Group owns and operates a professional baseball team and the ITmedia information website. It is also responsible for managing and maintaining its baseball stadium and other sports facilities, and oversees the planning and operation of the e-commerce websites ZOZOTOWN, ZOZO, and ZOZOBASE. Originally founded in Tokyo, Japan, in 1981, the company was initially known as SoftBank Corp. It officially adopted its current name, SoftBank Group Corp., in July 2015.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Telecommunications Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $SFTBY.

Telecommunications Services · Communication Services

Space-based connectivity is the structural differentiation above legacy terrestrial carriers — IRDM's only truly global LEO constellation and GSAT's Apple SOS partnership represent a new service layer that neither cable nor wireless incumbents can match. Terrestrial fiber (AT&T) and wireless (Verizon) compete on quality within a more mature segment.

Industry benchmark

16-name peer basket
+26.1%YTD
+23.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
6.9How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-0.0%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-0.1%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
-7.2%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
4.4Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
34.5%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
51.5%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.5Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q1 2026May 13, 2026$1.02$0.16+552.6%
Q4 2025Feb 12, 2026$0.14$0.10+35.7%
Q3 2025Nov 11, 2025$1.48$0.14+968.6%
Q2 2025Aug 7, 2025$1.02$0.28+268.0%
Next earningsThu, Aug 6·consensus EPS $0.07

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q4 FY26$2.12T+9.1%49.6%-20.4%$162.98$-602.1B
Q3 FY26$2.02T+10.1%51.7%3.8%$21.96$-931.3B
Q2 FY26$1.95T+10.3%52.5%7.7%$223.00$-422.7B
Q1 FY26$1.82T+7.0%52.4%10.8%$36.46$-487.8B

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 8 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY27$8.51T$7.61T – $8.83T$59.36-$267.12 – $385.848
FY28$9.12T$8.15T – $9.46T$55.08$47.52 – $57.828
FY29$9.77T$8.74T – $10.14T$56.78$48.99 – $59.604
FY30$11.20T$10.02T – $11.63T$68.84$59.39 – $72.264
FY31$13.48T$12.06T – $13.99T$118.37$102.12 – $124.243

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.3×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.45%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-13.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.+9.8%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatMega float · 3.7B shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today0.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.015-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.ListedOTCListed on an over-the-counter market (PNK / OTCQB / OTCQX), not a major exchange. Lower disclosure requirements and thinner liquidity.

SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

SC 13D/AActivist amendmentMay 29SC 13D/A
3New insider — initial holdingsMar 183
3New insider — initial holdingsJan 293
+ 5 other (3 13Gs · 2 13Fs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

SoftBank renews talks for $10 billion loan against OpenAI stake, adds concessions, sources sayreuters.com·1d agoWhy OpenAI's Listing Timeline Matters For SoftBank Stockbenzinga.com·6d agoAsia tech rout widens: SoftBank sheds 12%, SK Hynix, Samsung plunge 8%invezz.com·7d agoSoftBank sinks 11% as Asia tech rout tracks declines in the U.S.cnbc.com·7d agoTalk of a bubble is an 'insult to AI' says SoftBank's Sonreuters.com·9d ago

In themes

Explore the broader themes this ticker is being talked about under.

AI Infrastructure

More in Telecommunications Services

Peers in the same group — one click to compare setups, fundamentals, and chatter.

$IRDM$CMCSA$T$AD$VZ$CHTR$ECHO$TMUS
Voices on X · last 7 days

No standout posts about $SFTBY on X in the last 7 days.

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

PrivacyTermsSupport