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LULUMN

Lumen Technologies, Inc.

Rising onWhy it's trendingMoving on elevated volumeRecent insider buying
$LUMN·$6.4B·Telecommunications Services·Communication Services
$6.72+5.0%YTD-15.1%1Y+54.8%
Mentions · last 7 days
2026-08-08: 4 posts2026-08-09: 6 posts2026-08-10: 22 posts2026-08-11: 14 posts2026-08-12: 13 posts2026-08-13: 14 posts2026-08-14: 18 posts91+19%
Price updated 15h ago·X counts updated 14h ago
LULUMN
$LUMNLumen Technologies, Inc.
$6.72+5.00%91 posts+19%
AI analysisFundamentalsVoices on X
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AI verdict & sentimentAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Top X posts

Today's AI verdict on what's driving $LUMN, plus how loud the X conversation is and which way it's leaning.

AI analysis

TickerTalks’ read on the fundamentals and what’s driving the move.

Comeback attemptWinding up for a moveAI verdict · as of 2026-08-15

Trading in a tight range and building pressure — a move looks likely soon, but the direction isn't clear yet.

Legacy-telecom-to-AI-fiber pivot with a CEO who just bought $612K of stock — the equity thesis rests on fiber-network monetization outpacing legacy decline.

Lumen is one of the most contentious mid-cap turnarounds — the equity thesis depends on fiber-infrastructure monetization to hyperscalers outpacing legacy-copper-telecom revenue decline.

  • Q1 revenue $2.9B, -9% YoY — the top line is still contracting even as the pivot narrative gets louder.
  • CEO Kathleen Johnson purchased 100,000 shares at $6.13 ($613K) — meaningful open-market conviction signal, not a program sale.
  • Q2 loss narrower than expected (+48% surprise) but still deeply negative; last four surprises whipsaw between big beats and big misses (-389%, +48%, -389%, +210%) — analyst modeling of the transition is unstable.
  • Amdocs multi-cloud strategy extension is the enterprise-service-orchestration operational modernization.
  • Analyst mean 2026 EPS -$0.83; 2027 -$0.34; 2028 -$0.32 — the losses shrink but profitability is not on the current sell-side model until 2029+.
  • Stock +55% TTM despite the operational weakness — the pivot narrative is being priced in.
  • Beta 1.81; float 948M — small moves in narrative produce large price swings.
  • FCF yield 5.4% is the tape's floor and what makes the CEO buy defensible.

The key operational metric is fiber-revenue as a percentage of total — that ratio has to accelerate to break the multi-year decline.

Agrees with X sentimentThe X bull take on the CEO buy and the technical divergence is right on the near-term setup. Where the chatter under-weights the friction: top-line is still shrinking 9% YoY and analyst consensus doesn't have GAAP profitability until 2029 — CEO conviction is a signal but not a substitute for operational proof.

What to watch: October 29 Q3 earnings — fiber-revenue growth versus legacy decline (the crossover metric that decides the pivot), any hyperscaler contract disclosures, and free cash flow trajectory. Additional insider buying beyond the CEO would strengthen the conviction read.

On the calendar: Q3 earnings Oct 29

X sentiment

What the X crowd is saying right now — descriptive, summarised from the day’s posts.

Bullish sentiment5 posts analyzed · as of 2026-08-13

X users are bullish on Lumen Technologies after CEO Kathleen Johnson purchased 100,000 shares worth $612,680, viewed as a strong insider signal at the recent dip. Traders describe a daily bullish divergence building with a strong candle recently and note the weekly 200 EMA holding as support.

Read the AI verdict + X sentiment for $LUMN

  • One-line verdict on what's driving the move — fundamentals, momentum, both, or an event
  • Next dated catalyst when there is one (earnings, deal closing, activist clock)
  • X crowd read with bullish/bearish call + post volume
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What it does

Plain-English summary of the business — what they sell and how they make money.

Fiber network and enterprise connectivity provider offering internet, cloud, and telecom services under Quantum Fiber and CenturyLink brands.

Industry overviewAI analysisGenerated by AI from underlying data

Where Telecommunications Services sits in its cycle right now — and what that implies for $LUMN.

Telecommunications Services · Communication Services

No material change from last week — IRDM's only truly global LEO constellation and GSAT's Apple SOS partnership represent a new service layer that neither cable nor wireless incumbents can match.

What this means for $LUMN

Neutral — Fiber network and enterprise connectivity provider offering internet, cloud, and telecom services under Quantum Fiber and CenturyLink brands; limited read-through from telecommunications services macro dynamics to this specific revenue mix.

Industry benchmark

18-name peer basket
+33.9%YTD
+50.3%1Y

Fundamentals & catalyst

Profitability, valuation, and the next earnings event — at a glance, with rule-of-thumb signals.

Key ratios

P/E
-4.6How much investors are paying per dollar of profit the company actually earned in the last 12 months. Lower means the stock looks cheaper relative to earnings.~15–25 is typical for the S&P 500; high-growth names trade 30+; hyper-growth or speculative can be 100+ or negative.
ROIC
-2.6%What percentage return the business earns on every dollar of capital (equity + debt) deployed in operations. The cleanest measure of business quality.Above ~15% is high-quality; consistently above 25% suggests a real moat. Below the company's cost of capital is value-destroying.
Op margin
-7.5%Operating profit (after sales, marketing, R&D, and overhead but before interest and taxes) as a percentage of revenue. The clearest view of how well the underlying business is run.Mature business above 20% is healthy; software businesses can run 30%+; commodity / retail businesses operate in single digits.
FCF yield
5.4%Free cash flow (operating cash flow minus capex) divided by the company's market cap. The cash-on-cash return you'd get owning the whole business at today's price.Above ~5% is attractive; below ~2% means you're paying up for growth. Capital-light businesses (software) run higher than capital-heavy ones (utilities).
P/S
0.7Same idea as P/E but per dollar of revenue. Useful for companies that aren't profitable yet, where P/E is meaningless.Under ~2 is cheap; software / SaaS often runs 8–15; well above 20 implies the market is pricing in very high future growth.
ROE
-79.4%Net income as a percentage of shareholders' equity. Similar to ROIC but counts only the equity side.Above 20% is strong, but can be inflated by leverage — a heavily indebted company can show high ROE with weak underlying ROIC.
Gross margin
47.3%Revenue minus the direct cost of producing what was sold, as a percentage of revenue. The first read on whether the product is structurally profitable.Software / SaaS is typically 70%+; consumer goods 30–50%; commodity / hardware businesses can be under 20%.
D/E
1.1Total debt divided by shareholders' equity. Measures how much the business runs on borrowed money versus owner capital.Under 1 is conservative; 1–2 is typical for mature businesses; over 2 is leveraged and more sensitive to interest rates.

Past earnings

QuarterReportedActualEstimateSurprise
Q2 2026Aug 4, 2026$-0.07$-0.13+47.7%
Q1 2026May 5, 2026$-0.47$-0.10-389.1%
Q4 2025Feb 3, 2026$0.23$-0.21+209.5%
Q3 2025Oct 30, 2025$-0.20$-0.31+35.5%
Next earningsThu, Oct 29·consensus EPS $-0.13

Quarterly trend

QuarterRevenueYoYGrossOpEPSFCF
Q1 FY26$2.9B-8.9%50.5%0.2%$-0.20$380.0M
Q4 FY25$3.0B-8.7%46.5%-6.6%$-0.00$-1.1B
Q3 FY25$3.1B-4.2%44.9%-3.8%$-0.62$1.5B
Q2 FY25$3.1B-5.4%47.5%-19.5%$-0.92$-321.0M

Forward consensus

5-year forecast · up to 9 analysts
FYRevenueRangeEPSRangeAnalysts
FY26$11.0B$10.9B – $11.1B-$0.83-$1.84 – $0.118
FY27$10.6B$10.3B – $10.9B-$0.34-$0.75 – $0.488
FY28$10.5B$9.7B – $11.2B-$0.32-$1.20 – $0.289
FY29$10.2B$9.7B – $10.5B-$0.79-$0.82 – -$0.734
FY30$10.2B$9.7B – $10.5B-$0.78-$0.81 – -$0.724

Setup & momentum

Volume, range, and moving-average position — the technical setup driving short-term moves.

Right now

Vol vs 30dToday's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.1.5×Today's traded share volume divided by the average over the prior 30 trading days. ≥3× signals unusual interest; below 1× is quiet.
52w rangeWhere the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.33%Where the latest close sits between the 52-week low (0%) and high (100%). Above 80% is extended; below 30% is basing or in a downtrend.
vs 50d MALatest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.-6.0%Latest close vs the 50-day simple moving average. Positive = short-term trend is up.
vs 200d MALatest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.-16.2%Latest close vs the 200-day simple moving average. Positive = long-term trend is up.

Float & profile

FloatHigh float · 948.5M shFree-float shares — the slice of issued stock actually available to trade. Lower buckets squeeze harder on a catalyst.Traded today2.1% of floatToday's volume as a percent of the free float. Above 5% on a single day is unusually high turnover for the available share count.β1.815-year weekly beta vs the S&P 500. Above 1.5 means the stock typically moves more than the index; below 0.8 moves less.

Insider activity

Recent open-market buys and sells by officers and directors — flagged when multiple insiders cluster.

Recent transactions

BuyAug 6Kathleen E JohnsonCEO100.0K sh$613KSellFeb 20Diankha LinearDirector45.0K sh$355K
+ 23 other (16 awards · 4 inkinds · 2 returns · 1 gift) in window

See when $LUMN insiders are putting their own money in

  • Real-time open-market buys and sells from Form 4 filings
  • Cluster-buy detection when multiple insiders pile in at once
  • 30 / 60 / 180-day windows so you can spot building conviction
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SEC filings

Material 8-K, 13D, S-3, and 424B5 events from the last 180 days — the filings that actually move the price.

Recent material filings

3New insider — initial holdingsAug 63
AI summary

John M. Hinshaw filed an initial Form 3 for Lumen Technologies, Inc. on August 6, 2026, following his appointment as a Director effective August 4, 2026. He holds 379 shares of common stock indirectly through The EAG Family Trust dated April 19, 2012, of which he is a trustee. Routine director ownership disclosure; the position is negligible in size and carries no market impact beyond confirming the new board appointment.

8-KOfficer or director changeAug 48-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

LUMN reported financial results for second. Full results are disclosed in a press release filed as Exhibit 99.1. Item 2.02 mandates simultaneous disclosure of material earnings data, ensuring all investors receive results at the same time. Investors should review the attached exhibit for complete financial figures and any forward guidance from LUMN management.

8-KOfficer or director changeMay 278-K — Item 5.02: Officer or director change · Item 5.03: Charter amendment · Item 5.07: Shareholder vote
AI summary

Lumen Technologies' 2026 Annual Meeting on May 20, 2026 approved the Amended and Restated 2024 Equity Incentive Plan, increasing the authorized share count by 45.6M shares (from 43M to 88.6M shares). Significant equity plan expansion approximately doubling authorized shares; material ongoing dilution potential.

3New insider — initial holdingsMay 263
AI summary

Michael Collins (100 CenturyLink Drive, Monroe LA) filed a Form 3 initial beneficial ownership statement for Lumen Technologies as of May 20, 2026. Administrative initial ownership disclosure.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 218-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Level 3 Financing (Lumen subsidiary) completed a $1.0B offering of 7.500% Senior Notes due 2037 on May 21, 2026, using proceeds to fund concurrent tender offers for existing Level 3 unsecured notes and related fees. Debt refinancing extending duration at 7.5% coupon; tender offer removes near-term maturities.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 208-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 8.01: Other event
AI summary

Lumen Technologies and Qwest Corporation entered into a Support Agreement dated May 18, 2026 with certain holders of Qwest's 6.5% Notes due 2056 and 6.75% Notes due 2057, providing noteholder consent to the previously announced Qwest Exchange Offers. Key milestone — major noteholder support secured for the Qwest debt exchange.

8-KMaterial agreementMay 148-K — Item 1.01: Material agreement · Item 2.03: Material debt obligation
AI summary

Level 3 Financing refinanced its outstanding secured Term B-4 loan facilities under the existing Credit Agreement via a Third Amendment on May 13, 2026, reducing borrowing costs and extending maturity. Level 3 term loan refinancing at improved terms.

8-KPress release / Reg FDMay 58-K — Item 2.02: Earnings release · Item 7.01: Press release / Reg FD
AI summary

Lumen Technologies issued a press release with Q1 2026 earnings (quarter ended March 31, 2026), furnished as Exhibit 99.1; full quarterly results will be in the Form 10-Q. Quarterly earnings disclosure; figures in exhibit.

+ 36 other (9 routine 8-Ks · 4 8-Ks · 3 425s · 2 10-Qs) in window

Recent news

Latest headlines from major outlets, sourced and timestamped — context for whatever just moved.

Is Lumen Stock a Buy After the CEO Purchased 100,000 Shares?fool.com·9d agoLumen Technologies (NYSE:LUMN) Stock Price Down 8.8% on Analyst Downgradedefenseworld.net·9d agoLumen Extends Multi-Cloud Strategy with Amdocs, Modernizing Enterprise Service Orchestrationaccessnewswire.com·10d agoLumen Posts Narrower-Than-Expected Q2 Loss, Revenues Drop Y/Yzacks.com·10d agoLumen Q2 Earnings Call Highlights Digital Revenue Shiftzacks.com·10d ago

In themes

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Voices on X · top 2 · last 7 days

TickerTalks is a research tool, not financial advice. We surface social-attention data; we do not make stock recommendations. Past attention is not predictive of future price movements.

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